Week 11 Fantasy Football Projections: Predicting the Top WR Performances
The wide receivers are the fastest route to accumulating massive fantasy football points.
Courtesy of the NFL being a pass-oriented league, a guy like Calvin Johnson is an obvious performer each week.
And despite the Detroit Lions sitting at 4-5 and hosting the 6-3 Green Bay Packers, it's a more favorable matchup to Megatron than at first glance. For one, the Lions also are in a must-win situation, which bodes well for Johnson's playmaking opportunities.
That said, let's move onward and check out Megatron with the best projected fantasy receiver outings of Week 11.
Roddy White, Falcons (vs. Cardinals)
Defense may be the Arizona Cardinals' strength, although this unit isn't helped by an explosive offense.
As a result, the Atlanta Falcons will move the rock better and better vs. Arizona in Week 11.
Roddy White enters this contest as Matt Ryan's favorite target with a team-leading 823 receiving yards on 54 receptions and 45 first downs. Also, because of complementary threats in Julio Jones and Tony Gonzalez, the Cardinals can't afford to double cover White in any situation.
Additionally, Michael Turner's presence on the ground will help set up the pass since Arizona allows 4.2 yards per rush. White then constantly faces favorable man coverage schemes and thwarts Arizona for an impressive stat sheet.
Projections: Eight receptions for 95 yards, two touchdowns
Vincent Jackson, Buccaneers (at Panthers)
Vincent Jackson has an opportunity to put up the best numbers of any receiver this week.
For one, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers present a balanced offense in Doug Martin to slam the trenches. The Carolina Panthers allow 345 total yards per game, and Martin's ground production will set up the pass.
Factor Josh Freeman's underrated mobility and impressive arm strength, and Jackson will get numerous targets downfield. His size alone is a competitive advantage when inside the red zone, and Carolina significantly lacks vs. the pass in allowing a 67.5 completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks.
Not to mention Ronde Barber and the Bucs defense is quite opportunistic. Having recorded 15 picks through nine games, Tampa's offense will see additional possessions from its defense generating turnovers.
Projections: Seven receptions for 90 yards, two touchdowns
Andre Johnson, Texans (vs. Jaguars)
By no means has Andre Johnson been consistently dominant in 2012.
With just 597 yards on 46 catches and two touchdowns, Johnson's production is being declined from the Houston Texans' overall skill set.
They're a run-balanced team with a stout defense, and feeding Arian Foster is Gary Kubiak's primary focus to move the rock. Well, Johnson squares off against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who give up over 250 passing yards per game and a 62.4 completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks.
Even worse, Jacksonville literally has no pass rush, with only 10 sacks thus far.
Considering that the Jags will need to stack the box and isolate Foster, Johnson sees more targets to stretch the defense and keep Houston balanced.
Projections: Six receptions for 85 yards, two touchdowns
Calvin Johnson, Lions (vs. Packers)
One key factor that helps the Detroit Lions is the absence of Clay Matthews.
LB Clay Matthews (hamstring) is out for Sunday's game against Detroit #Packers— Wes Hodkiewicz (@WesHod) November 14, 2012
Just from a pass-rushing perspective, Matthew Stafford's time in the pocket has increased, and this allows Megatron a bit more time to get open.
Although the Packers hold opposing quarterbacks to a 57.1 completion percentage and have recorded 10 picks, Detroit is a different level. Ranking No. 1 in passing offense, Johnson unsurprisingly leads the NFL with 974 receiving yards.
Green Bay also ranks No. 21 in pass defense; therefore, Megatron's numbers will inflate to an encore performance from last week.
Projections: 12 receptions for 175 yards, three touchdowns
Reggie Wayne, Colts (at Patriots)
If there's one way the Indianapolis Colts can upset the New England Patriots, it's by airing it out all day.
After all, Bill Belichick's pass defense ranks No. 29 and allows a 66.0 completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks. Plus, New England has given up 19 touchdown passes this season and has recorded only 20 sacks through nine games.
Combine all those elements, and the end result is Andrew Luck dialing up Reggie Wayne for some stellar production.
Wayne leads the Colts in receptions (69), yards (931), targets (112), touchdowns (three) and first downs (50), so having a big impact vs. New England is key. Luck and the Colts need to either set and/or keep pace with Tom Brady; otherwise, the odds of victory are significantly reduced.
What also helps Wayne is his big-game experience against the Patriots. And Indianapolis cannot win unless its veteran receiver contributes to an extensive amount.
Projections: Nine receptions for 100 yards and one touchdown
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