Week 11 NFL Predictions: Fantasy Stat Lines and Picks for Prime-Time Games

Chris TrapassoAnalyst INovember 18, 2012

November 12, 2012; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Byron Leftwich (4) reacts on the field against the Kansas City Chiefs during the third quarter at Heinz Field. The Pittsburgh Steelers won 16-13 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-US PRESSWIRE
Charles LeClaire-US PRESSWIRE

NFL's prime-time slate in Week 11 features two games, both of which have major playoff implications for each conference. 

A Ben Roethlisberger-less Pittsburgh Steelers club, one now led by Byron Leftwich, hosts the AFC North-leading Baltimore Ravens. A win for the Steelers, and they'd clearly be alive to win the division. But with a loss, they'll provide more life to a handful of AFC teams vying for a wild-card spot.

On Monday night, we'll be treated to a clash between the top two defenses in terms of touchdowns allowed per drive this season (according to Football Outsiders): the Chicago Bears and San Francisco 49ers.

To make things even more appealing if you're and admirer of stout defense, Bears quarterback Jay Cutler has been ruled out, according to Rotoworld.com.

With fantasy football hitting the stretch run of its regular season, here are fantasy stat lines and picks for this week's prime-time battles. 


Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers


Byron Leftwich

18-of-30, 210 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT

Rashard Mendenhall

16 carries, 70 yards, 1 TD

Mike Wallace

4 receptions, 90 yards, 1 TD



Joe Flacco

23-of-37, 240 yards 2 TD, 1 INT

Ray Rice

20 rushes 94 yards, 4 receptions 30 yards 1 TD

Torrey Smith

5 receptions, 90 yards 1 TD



ESPN's Skip Bayless sent out the following tweet regarding this game:

Steelers 20, Ravens 17 on guts and guile relentless running and because Leftwich will play better than you think.

— Skip Bayless (@RealSkipBayless) November 16, 2012

Though I don't loathe him as much as the rest of world, here's a general rule of thumb: Pick contrary to what Bayless believes. 

I just don't see Leftwich being able to stay with the Ravens offense, even in Pittsburgh. Sure, Baltimore's defense isn't what it once was, but his elongated motion and inability to improvise out of the pocket will ultimately doom him and the Steelers against their most hated rival. 

Pittsburgh's offensive line is beleaguered, and their running game can't be trusted to save them.  

Pick: Ravens 27 Steelers 17

Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers


Jason Campbell

15-of-27 190 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT

Matt Forte

24 rushes, 83 yards, 5 receptions, 38 yards 1 TD

Brandon Marshall

7 receptions, 68 yards 



Alex Smith

19-of-29, 205 yards, 1 TD 2 INT

Frank Gore

18 carries, 85 yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 23 yards

Michael Crabtree

5 receptions, 70 yards 



Jason Campbell is a capable backup quarterback, but against San Francisco, we'll be reminded why he's been relegated to second string. 

The 49ers defense hasn't been as utterly dominant as it was a season ago, and it surrendered 458 total yards and 24 points to a typically pedestrian St. Louis Rams offense in Week 10. However, the offensive line and running game, led by Frank Gore, will gradually erode the Bears' front seven and keep control of the clock.

Frankly, I expect Smith to make a few more plays than Campbell, Gore to make a few more plays than Forte and San Fran's defense to make a few more plays than Chicago's.

Pick: 49ers 20 Bears 13