Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jordy Nelson has thrived against the NFC North in recent matchups, and Week 11's showdown with the Detroit Lions inside Ford Field will provide him with another opportunity to light it up for fantasy owners.
Nelson is probable for Sunday's game in Detroit according to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel's Tyler Dunne, via Twitter:
The key injuries: Sam Shields is questionable and Jordy Nelson is probable for the #Packers Sunday.— Tyler Dunne (@TyDunne) November 16, 2012
With Nelson set to play for the Pack, fantasy owners can confidently insert the veteran into their starting lineups, sit back and watch him go. Here, we'll take a closer look at what fantasy owners can expect from Jordy Nelson against the Lions this weekend.
In Nelson's last two appearance inside of a dome, he's caught a combined 17 passes for 243 yards and two touchdowns. And those numbers aren't inflated because of one huge game.
On the road at Houston in Week 6, Nelson was targeted 12 times, making nine receptions for 121 yards and three touchdowns. The following week at St. Louis, he cashed in on eight of his nine targets, racking up 122 receiving yards and a score. Nelson has yet to catch a pass since Week 7 inside the Edward Jones Dome, as he's been recovering from a hamstring injury over the past few weeks.
In Week 11, Nelson and the Pack will be inside a dome stadium once again at Ford Field. Therefore the environmental settings are perfect for Nelson to have another huge game indoors.
The last time Nelson played at Detroit was Thanksgiving of last year. He only caught four balls for 26 yards in the win, but more than made up for it in Week 7 vs. the Lions. Nelson recorded nine receptions for 162 yards and three scores in his last outing against Detroit's secondary, which is promising for fantasy owners this weekend.
Sure, the Lions rank eighth in the NFL in fewest receiving yards allowed per game, but they rank 15th in most touchdown receptions allowed. Detroit has given up 14 scores through the air in nine games this season.
Meanwhile, Nelson is averaging a touchdown per every eight receptions in 2012, so look for him to peel the lid off Detroit's somewhat suspect secondary on Sunday afternoon.
Over/Under 1.5 touchdowns for Jordy Nelson in Week 11?
With Nelson back to full strength in Week 11, fantasy owners can feel confident starting him. It's no secret that the Green Bay Packers love to air the ball out, and when they do they like to target No. 87.
Only Randall Cobb has more receptions for the Packers than Nelson this season, and only Cobb and James Jones have more targets than the 6'3" wideout. I expect Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers to target Nelson at least nine times on Sunday, giving the former Kansas State Wildcat a shot at a big day.
Look for Jordy Nelson to record around six receptions for 75 yards and a touchdown in Week 11 at Detroit. He's missed some time because of injury and we can't expect him to come out firing on all cylinders right away. But still, we know he's comfortable in domes and especially against the Lions.
And with the reigning NFL MVP throwing the ball, know that Nelson is always a threat to explode.
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