NFL Betting Predictions: 5 Picks for Week 11

Steven Slivka@@StevenSlivkaCorrespondent IIINovember 16, 2012

NFL Betting Predictions: 5 Picks for Week 11

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    After 10 weeks in the NFL a couple of lessons have been learned: the Jets are horrible, the Cowboys continue to be overrated, and it's still possible for two teams to tie.

    With that being said, there are a bunch of unpredictable match ups this week that are sure to have bettors scratching their heads when Monday rolls around.

    But many favorites are in good spots this week and should put some money in your wallets if you put some money on them.

    Let's take a look at my 5 picks for Week 11.

    Last Week: 3-2
    Last 3 Weeks: 11-4

    All lines courtesy of

Cleveland Browns (+8) at Dallas Cowboys

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    The Dallas Cowboys are coming off a nice win on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles, but it was against a rookie quarterback. Not to mention that two of their touchdowns didn't even come on offense.

    The Cleveland Browns are improving with every week that passes, and they will be even healthier coming off a bye. Brandon Weeden and Trent Richardson have been the focal points to their offense and have gelled together nicely.

    The Cowboys are only 3-16 against the spread at home over their last 19 games, yet people continue to be sold by their brand. The truth is, they are still turnover machines going as an eight-point home favorite against a much-improved Cleveland Browns team.

    The Browns held San Diego to just six points and led the Baltimore Ravens midway through the fourth quarter. As inconsistent as the Cowboys have been this season, I wouldn't feel safe putting my money on any part of them.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1) at Carolina Panthers

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    The Carolina Panthers have been getting too much respect from the lines makers lately. The public is sold on this team because they've been competitive, but they were blown out by the Broncos and now must go up against a Tampa team that hasn't lost since last month.

    The Bucs' offense has been freakishly good over the last three games by averaging 34 points during that span.

    The Buccaneers also have the best running defense in the league and they will be able to contain the bulk of Carolina's offense.

    Tampa Bay is also 7-2 against the spread this season and has covered four of its last five. The Panthers, on the other hand have only one victory in their last seven games. At just a single point, all you need is the Bucs to win the game and you make money.

Cincinnati Bengals (-3) at Kansas City Chiefs

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    Don't be fooled by Kansas City's performance against Pittsburgh last week. Let's face it, nobody gave the Chiefs a chance at all and I doubt the Steelers took them very seriously.

    Kansas City has given up at least 25 points in seven of its nine games this season and over the last month the Chiefs have given up nearly 28 points per game.

    The Bengals, on the other hand are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Denver Broncos, where they were competitive for three quarters, and a complete domination of the New York Giants in Week 10.

    At 4-5, Cincinnati is still very much alive in the AFC playoff picture and has one of the most complete passing attacks in the NFL. The Chiefs have not been reliable by any means this season.

    They've given up an average of 28 points per game at home while they're offense is only scoring 16.5 points per game. Take the Bengals.

St. Louis Rams (-3.5) vs. New York Jets

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    The St. Louis Rams have been one of the most improved teams in the NFL while the New York Jets have been one of the most disappointing.

    Rams head coach Jeff Fisher has turned this team around and has them playing much better at home. The Rams are only giving up 18.5 points per game at home this season and welcome the horrible New York Jets to the Edward Jones Dome.

    The Jets continue to be completely dysfunctional on offense and have only scored 16 points in their last two games. They made the headlines again this week, but, not surprisingly, it wasn't for anything football related.

    With numerous off-field distractions and a lackluster offense, the Jets will have a difficult challenge trying to hang with a St. Louis Rams team that nearly beat the San Francisco 49ers on the road.

    The same 49ers team that shut out the Jets 34-0 in New York.

New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders (over 54.5)

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    For as bad as the Saints' pass defense has been this season, the Raiders' has been just as horrible. Oakland and New Orleans also have two of the most productive quarterbacks in the league and will be airing it out all day long.

    The Saints are scoring nearly 28 points per game since the end of September, while the Raiders are scoring nearly 31 points a game over their last three home games.

    Carson Palmer has thrown for 782 yards and six touchdowns over his last two games and continues to be the nucleus to Oakland's offense.

    With their top-two running backs out with injuries (via, it will be up to Palmer to lead the Raiders' offense against a horrible Saints defense that is giving up over 300 yards per game through the air.

    The Raiders defense continues to have problems stopping any opposing quarterback and even let Joe Flacco throw for 340 yards and thee touchdowns on them.

    Imagine what Brees will do to that secondary. This one will definitely be a shootout.