If you want to know how quickly things can change in college football, just think back to October 28. There were six undefeated teams ranked in the AP Top 25. Fast forward to today and there are only four left standing, but Ohio State doesn't count since it's ineligible for postseason play.
One of the great storylines in college football right now is the idea that there could be three undefeated teams atop the standings before the final BCS rankings come out and we know who will play in the BCS Championship Game.
But this is the time of year when everything we think we know completely falls apart. Who would have thought that Texas A&M could go into Tuscaloosa and beat the No. 1 ranked Alabama team?
As we head into the penultimate week, at least with a full slate of games, of the 2012 College Football Season, here are the teams in the AP Top 25 that are going to drop when the Week 13 standings come out.
No. 21 USC Trojans
at No. 17 UCLA
The Trojans are the most likely team in the Top 25 ready to drop out of the rankings after this week. There are two problems with this particular matchup for the Trojans.
First, the road rivalry game has not been kind to USC this season. Lane Kiffin's squad has lost three games already, with two of them coming away from the Coliseum. Stanford put forth a dominating defensive effort to knock off the Trojans, and Arizona lit up their defense to the tune of 39 points and 588 yards.
Second, this has all the makings of the dreaded trap game. Another, higher-profile rivalry game lurks against Notre Dame next week. USC can redeem it's entire season by knocking off an undefeated Fighting Irish team with national title aspirations, assuming they defeat Wake Forest.
Not to mention the fact that UCLA is a really good team. The Bruins have had a terrific season, save for one hiccup against California. This team has a balanced attack on offense. The defense, while inconsistent, can and has stepped up in big spots this season.
No. 23 Texas Tech
at Oklahoma State
Regardless of who wins this game, we know it will be entertaining to watch. Both Texas Tech and Oklahoma State leave their defense at the door in favor of a lot of big plays and offensive fireworks.
Trying to make a case for what one team does better than the other on defense to gain an advantage is an exercise in futility. Also, it is a bit pointless. This is going to be one of those games that comes down to who has the ball last.
The Red Raiders have the No. 1 ranked passing offense in college football. Oklahoma State is fourth. Texas Tech is just 18th in scoring offense, while Oklahoma State is fourth.
That tells me that the Cowboys are much more likely to convert their yards into touchdowns on a more consistent basis than Texas Tech. It also helps that Oklahoma State has a much better running game to take pressure of the passing game and control the clock from time to time.
No. 13 Stanford
at No. 1 Oregon
There seems to be a lot of anti-Oregon sentiment coming from certain parts of the country—namely the Midwest—because of a lackluster schedule and playing style that doesn't emphasize defense.
Well, those skeptics are going to be in for a rude awakening when the Ducks light up the scoreboard once again when they face the No. 12 scoring defense in the country.
Even with key players like Kenjon Barner and Marcus Mariota suffering minor injuries that kept them out for a couple plays last weekend, the Ducks have too much speed for the Cardinal to keep up with.
The Ducks understand that there are some people, and computers, out there that don't feel like they belong in the No. 2 spot in the BCS rankings, so look for them to blow this game out of the water in a hurry.
|AP TOP 25 POLL|
|1. Kansas State|
|3. Notre Dame|
|6. Ohio State|
|9. Texas A&M|
|10. Florida State|
|12. South Carolina|
|15. Oregon State|
|19. Louisiana Tech|
|24. Texas Tech|
|25. Kent State|