NFL Week 11 Picks: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans

Jeff Grant@@JeffGrantSportsContributor INovember 15, 2012

NFL Week 11 Picks: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans

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    The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-8) and Houston Texans (8-1) will close out their season series this year at Reliant Stadium, with Sunday's kickoff scheduled for 1 p.m. ET on CBS.

    Sports bettors will find that the Texans are currently 15-point home favorites in the Week 11 NFL betting odds (courtesy of SBR Forum), while the total has fallen by two points to settle in at 40.5 in the market.

    Let's take a closer look at this AFC South divisional matchup from a betting perspective, while offering an against-the-spread (ATS) pick along the way.   

Jacksonville Jaguars

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    Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Blaine Gabbert is going to have a difficult time snapping the team's six-game losing streak on Sunday, considering he's compiled a 41.9 passer rating in three career games against the Houston Texans.

    Sports bettors will also find that the Jaguars are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games versus teams with a winning record.

Houston Texans

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    The Houston Texans have won and covered the spread in four consecutive meetings with the Jacksonville Jaguars, including a 27-7 victory as 6.5-point road favorites on Sept. 16.

    Sports bettors will also find that the Texans have tallied a 7-0 ATS record in their last seven games in the month of November. 

Las Vegas Perspective

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    I reached out to Jimmy Vaccaro earlier this week about this high-profile affair. He serves as the public relations director for William Hill U.S., and here's what he had to say: 

    Biggest spread of the year so far, and will probably be the case the rest of the way. Opened at 15, wouldn't be surprised to see it hit 17. With that said, I completely agree with where the money is at.


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    I'm going to recommend that readers back the Houston Texans as one of their NFL picks this weekend, as they've gone 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games.

    NFL Week 11 Pick: Houston Texans -15

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