NFL Week 11 Picks: Home Teams That Will Win Big

Darin Pike@darinpikeContributor INovember 14, 2012

NEW ORLEANS, LA - NOVEMBER 11:  Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons throws a pass under pressure during a game against the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on November 11, 2012 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  The Saints defeated the Falcons 31-27. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)
Wesley Hitt/Getty Images

Week 11 of the NFL season has several home teams that are big favorites. There are also games expected to be close where the home teams will dominate.

Following are some of the more intriguing matchups of Week 11, focusing on home teams that won't treat their guests too kindly.


Game: Arizona at Atlanta

Line: Falcons -10 (via Bovada)

The Atlanta Falcons will want to rebound following their first loss of the 2012 season. Look for their defense to step up here and move the line of scrimmage well into the Arizona Cardinals' backfield.

Arizona has a good defense of their own, but they are wearing down from spending too much time on the field.

Score Prediction: Atlanta 27, Arizona 13


Game: Cleveland at Dallas

Line: Cowboys -8

The Dallas Cowboys have struggled through a tough opening half of the season but have trudged their way to a 4-5 record. I see the Boys going on a run at this point.

Their Week 16 game against the New Orleans Saints could be huge in getting to a 10-6 record.

Oh, and the Cleveland Browns aren't good. They've lost a lot of close games, but that is the sign of a bad team, not a good one.

Score Prediction: Dallas 27, Cleveland 17

Game: Jacksonville at Houston

Line: Texans -16.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars thought Blaine Gabbert would be their future. He is, at least for now, which should have fans a little concerned.

The Houston Texans are a great example of balance on offense and defense and will be a tough team to beat this season. Jacksonville isn't the type of squad that can do it.

Score Prediction: Houston 28, Jacksonville 7

Game: NY Jets at St. Louis

Line: Rams -3.5

The New York Jets had a bye week in which they could have made a decision at quarterback. Pick one and run (or pass) with him. Instead, Rex Ryan continued what looks like a makeshift offense and wastes at least some of his offense's precious time running the Tebow two-step.

Tim Tebow entered the game against the Seahawks and he didn't fool anyone. His one step back, one juke step and then trying to run looked so uninspired that even he couldn't have thought it was going to work.

The Jets' version of the Wildcat isn't fooling anyone, and the Rams will be ready for whichever offense shows up. St. Louis will struggle a bit with the Jet defenders, but they will get the win.

Score Prediction: St. Louis 17, New York 10


Game: San Diego at Denver

Line: Broncos -8

Not much has gone right for the San Diego Chargers this season. The only thing that could have been worse than a 7-6 loss to the Browns would be losing to Kansas City.

Denver, on the other hand, has looked almost unstoppable since their loss to the New England Patriots. The Bronco offense is gelling and getting better by the week.

Score Prediction: Denver 38, San Diego 24

Game: Indianapolis at New England

Line: Patriots -9

The Indianapolis Colts have been a great story this season. They've already far exceeded their expected wins with rookie quarterback Andrew Luck taking over the offense. 

The wins over Minnesota and Green Bay were impressive. Beating Cleveland, Tennessee, Miami and Jacksonville was expected, though.

It will be tough for Indy to stay with the Patriots. They've been held under 29 points just twice this season, and both of those teams play in the NFC. Luck will lead some scoring drives, but his defense will struggle controlling the high-powered Patriot offense.

Score Prediction: New England 48, Indianapolis 34


Darin Pike is a writer for Bleacher Report's Breaking News Team and a Featured Columnist covering the NFL and the Seattle Seahawks.


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