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The Latest Buzz Around Odds, Spreads and Lines for NFL Week 11

Brandon AlisogluCorrespondent INovember 14, 2012

The Latest Buzz Around Odds, Spreads and Lines for NFL Week 11

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    From many perspectives, Week 10 was brutal for gamblers.

    Teams that were supposed to blow people out barely scraped by. I'm looking at you, Tom Brady.

    Teams that have been inconsistent all year with large spreads (cough, Baltimore Ravens, cough), came out blazing and never looked back.

    There was even a tie!

    What can you do? Just move on, cover your losses and look at the lines for Week 11.

    I suppose praying couldn't hurt either.

     

    All lines provided by bovada.lv, sportsbook.ag and espn.go.com.

Overreaction Line of the Week: Cleveland Browns vs. Dallas Cowboys (-8)

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    Does Vegas really think I'm going to get excited about taking the Dallas Cowboys giving eight points against anybody? 

    Seriously?

    The Cowboys knocked off the Philadelphia Eagles in what ended up as Nick Foles debut. The game was close until a late punt return and a pick-six.

    I understand that "America's Team" gets a certain amount of public love, but take it easy.

    The Cleveland Browns only lost by 10 to the Baltimore Ravens. And the Cowboys are not the Ravens.

Underreaction Line of the Week: Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots (-9)

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    ChuckStrong hasn't made its way to the sports books yet. Or at least the full power of the movement has yet to be understood.

    The Colts just keep winning. They've had an embarrassing loss or two, but Andrew Luck has demonstrated the ability to win regardless of how the rest of the team is playing.

    Conversely, the Patriots don't seem to take things seriously at home. Close wins over the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets show that the Pats lack consistency.

    Could the Pats blow out the Colts? Sure. But there is no reason to think that is likely. 

Sure-to-Move Line of the Week: Green Bay Packers (-3.5) vs. Detroit Lions

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    As a Detroit Lions fan, this one is hard to swallow. But the bitter truth often is. 

    The Lions lack a true identity. The offense can't dictate to a defense how it is going to play.

    Waiting until late in the game is OK against mediocre offenses like the Seattle Seahawks or Philadelphia Eagles.

    Against a team like the Green Bay Packers? No so much.

    Plus, the public loves the Packers and the Lions are one of the most hated teams in the league.

    This line could easily move a full point.

Stay-Away Game of the Week: Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers (-5.5)

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    Two backup quarterbacks facing defenses that love to force turnovers?

    Scary.

    Turnovers aren't an easy thing to predict. Flukes happen all the time. Who is going to secure a loose football is the closest thing to a coin flip you'll find on the field.

    Besides, would you trust Colin Kaepernick or Jason Campbell with your money? 

    Exactly. 

The Full Slate of Games for Week 11

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    Thursday Night

    Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills (-1.5); O/U 45

     

    Sunday

    Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Redskins (-4); O/U none available

    Green Bay Packers (-3.5) vs. Detroit Lions; O/U 51.5

    Arizona Cardinals vs. Atlanta Falcons (-10); O/U 44.5

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) vs. Carolina Panthers; O/U 48

    Cleveland Browns vs. Dallas Cowboys (-8); O/U 43.5

    New York Jets vs. St. Louis Rams (-3.5); O/U 38.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans (-16); O/U 40.5

    Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs; O/U 43.5

    New Orleans Saints (-5.5) vs. Oakland Raiders; O/U 54.5

    Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots (-9); O/U 53.5

    San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos (-7.5); O/U 48.5

    Baltimore Ravens (-1) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers; O/U none available

     

    Monday

    Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers (-5.5); O/U none available

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