NFL Picks Week 11: Predicting Every Game Against the Spread

Alex Kay@AlexPKayCorrespondent INovember 13, 2012

With Week 11 of the NFL season fast approaching, it’s time to get on your horse and start identifying some against the spread winners for your office pool, personal wagers or just plain fun.

Let’s take a look at each game, do some quick analysis and decide an outcome.

*Point spreads via, home team in CAPS


Miami Dolphins (-1) over BUFFALO BILLS

While the Bills were able to hang tough against the Pats this past week, they are going to suffer from a hangover on such short rest going into the Thursday Night Football matchup against the ‘Phins.

Speaking of Miami, it is coming off a 37-3 shellacking by the Tennessee Titans, and the players are going to need to redeem themselves. Expect this one to come down to the wire, but the Dolphins will win late.


WASHINGTON REDSKINS (?) over Philadelphia Eagles

There is currently no line in this game, but we expect the Redskins to be favored and should cover any spread up to four points.


Green Bay Packers (-3.5) over DETROIT LIONS

The Packers are one of the most dominant teams in the NFL, while Detroit cannot climb above .500. Considering Green Bay is coming off a bye week and working on getting healthy, they should easily win this one by a TD or more.

Lay the points and take the Packers on the road in what should be a one-sided NFC North showdown.


ATLANTA FALCONS (-10) over Arizona Cardinals

Atlanta suffered a heartbreaking loss at the hands of the Saints this past Sunday, the first of the season. Now they will be looking for revenge against a mediocre Cardinals squad that hasn’t managed a victory since Week 4.

While 10 points is quite a few, we feel that this should be a comfortable play considering it will take place in the Georgia Dome.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) over CAROLINA PANTHERS

The Buccaneers aren’t getting the credit that they deserve. After scratching their way to a 5-4 record, this team is a dark horse postseason contender going into this crucial contest against an NFC South foe.

It seems that the public loves Cam Newton and his ragtag 2-7 Panthers squad, but they have no chance against this feisty Tampa team. Lay the small amount of points and take the road favorite.


Cleveland Browns (+7.5) over DALLAS COWBOYS

While the Cowboys are coming off a big win over the Eagles, they aren’t going to blow out a Browns team that might be out of contention, but still has plenty of pride.

Don’t sleep on Cleveland making this a gritty game, and laying anything more than a touchdown would be foolish. At this number, the Browns are the play against America’s Team.


ST. LOUIS RAMS (-3.5) over New York Jets

The Rams battled a much tougher San Fran unit—on the road—to the NFL’s first draw since 2008 in Week 10. Now they get to host a much inferior team, the Jets, and should have no problem putting together a seven-or-more point victory.

Steven Jackson is rejuvenated, Sam Bradford has his head on straight and is healthy and at 3-5-1, the team isn’t quite eliminated from contention yet.

Expect an easy win over Mark Sanchez and the rest of Gang Green.


Indianapolis Colts (+9.5) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

There is no doubting that the Patriots are going to win against Andrew Luck’s Colts, the question is by how much?

We don’t think it will be more than a TD, which is why we’re taking the points. Sure, Tom Brady and his receiving corps are going to have a field day against this leaky secondary, but the NE defense just gave up 31 points to Buffalo and only escaped by six in a game they were double-digit favorites to win.

Snap this large point total up and watch the Colts cover yet another spread.


HOUSTON TEXANS (?) over Jacksonville Jaguars

This is going to be one of the most lopsided games on the board, and we would take the Texans laying up to two touchdowns against this lowly Jags team.


Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

After dismantling Eli Manning and the New York Giants in Week 10, you’d think that the Bengals would be getting more respect from Vegas.

While the Chiefs are notoriously tough at Arrowhead, we don’t smell any upsets and fully expect Cincy to blow them out.


OAKLAND RAIDERS (+5.5) over New Orleans Saints

Despite pulling off the impossible and knocking the Atlanta Falcons from their perch, the Saints aren’t exactly the most consistent team in football.

We expect a major hangover as they travel to the West Coast and into the Black Hole to take on the Silver and Black.

Anytime the Raiders are getting more than three at home against a team that had to travel a few time zones, it’s usually a wise call.


DENVER BRONCOS (-7.5) over San Diego Chargers

Peyton Manning is arguably the top QB in the NFL this year, and he has his Broncos piling up points and blowing opponents out.

San Diego is going in the opposite direction, looking lifeless and without an identity. They’ve only played a handful of good football games in 2012, and half their wins have come against the lowly Chiefs.

Lay the points with this big home favorite, as the Bolts aren’t going to be hanging around for long.


PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-3.5) over Baltimore Ravens

This bitter AFC North rivalry loses a bit of luster without Ray Lewis and some other major injured players. We love the home team in this one, as the Steelers have performed well in recent weeks and picked up some big wins against tough opponents.

We just don’t think the Ravens have what it takes without their emotional leader—Lewis—on the field.


Chicago Bears (?) over SAN FRANCISCO 49ers

We’d lay up to two points on the Bears travelling to San Francisco for a Monday night contest. 


    Ranking Every Team's QB Situation in 2018

    NFL logo

    Ranking Every Team's QB Situation in 2018

    Zach Kruse
    via Bleacher Report

    Packers Sign TE Marcedes Lewis

    NFL logo

    Packers Sign TE Marcedes Lewis

    Alec Nathan
    via Bleacher Report

    Latest Buzz on Big-Name Rookies

    NFL logo

    Latest Buzz on Big-Name Rookies

    Justis Mosqueda
    via Bleacher Report

    Stern: Goodell Doing a 'Great Job' on Anthem Protests

    NFL logo

    Stern: Goodell Doing a 'Great Job' on Anthem Protests

    Adam Wells
    via Bleacher Report