WWE Survivor Series 2012: Each Star's Chance of Winning the WWE Title

Donald WoodFeatured ColumnistNovember 13, 2012

SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA - JUNE 15:  CM Punk wrestles Shelton Benjamin during WWE Smackdown at Acer Arena on June 15, 2008 in Sydney, Australia.  (Photo by Gaye Gerard/Getty Images)
Gaye Gerard/Getty Images

With WWE’s Survivor Series 2012 under a week away, the excitement over one of the company’s big-four pay-per-views is through the roof.

At the center of all that excitement is the WWE title match between defending champion CM Punk, Ryback and John Cena.

While Punk comes into this bout as the clear favorite to retain his title, the addition of a legend like Cena and a newcomer that has the support of the powers that be like Ryback has made the outcome of this match just a bit more convoluted.

The result of the match is still very obvious, but how the WWE gets there and the way the storyline is built has forced the fans to consider another outcome besides the inevitable Punk win.


John Cena

As much as Cena’s involvement in the main event has come to be expected over the years, this is a last-second addition that actually helped the WWE.

With Cena embroiled in the A.J. Lee/Vickie Guerrero controversy, it will be easy for the company to point at the fact that the face of the company was distracted by the allegations. With someone having to take the pin in this match, all signs are pointing to Cena.

Add in the fact that the WWE would rather save a match with The Rock and Cena for WrestleMania—The Rock is returning in two months at Royal Rumble—and there is no reason to allow punk to lose the title.

Not only will Cena not win Sunday, he will be the one to lose clean to Punk.

Chance of Winning: 5 percent



While the first notion wrestling fans get is that there is no way Ryback can win the WWE title at Survivor Series, the monstrous push he has gotten over the last two months has set the stage for a huge upset.

As much as putting Ryback over as the champion right now would throw the current plans with the returning Rock out of whack, the WWE could easily have Punk win the title back at TLC via dirty pin and turn the Royal Rumble match into a three-way dance (The Rock, Ryback and Punk).

Even this idea is still a long shot to happen, but what better way to get Ryback over with the rest of the WWE Universe that still hasn’t bought in than by putting him in a program with The Rock?

Ryback will do a majority of the heavy lifting in this match and look dominant before Punk sneaks in and steals the win.

Chance of Winning: 15 percent


CM Punk

While the WWE has done its best to throw the fans off the trail, there is little doubt that Punk will retain his title at Survivor Series and again at the TLC PPV. This is all leading to his eventual match against The Rock at the 2013 Royal Rumble.

The WWE is not only determined to building Punk as a viable championship threat for the rest of his career, the company has ensured that the value of the title has grown exponentially during his reign as well.

Punk will likely lose at Royal Rumble, but not before beating Ryback and Cena at Survivor Series and adding yet another chapter into his elite title run. After years of being devalued by rapid title changes, the company is finally showing the true value of the belt.

As much as Cena and Ryback are viable title threats, Punk and the WWE title are on a much more important journey; Punk is a safe bet to retain at Survivor Series.

Chance of Retaining: 80 percent


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