Week 11 Fantasy Projections: Predicting RBs Who Will Put Up Best Numbers

Tim DanielsFeatured ColumnistNovember 13, 2012

GLENDALE, AZ - OCTOBER 14:  C.J. Spiller #28 of the Buffalo Bills scores a touchdown against the Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium on October 14, 2012 in Glendale, Arizona.  (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images)
Norm Hall/Getty Images

No fantasy football position has been less reliable this season than running back. Due to the high number of committee situations, injuries and pass-happy offenses, it's become increasing difficult to find RBs owners can count on every week.

That means finding backs that will put up huge numbers in any given week is a major advantage. With that in mind, let's take a look ahead to Week 11 and project which RBs will have the best weeks and likely lead a lot of fantasy teams to victories in the process.


1. Arian Foster

Foster was able to put up 17 points against the vaunted Chicago Bears defense and hasn't scored less than 14 points in any week, making him the most consistent back in the NFL. That trend will continue for the Houston Texans star on Sunday.

He goes up against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are allowing nearly 140 yards per game on the ground and have given up 14 rushing TDs, the second most in the league. Foster scored 20 points when the teams met back in Week 2.

Given the fact he's averaged 29 touches per game since the bye week, it's clear the Texans are going to continue giving him a heavy workload, and that almost always leads to big fantasy numbers. He's the clear choice for top back in Week 11.

Projection: 24 points


2. C.J. Spiller

For some reason, Buffalo Bills head coach Chan Gailey has refused to give Spiller more touches despite proving time and again that he's one of the league's most explosive backs. He's averaged just 12 touches since the team's bye week.

Gailey's hand will be forced on Thursday night, though, because starter Fred Jackson was dealing with concussion-like symptoms after the game on Sunday. And, with the quick turnaround for a midweek game, he will be forced to miss the game.

Given a starter's workload, Spiller would be a must-start fantasy option every week instead of simply a flex player with upside. He should be in all lineups against a weak Miami Dolphins run defense, and anything less than a big game would be a surprise.

Projection: 21 points


3. Doug Martin

After scoring 83 points over a two-week span, Martin finally looked human against the the San Diego Chargers, putting up just 11 points. Still a solid showing for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' rising star, but well off his torrid pace.

Owners should expect him to rebound with another big game in Week 11. He gets to face a Carolina Panthers run defense that ranks in the middle of the pack. Carolina has also given up one rushing touchdown in each of the past three weeks.

The Bucs clearly decided to make Martin the focal point of their offense starting in Week 8, and it's paid major dividends for fantasy owners. He's showing no signs of rookie fatigue and should reach the 20-point mark once again.

Projection: 20 points