NFL Hot Seat Update: Gauging Every Head Coach After Week 10

Ryan RiddleCorrespondent INovember 12, 2012

NFL Hot Seat Update: Gauging Every Head Coach After Week 10

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    When you consider the average tenure of the NFL's 32 head coaches is only about 3.25 years, it's clear that things change fast in this league. That is why this Hot Seat needs to be updated every week.

    Here's a temperature reading—now bottoming out with On Fire and progressing to Hot, Warm, Room Temperature, Cool, Cozy and, finally, Get This Man an Extension.

    Every coach will fall somewhere on this spectrum, unless, of course, one happens to be terminated.

    Find out where your favorite team's coach is ranked and which coaches are sweating after Week 10.

Chan Gailey

1 of 32

    Last Week: On Fire

    After Week 10: On Fire

    Buffalo put up a good fight Sunday against one of the league's more consistent and powerful dynasties. However, Chan Gailey's simple message to the team before the game—to finish—unfortunately was the only thing it didn't do.

    The Bills have continued to struggle and remain one of the league's most underachieving teams, which is never a good description for the head coach. Sunday's loss to the Patriots was more of the same.

    Buffalo fans won't tolerate these performances for long, considering the higher-than-normal expectations heading into the 2012 season. It doesn’t appear likely that Gailey will escape the Hot Seat from here on out, but miracles do happen. As of right now, his status is at the most severe level possible.

    The Hot Seat would be an upgrade.

Jason Garrett

2 of 32

    Last Week: On Fire

    After Week 10: On Fire

    Apparently it is possible that another team loaded with talent can be worse off than the Cowboys.

    Beating that team, the Eagles, on Sunday was huge for Dallas' season and Jason Garrett's scorching job status.

    Still, Garrett remains On Fire—regardless of what Jerry Jones wants to disclose in his interviews. He seems to be lacking certain leadership qualities, and he doesn’t appear suited to either manage or control his highly paid and temperamental athletes.

    Cowboys owner Jerry Jones has made it clear what the expectations are for the Cowboys this season. Frankly, a losing record just won’t cut it. At the moment, Garrett is the skipper of a sinking ship, and Jones will need to find someone to blame. Considering he won't fire himself, that leaves Garrett as the most likely scapegoat.

    Garrett does shoulder a great deal of responsibility for the poor play in Big D, and he may not make it to the end of the season. Perhaps it's time to leave the head-coaching duties to a guy who can stand up to Jones.

Joe Philbin

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    Last Week: Room Temperature

    After Week 10: Room Temperature

    Miami laid a big egg at home in an upset loss to a Titans squad looking to salvage what's left of their season. This makes two losses in a row for Philbin and the Dolphins.

    Despite this lull in production, the Dolphins appear to be heading in the right direction.

    Now 4-5, patience may not be a luxury Joe Philbin can afford when you consider the tension building since Bill Parcells took a less active role as a consultant and general manager Jeff Ireland assumed full command in September 2010.

Tom Coughlin

4 of 32

    Last Week: Cool

    After Week 10: Cool

    Tom Coughlin's Giants lost a second straight game to fall to 6-4. The loss to the Bengals may not be as dire as some may think, as the Giants have a history of surviving regular-season slumps.

    This should still be a dangerous group in the postseason. After all, the Giants are the defending Super Bowl champions.

    With that said, back-to-back losses do speak to the reasons for Coughlin's relatively humble job status, which I know many of you might be wondering about.

    How can Coughlin win two Super Bowls in the last five years and not be Cozy by now? Well, given his age (66) and questionable history with player relations, he will need another deep march into the playoffs for that status to be warranted.

    If the losses begin to mount, not having the team's higher-profile players backing you up to the media or the front office can spell a quick departure.

    Also, Coughlin is no spring chicken, and the recent trend seems to favor younger head coaches. Coughlin also has the added pressure of the New York media spotlight. When that glaring light is shining on a .556 winning percentage as the Giants head coach, that could be a cause for concern.

    To put things in perspective, Andy Reid has won 60 percent of his games as the head coach of the Eagles, yet he is on the verge of being sent packing.

Bill Belichick

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    Last Week: Get This Man an Extension

    After Week 10: Get This Man an Extension

    A close victory against the Bills is a victory nonetheless. Belichick understands that some weeks you have to fight hard just to win the games you're supposed to win big. But winning or losing in any particular week will have no significant bearing on this man's job security.

    No coach in the NFL has more job security than Bill Belichick.

    He likely will coach the Patriots for as long as he wishes. The man we often see tucked away in his hoodie on the sidelines has complete control over the football operations in New England, and he sets the bar for all other active coaches in the NFL.

    Belichick is one of the most successful and influential football minds in the history of the league and likely is the most coveted individual—player or coach—in the NFL.

    He could go for it on every single fourth down while wearing a dress and smoking a Cutler-brand cigarette on the sideline, and he still wouldn't get fired.

    I think it's safe to say he'll be around for a while.

Andy Reid

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    Last Week: On Fire

    After Week 10: On Fire

    Andy Reid must overcome almost insurmountable odds to save his job. This latest loss to the Cowboys could've been the coup de grace in Reid's career as the head coach of the Philadelphia Eagles, who have now lost five games in a row.

    The pressure is clearly on for Reid and Co. He understands the sense of urgency to not just win, but win now.

    Reid has been the mastermind behind just about all of the key decisions, including a pass-happy offense that puts Michael Vick at risk for both injury and turnovers.

    He also made the odd decision to make Juan Castillo, once his offensive line coach, the defensive coordinator, even though he had no previous NFL experience on the defensive side of the ball. That poor judgment has since been rectified, but such poor decisions could soon be taking their toll in Philly.

Rex Ryan

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    Last Week: Hot

    After Week 10: On Fire

    Things are starting to look grim in the Big Apple for the boys in green. Rex Ryan has made some bold predictions, and things are now seemingly imploding all around him.

    Led by a rookie quarterback and a lackluster offense, Seattle dismantled the Jets on Sunday, somehow managing to put 28 points on the board. Meanwhile, Mark Sanchez and Co. failed to score an offensive touchdown in the 28-7 defeat.

    The Jets are 1-5 in their last six games, and Ryan is now burning up as his team slips closer to the NFL basement. Sticking with Sanchez, which has resulted in no offensive touchdowns, doesn't make matters any better, and neither does the Jets' 11-13 record over their last 24 games.

    If they make a habit of losing, it's not out of the question that owner Woody Johnson will clean house, from the GM to the quarterback.

    Perhaps a little Tim Tebow magic is what the Jets need to salvage a season officially on the decline.

Mike Shanahan

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    Last Week: Room Temperature

    After Week 10: Room Temperature

    Mike Shanahan and the 'Skins may be a few pieces away from taking over the NFC East. Perhaps a week of rest can help them in their quest to reclaim the NFL dominance once synonymous with Redskin football.

    With that said, this isn’t the year for that sort of dominance. But don’t expect owner Dan Snyder to ruin a good thing in Washington by starting over with a new coach.

    Given the competitive nature of the team, Shanahan is almost guaranteed to return as head coach next year.

    Most of the Redskins' success this season can be directly linked to the chemistry between Shanahan and rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III. The former has done a fantastic job creating an offense tailored specifically to the unique abilities of RG3.

    It would take a pretty poor season to get Shanahan on the Hot Seat, and I don't see that as a likely scenario. If the Redskins are scraping the bottom of the division with some ugly losses by Week 14, though, expect him to be there.

John Harbaugh

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    Last Week: Cozy

    After Week 10: Cozy

    A true test of John Harbaugh’s coaching worth is officially underway, as the Ravens must overcome the loss of Ray Lewis, their passionate team leader, and Lardarius Webb, one of the best cornerbacks in the NFL. So far, he's passing that test with flying colors.

    If Harbaugh can continue to find a way to win games and get into the playoffs, he should at least be considered for Coach of the Year.

    He has done a great job winning the games he's supposed to win. The most encouraging thing about the Ravens' early wins was that they came without reigning defensive MVP Terrell Suggs, who has since returned only to replace other injured defensive stars.

    After winning nearly 70 percent of his regular-season games over four years, Harbaugh’s job status is stable and will be unaffected by the outcome of any one game this season.

Lovie Smith

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    Last Week: Cool

    After Week 10: Cool

    Sunday Night Football turned out to be a night of bad weather and uncharacteristic giveaways for the team more known for its ability to force turnovers. In a hard-fought defensive battle, the Bears fell short against one of the league's best teams, the Houston Texans.

    Lovie Smith has done a nice job with the Bears, winning 57 percent of his games (78-58) in eight-plus seasons as head coach. But considering there's a new general manager in Chicago with a green light to clean house, there's some hesitation to advance Lovie to a Cozy status.

    For the time being, Smith has done everything right and put the brakes on the panic talk after some sideline drama involving QB Jay Cutler was caught on prime-time television. Smith has managed to field a consistently competitive team and is not in any immediate danger of feeling warmth.

    However, should signs emerge that his locker room is out of control, that could quickly change.

Marvin Lewis

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    Last Week: Hot

    After Week 10: Hot

    Marvin Lewis was finally able to stop the bleeding by snapping a four-game losing streak on Sunday. The impressive 31-13 win over the defending champion Giants may have been the boost his team needed.

    Lewis and the Bengals will need to replicate last year's success if he is to keep his job for another year. Not making the playoffs could spell the end of the Lewis era in Cincinnati.

    Only Andy Reid and Bill Belichick have coached their teams longer than Lewis has coached his 73-79-1 Bengals.

    Lewis has been given a lot of time to create a champion, and owner Mike Brown has given him a lot of control over personnel decisions. If the Bengals fail to build on last year's success, which appears to be the case, his window of opportunity could close.

Jim Schwartz

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    Last Week: Warm

    After Week 10: Hot

    With their latest loss to the Vikings, it now seems like the Lions' playoff hopes are all but over. A 4-5 record doesn't eliminate them mathematically, but it does make a postseason appearance more of a long shot.

    In 57 regular-season games as the Lions' head coach, Jim Schwartz has gone 22-35. This is a pretty substandard winning percentage of only 38 percent. Schwartz's saving grace has been his team's ability to improve each year.

    But despite making the playoffs the year before, has he done enough to survive a setback season?

Pat Shurmur

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    Last Week: Hot

    After Week 10: Hot 

    With no game scheduled in Week 10, Shurmur's job status will remain unchanged.

    The Browns have won only twice, but there are positive signs, specifically on defense, indicating these guys are better than their record and improving as the season goes on.

    But one thing that must pan out for Shurmur's regime to continue is the development of Brandon Weeden. Rookie quarterbacks who are 28 years old are not afforded the same patience as the more common 22-year-old variety.

    New ownership may not permit much time for this group to mesh if it exercises its right to clean house and bring in its own guys. Shurmur must see this season as an audition. Losing to a banged-up Ravens squad in their last game is the main reason Shurmur has gone back on the Hot Seat.

    Wins will be the only thing to save him. Matt Miller, Bleacher Report's NFL draft lead writer, tweeted:

     

    Hard to see Pat Shumur surviving this season. So many questionable calls. Talented team with room to grow.

    — Matt Miller (@nfldraftscout) November 4, 2012

Mike McCarthy

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    Last Week: Cozy

    After Week 10: Cozy

    Green Bay is on a four-game winning streak as it comes off of a much-needed bye week, and Aaron Rodgers looks to have returned to his dominating ways of a year ago.

    Most expected the 2012 version of Green Bay to be even more dangerous and complete, but the team has had disappointing results for much of the year.

    McCarthy is still a good coach, and Rodgers is still the best quarterback in the NFL, so expect the Packers to be major players once again in the postseason. Don't expect McCarthy's seat to get Hot this year.

Mike Tomlin

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    Last Week: Cozy

    After Week 10: Cozy

    Well, the win Monday night wasn't pretty, but few wins are in that weather. Big Ben went out with a significant injury and didn't return, which could spell big trouble for the Steelers and Tomlin's job security.

    If Pittsburgh is forced to play without its franchise quarterback, Mike Tomlin's mettle will undoubtedly be tested like never before. Should he excel under those conditions, then he would provide legitimate evidence to the argument that he may be considered a legendary coach someday. Otherwise, he might fall as low as Room Temperature before season's end.

    The path to the playoffs looks to be much more challenging than in years past for the Steelers. This could be the year they find themselves without a playoff spot, but Tomlin appears to be doing everything right by putting his team in the best position to win.

    Either way, Tomlin is almost guaranteed to return as head coach since the Steelers are only a few pieces away from contention once again. This should minimize that Tomlin was the first coach to fall from his Cozy status a few weeks back. His status has gone back and forth from Cozy to Cool ever since.

Leslie Frazier

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    Last Week: Room Temperature

    After Week 10: Cool

    Minnesota continues to prove all the doubters wrong. Leslie Frazier has rallied his team consistently, just as he did Sunday in a statement win against a red-hot Detroit Lions squad fighting hard for a playoff spot.

    Frazier is by far the most improved head coach in terms of his Hot Seat status. After the Week 2 loss to the Colts, I had Frazier on the Hot Seat. Then he and his team went on a winning streak, and he was moved all the way up to Cool.

    The Vikings' 6-4 record is impressive, considering expectations heading into the season were not very high.

    Frazier may end up proving he can be the Vikings coach for the long haul. The question still remains, though: Are these Vikings for real?

Gary Kubiak

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    Last Week: Get This Man an Extension

    After Week 10: Get This Man an Extension

    Standing atop the AFC at 8-1, Kubiak can take pride in seeing years of hard work finally paying off over the last two seasons. Kubiak has slowly built a Super Bowl-caliber team in Houston.

    Kubiak's system and coaching style have been integral to the Texans' success, so don't expect a change on the Houston sidelines in the foreseeable future.

    Given the team’s consistent improvement through the years, Kubiak has bought himself a lot of leeway. His seat is extremely safe and should remain that way for quite some time.

Mike Smith

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    Last Week: Get This Man an Extension

    After Week 10: Cozy

    Well, the Falcons finally suffered the bitter taste of defeat, losing Sunday to Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints. Considering that they were the last undefeated team in the NFL, Mike Smith's job status is secure. But adding a loss to his record, coupled with his failure to win a single playoff game, has led to a drop in his status.

    But Cozy is still a very stable status for a guy who has done nothing in the postseason thus far. This is helped by the fact that Smith has never had a losing season in Atlanta.

    In four years of calling the shots, he has won 70 percent of his games and brought a new level of consistency to the Falcons organization. Smith's job security is stable and should remain that way for at least the foreseeable future.

Chuck Pagano

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    Last Week: Room Temperature

    After Week 10: Room Temperature

    Chuck Pagano made a postgame locker room appearance after Week 9's victory over the Miami Dolphins. This video has since gone viral, while also summing up the emotional edge Indy has had throughout this season.

    Teams that have something or someone to play for are known to be dangerous in this league. Plus, any head coach who inspires his players the way Pagano has should be afforded some job security.

    He has been dealing with life-threatening issues far more serious than the outcome of any football game. He was diagnosed with leukemia and has been forced to take a leave of absence.

    Pagano, who was/is just getting started in Indy, should remain in the Room Temperature range for the duration of his inaugural season as head coach.

Ron Rivera

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    Last Week: On Fire

    After Week 10: On Fire

    Another heart-wrenching loss by the Panthers has all but eliminated them from the playoffs. The question now remains whether Rivera will be able to hold on to his job for at least another season.

    The Panthers had high expectations, hoping to glide to victory on the wings of their young star quarterback. Unfortunately, the team that won six games last year happens to be doing much worse this go-around, with a 2-7 record.

    Rivera's biggest disappointment has been the team's performance on defense. Considering he's a defensive-minded coach, the confusion on that side of the ball is becoming disturbing, to say the least.

Mike Mularkey

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    Last Week: On Fire

    After Week 10: On Fire

    The Jaguars are the worst team in the NFL. They've ranged from poor to terrible in every team category worth mentioning. Consequently, the head coach must assume the bulk of the responsibility.

    But to be fair, Mike Mularkey is not the only reason this team is dysfunctional. This is a team with many needs both in personnel and the overall direction of the franchise.

    To say the least, the Jags don't appear to be fielding a legitimate contender. If Mularkey fails to field a competitive team, he is almost guaranteed to be out of a job before season's end. More outings like the ones against the Lions and Colts the last two weeks could make ownership's decision to move on an easy one.

Sean Payton

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    Last Week: Cozy

    After Week 10: Get This Man an Extension (Literally!)

    According to Adam Schefter of ESPN, Sean Payton's contract will be voided after this season:

    Within the past year, the multi-year contract extension the Saints announced for Sean Payton in September 2011 was voided by the NFL, making the suspended head coach a free agent after this season and casting questions on how long he will remain in New Orleans, according to league sources.

    Payton is expected to become the NFL's most sought-after head coach after this season and there already is speculation in league circles that he could wind up returning to Dallas, where he worked as the assistant head coach from 2003 to 2005, during which time the Cowboys brought in quarterback Tony Romo, who attended the same college, Eastern Illinois, as Payton.

    Even though the Saints got their first win in Week 5 and have been on quite a run, winning four of their last five, this team is clearly missing its mastermind. The Saints are running around like an unpolished version of themselves, especially on defense.

    This is the irony of Payton's Hot Seat update. He is best served by a poor display from the Saints.

    Considering Payton may be the second-most important person in the franchise behind only Drew Brees, the Saints may want to begin negotiating a contract extension for him as soon as possible, just as his status indicates.

Mike Munchak

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    Last Week: Hot

    After Week 10: Warm

    In Week 9, the Titans hosted the the Chicago Bears, and frankly, they looked horrendous. The Bears embarrassed Tennessee in all phases of the game en route to a 51-20 victory.

    ESPN reported that owner Bud Adams even left the game early. Apparently owner disgust is an effective motivational tool. The Titans looked like a completely different team Sunday, as they made short work of a solid Dolphins squad.

    It seems Mike Munchak has some ability as a coach, considering that he has fielded a competitive team almost every week despite minimal talent. However, as the season has progressed, the Titans defense has been exposed and exploited time and time again, becoming one of the worst units in the NFL.

    However, last weekend could provide Tennessee fans with a glimmer of hope on defense, as the Titans held Miami to three points, For this reason, Munchak status has been upgraded from Hot to Warm.

    Now 4-6, Tennessee is not out of the playoff race yet, but unfortunately, this season could spell the end of the Munchak regime.

Greg Schiano

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    Last Week: Cool

    After Week 10: Cool

    Greg Schiano and the Bucs are on a three-game winning streak, and more importantly, they seem to be building something big in Tampa Bay.

    The Buccaneers may be one of the younger squads in the league, but they also are extremely talented, with three promising rookies in Mark Barron, Doug Martin and Lavonte David.

    They also brought in high-profile, free-agent wideout Vincent Jackson to be the go-to receiver.

    Schiano has made his mark on this once-undisciplined team, as it has one of the best turnover margins in the NFL. This improvement is one of the reasons his status has stabilized at Cool for two weeks now.

John Fox

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    Last Week: Cool

    After Week 10: Cool

    Denver has continued to improve. John Fox and the Broncos have won five of their last six games after a convincing 36-14 win Sunday over the Carolina Panthers.

    With the addition of Peyton Manning, the Broncos should be one of the most dangerous AFC teams as we near the postseason. That's why expectations are extremely high in Denver.

    Fox’s squad would have to implode for him to be in trouble. As of right now, his Broncos have won two straight and are 6-3.

    Fox has the team headed in the right direction, and he could end up sitting Cozy if he finds himself in the playoffs for the second straight season.

Ken Whisenhunt

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    Last Week: Room Temperature

    After Week 10: Room Temperature

    The Cardinals are in the midst of an abysmal five-game losing streak as they head into their bye week licking wounds and looking around for a possible savior on offense.

    The Green Bay Packers were the latest beneficiaries of an atrocious Arizona offense that has given up more sacks than any other team in the NFL. Ken Whisenhunt will have to find a way to account for his offense's glaring weakness on the offensive line.

    He has done his best with what's available. However, let's not forget the role he played in creating this lackluster quarterback situation. He released Matt Leinart and brought in Kevin Kolb with a big free-agent contract while failing to add any help on the offensive line.

    The Cardinals may have a solid defense, but they have one of the worst offenses in the NFL. Still, they started the season by beating three teams with superior personnel, and that is a sign of solid coaching. But something must be done on the offensive side of the ball if Arizona's to have any chance at the playoffs.

    Losing his sixth in a row will surely warm Whisenhunt's seat a few more degrees. For the sake of his season and his job, Whisenhunt needs to come out of this bye week with some answers on offense.

Jeff Fisher

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    Last Week: Room Temperature

    After Week 10: Room Temperature

    The Rams looked well oiled and fully charged Sunday against the powerhouse by the bay.

    The Rams are 3-5-1 after Sunday's 24-24 tie with the 49ers, and they are finding ways to be competitive at times, although week-to-week consistency will need to improve as this rebuilding process advances.

    Luckily, the Rams have their franchise QB in Sam Bradford and can build around him for the next 10 years.

    All indicators seem to point toward Jeff Fisher being a big part of that process, so his coaching status should remain relatively safe.

Romeo Crennel

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    Last Week: On Fire

    After Week 10: On Fire

    O Romeo, Romeo, wherefore art thou Romeo?

    The Chiefs lack discipline and guidance. We can clearly see the talent (minus QB) when they decide to play with heart and passion as they did on Monday night, but that same heart and effort also manifested into dumb and careless penalties, which ultimately cost them the game in Pittsburgh.

    Things are pretty ugly in Kansas City, and Matt Cassel's absence, or presence, proves the problem is much bigger than the quarterback position.

    Scott Pioli and the Chiefs organization expected immediate success this season, given the obvious talent on the roster. Unfortunately, starting the season with a 1-7 record that consists mostly of blowout losses and remarkably never having the lead during regulation already has Crennel under a blazing hot fire.

    It seems that finishing with a winning record is nearly impossible, yet that may be the only outcome that can save Crennel's job. As of right now, his seat is On Fire, and he's in immediate danger of not finishing the season.

    As for GM Pioli, this is likely the last head coach he will hire in Kansas City.

Jim Harbaugh

29 of 32

    Last Week: Get This Man an Extension

    After Week 10: Get This Man an Extension

    Jim Harbaugh took part Sunday in the first tie game in the NFL since the 2008 season, as the 49ers'  overtime battle with NFC West rival St. Louis ended 24-24.

    This game shouldn't change much in terms of Harbaugh's job status. Getting the 49ers to the NFC title game in his first year and creating a distinct identity for his team—a tough group with an old-school mentality blended perfectly with trickery and creativity—has him completely safe.

    Harbaugh’s turnaround and general leadership are hard to ignore. He will have to endure a series of terrible losses for anything to change his status.

Dennis Allen

30 of 32

    Last Week: Warm

    After Week 10: Warm

    The Raiders are 3-6 after giving up 55 points to the Baltimore Ravens, which ties a franchise record. Regardless of their record, Dennis Allen will be judged on his ability to make the team competitive while showing improvement as the season progresses.

    So far this season, it's been hit or miss for Oakland, although it's hard to ignore the level of success the Raiders have had despite glaring holes in personnel and talent. Allen deserves credit for taking over a team with a recent history of low expectations.

    But if Allen's team continues to get blown out like it did Sunday, expect to see his seat warm up rather quickly.

Pete Carroll

31 of 32

    Last Week: Cool

    After Week 10: Cool

    Pete Carroll and the Seahawks ended a two-game skid only to start a two-game winning streak. The Seahawks are now 6-4 and in prime position to make a run at the playoffs.

    Carroll is trying to prove he is more than willing to do what it takes to get them there—even if it means benching Matt Flynn, the big free-agent QB acquisition, in favor of Russell Wilson, the shrimpy third-round rookie.

    Carroll has also built perhaps the league's most feared secondary. But there doesn't seem to be enough weapons offensively to truly compete with the big boys. The Seahawks can, however, stay competitive in any game.

    Carroll has had enough success to warrant a Cool status—for now.

Norv Turner

32 of 32

    Last Week: On Fire

    After Week 10: On Fire 

    Norv Turner's job is all but lost, which is why he has the most severe of all available job statuses. He would have had this status in Week 1, but it wasn't available until Week 8.

    The only way he can keep his job is if he gets San Diego to the AFC Championship Game. Anything less and it’s "Adios, Mr. Turner." But if the Chargers can win enough games, there is a good chance his seat could cool down before long.

    As of right now, the seat doesn’t get hotter for a head coach sitting at 4-5. The Chargers ended a three-game losing streak with a solid win over a terrible Kansas City team two weeks ago, but then lost 34-24 to Tampa Bay on Sunday.

    Turner has nearly worn out his welcome in San Diego and was only retained after last season because of desperate pleas by Philip Rivers, who lobbied heavily to give the coach one last chance.

    The organization has completely lost its patience and is all but set for a complete overhaul from the top down. This means that even if the Chargers make the playoffs, Turner's status will likely be On Fire heading into that game.