Last Minute Odds, Picks Against the Spread for NFL Week 10
Looking for some last-minute odds and picks against the spread for Week 10 of the NFL season? You've come to the right place.
Using a combination of betting trends, recent performance and the lines themselves, we've picked each game left on the schedule against the spread. While not a fool-proof method, it does provide more context than just using your gut.
In the following slides, we'll give you all the odds, lines and picks against the spread for Week 10.
Odds and lines used from ESPN.com.
Giants-Bengals, Titans-Dolphins, Lions-Vikings
New York at Cincinnati (+4.0)
Not only have the Bengals lost four-straight games straight up, they've yet to cover a spread at home (0-3-1) this season. The Giants have done their best work against the spread away from the Big Apple (3-1). If betting trends stay true, New York covers.
ATS: New York
Tennessee at Miami (-6.0)
Miami has twice been a favorite this season, but twice they've failed to cover the favorite spread. A six-point line here is their highest of 2012, too. But the Titans are 1-3 against the spread away from home, and 51-20 shellackings at home don't just happen by accident.
Detroit at Minnesota (+3.0)
These are two teams headed in opposite directions. The Lions have won three of four games, while the Vikings have dropped three of four. Not having Percy Harvin available gives Detroit the edge in covering this line.
Bills-Patriots, Falcons-Saints, Chargers-Buccaneers
Buffalo at New England (-13.5)
This line has continued to grow as the week progressed, and maybe for good reason. The average winning margin for the Patriots over their last three wins in this series sits at nearly 28 points, and each win would have covered this line. It still feels a little high, but recent history says New England will cover.
ATS: New England
Atlanta at New Orleans (+1.0)
There's very little in terms of betting trends to help you decide this line. If you're going off a hunch, however, lean toward the Saints, who are starting to get things figured out and have been historically difficult to beat inside the Superdome.
ATS: New Orleans
San Diego at Tampa Bay (-3.0)
Good teams that can score points have given San Diego all kinds of trouble against the spread this season. Atlanta, Denver and New Orleans all scored 27 or more points and beat the lines against the Chargers. The Bucs are averaging 36 points a game over their last four (3-1).
ATS: Tampa Bay
Broncos-Panthers, Raiders-Ravens, Jets-Seahawks
Denver at Carolina (+4.0)
The Broncos have won three straight games and are currently unbeaten against the spread (4-0) as the favorite. The Panthers are 4-1 against the spread as an underdog this season, but a four-point line is too narrow. Denver, through Peyton Manning, covers for the fourth straight week.
Oakland at Baltimore (-9.0)
This line has continued to grow this week, but don't forget these betting trends: Oakland is 3-1 as the underdog, and Baltimore is just 1-3 as the home favorite. The Raiders can keep this game within nine points, especially after watching how close Cleveland came to beating this Ravens team in Week 9.
New York at Seattle (-6.0)
Believe it or not, this line has started coming back toward the Jets. Maybe Vegas knows something we don't, because Seattle is a perfect 4-0 against the spread at home this season. That's as good a betting trend as you can ask for, especially against a fading Jets team.
Dallas at Philadelphia (+1.0)
At just 2-6, the Eagles have been one of the NFL's worst teams against the spread this season. But in Cowboys-Eagles, with both teams desperately needing a win, anything is possible. It's a toss up, with a slight lean to Dallas in covering a one-point line.
St. Louis at San Francisco (-13.0)
This line has inflated 2.0 points to San Francisco since the open, but the betting trends wouldn't promote that prognostication. The 49ers have been shaky as a home favorite (2-2 against the spread), while St. Louis is 2-1 against the spread as the road underdog. If the two meet in the middle, St. Louis covers this big line.
ATS: St. Louis
Houston at Chicago (-1.0)
The betting trends (Houston 6-2 against the spread, Chicago 5-3) don't offer much advice, so it's up to your gut on which team you like more to win outright. Houston hasn't played a road game in almost a month, and Chicago needs this one statement game more than the Texans. The Bears by a pinch.
Kansas City at Pittsburgh (-12.5)
How this isn't the week's biggest line is beyond me. The Chiefs self-inflict more wounds than any team we've seen in a long time, and Pittsburgh has lived off turnovers and big plays. Kansas City doesn't even get the home underdog role to help out. This has all the ingredients for a prime-time blowout.