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College Football Week 11 Picks: Oregon State Beavers vs. Stanford Cardinal

Jeff GrantContributor IOctober 8, 2016

College Football Week 11 Picks: Oregon State Beavers vs. Stanford Cardinal

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    Head coach Mike Riley's Oregon State teams have a 24-10-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record as an underdog since 2007, which is an important betting trend to consider when handicapping its game against the Stanford Cardinal on Saturday.

    The Beavers are four-point road underdogs in the Week 11 college football odds (courtesy of SBR Forum), while the total has held steady at its opening number of 44.5.

    Let's take a closer look at this Pac-12 affair, which begins at 3 p.m. ET on FOX,  from a betting perspective, while offering a college football prediction along the way. 

Oregon State Beavers

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    Sports bettors will definitely be interested in backing the Oregon State Beavers on Saturday, considering they've gone 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games.

    Quarterback Cody Vaz will need to avoid making mistakes, while the defense will need to continue its superb play in crucial moments, allowing opponents to convert on only 27 of 112 third downs.

Stanford Cardinal

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    The Stanford Cardinal have failed to cover the spread in their two opportunities as Pac-12 home favorites this year, but the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series.

    Quarterback Kevin Hogan has taken over for Josh Nunes under center, which could provide a lift for the offense, while the defense leads the nation in stopping the run.

Las Vegas Perspective

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    I reached out to Jimmy Vaccaro earlier this week about this high-profile affair. He serves as the public relations director for William Hill U.S., and here's what he had to say: 

    Money early on Oregon State. Understand why. Look for this game to go lower, and I think look for Oregon State to upset Stanford.

Prediction

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    I'm going to recommend that readers back the Oregon State Beavers in this contest, as they improve to 4-0 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points this season.

     

    College Football Week 11 Pick: Oregon State Beavers +4

     

    Follow Jeff Grant on Twitter

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