NFL Picks Week 10: Sunday Favorites on Upset Alert

Donald WoodFeatured ColumnistNovember 11, 2012

ATLANTA, GA - NOVEMBER 04:  Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons celebrates after a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys at Georgia Dome on November 4, 2012 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

With Week 10 of the 2012 NFL regular season already upon us, it’s time to run down the schedule and find out which Sunday favorites have been put on upset alert.

As much as it will hurt the following teams’ fans to hear, all of the squads on the list are favorites to win Sunday but are in serious danger of losing outright; forget the betting spread.

If you are part of a suicide pool or you are just making a friendly wager on any of the following contests, be sure to consider the upset alert put on each of these teams. Good luck!

All betting information courtesy of


Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta at New Orleans

The Atlanta Falcons come into their Week 10 matchup with the New Orleans Saints as the 2.5-point favorites despite the fact that this AFC South divisional battle is being fought in front of Saints fans in New Orleans.

As great as Matt Ryan has been at home in his career, his prowess on the road is not nearly as impeccable. Add in the porous New Orleans secondary and the Saints' 3-5 record, and the Falcons could flat-out underestimate their opponents Sunday.

If Atlanta doesn’t bring its best offensive game of the season to New Orleans—while still managing to stifle the red-hot Drew Brees—the Falcons' unblemished season will be ruined and a loss will be added to their record.


Dallas Cowboys

Dallas at Philadelphia

There may be no team in the entire NFL that needs a Week 10 win more than the Dallas Cowboys, but they have their work cut out for them when they face hated division rival Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field.

Dallas is favored by two points in this game, but the team’s lack of recent success—coupled with the fact that Philadelphia is playing for the career of its coach and QB—has the Cowboys on upset alert Sunday.

If the Eagles can get their pass rush working effectively against the Cowboys' mediocre offensive line, Tony Romo will make the mistakes necessary to lose the game outright.

Heads will roll if Dallas loses Sunday, and this divisional upset is a very real possibility.


Chicago Bears

Houston at Chicago

The Chicago Bears’ defensive unit has been amazing in 2012, but it hasn't faced an offense built like Houston's. With a run-first Texans’ offense that doesn’t turn the ball over, the Bears have been put on upset alert.

Chicago’s defense will stifle Houston’s offense at times, but Arian Foster and the skill players for the Texans will get their yardage no matter what defense they are playing against. This game will come down to the arm of Bears QB Jay Cutler.

With Cutler’s TD-to-INT ratio at 12:8 and the Houston defense allowing just 203.8 yards passing per game (fourth-best in the NFL), the Texans will make Chicago's quarterback sweat all day.

If the offensive line in Chicago can’t give Cutler the time in the pocket he needs, the Bears will lose this matchup in blowout fashion.


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