NFL Week 10 Predictions: Underdogs That Will Easily Cover the Spread

Tim KeeneyContributor INovember 8, 2012

HOUSTON, TX - NOVEMBER 04:  Ryan Fitzpatrick #14 of the Buffalo Bills is knocked down by J.J. Watt #99 of the Houston Texans in the fourth quarter at Reliant Stadium on November 4, 2012 in Houston, Texas. Houston defeated Buffalo 21-9. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
Bob Levey/Getty Images

Underdogs will rule supreme in Week 10.

The top five or six teams in the NFL this year have for the most part been overwhelmingly dominant, but after that, parity is alive and well. 

For those looking to strike it rich via strictly legal betting, that can only be seen as a good thing. Let's take a look at what underdogs are primed to cover the spread this weekend.

Note: spreads comes from Covers


Minnesota Vikings (+1) vs. Detroit Lions

Two weeks ago, everyone was ready to anoint the Vikings as the best thing since sliced cheese. But after road losses to the red-hot Doug Martin and pretty much unbeatable-when-at-home Seattle Seahawks, the cheese is suddenly stinky. 

Or something like that. 

Just know that this is still the same team that everyone touted as a playoff contender not too long ago. 

The Vikes are still at home, where they are 4-1. They still have Adrian Peterson, who has scorched two of the league's best run defenses for 305 yards over the past two weeks. They still have Percy Harvin, and even if he's not 100 percent, Peterson will be able to carry the load against a Detroit defense that is 20th in the league at stopping the run. 

The Lions have been playing better as of late and have won two in a row, but you won't find a better underdog than an all-around talented team like the Vikings at home. 


Philadelphia Eagles (+1.5) vs. Dallas Cowboys

Otherwise known as the Underachievers Bowl. 

The Eagles and Cowboys both have ridiculous amounts of talent, but Philly's inability to protect Michael Vick—and Michael Vick being Michael Vick—and Dallas' inability to run the ball and limit turnovers has led to both teams holding on to a disappointing 3-5 record. 

When it comes down to it, there's no way to predict what these squads will do week-in and week-out. They are simply too inconsistent.

But if either squad is going to get points at home, especially a week after an embarrassing prime-time loss, I'm going to jump all over it. 


Houston Texans (+2) at Chicago Bears

Betting against the 7-1 Chicago Bears at home is a risky proposition, but as it turns out, the 7-1 Houston Texans are pretty good, as well.

Here's what scares me about the Bears: In the last two games, Chicago has scored five offensive touchdowns and four defensive touchdowns.

On the surface, that is incredibly impressive, but what happens if they aren't able to generate defensive scores? The Texans have just six giveaways on the season and are owners of one the most run-heavy offenses in the game.

In this one, the Bears won't be able to rely on their normally dominant defense. 

On the other side of the ball, a shaky Chicago offensive line having to slow down J.J. Watt is a very scary thought, especially if you're Jay Cutler. The Bears have talented weapons in Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte, but they've been susceptible on offense when the O-line struggles. 

Even on the road, I'm going with the Texans straight up.