Jets vs. Seahawks: Spread Info, Line and Predictions
Yes, the Jets still cling to the hope of making the playoffs. Antonio Cromartie stated on an NFL Network telecast on Thursday that the Jets will make the playoffs. He even qualified that with "this year."
"The Jets will make the playoffs this year. We believe in eachother. We believe in Coach Ryan & his staff." - Antonio Cromartie— FOX SPORTS: NFL (@NFLONFOX) November 8, 2012
Seattle, on the other hand, is actually sitting in playoff position.
The Seahawks can't afford to lose a game at home, though. They are 4-0 at the CLink this season, holding arguably the best home-field advantage in the NFL. They've struggled on the road and need to claim wins when they can.
Here's a comprehensive look at the matchup this weekend, including spread information, big-time fantasy playmakers and a prediction on how this showdown will end.
When: Sunday, Nov. 11, 4:05 p.m. ET
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington
Live Stream: NFL Sunday Ticket
Current Betting Lines (via OddsShark)
Money Line: Jets +230, Seahawks -270
Spread: Seattle -7
A full touchdown has the appearance of a solid spread for this game but it isn't enough. The Seahawks have had close games at home against the Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots, but it is hard to compare the Jets to those teams.
New York has been inconsistent this season. Their passing game has struggled and their rushing attack has been sporadic.
The Jets defense has been good, but injuries have eroded the talent just enough to open up opponents' passing games.
Case in point, the Jets rank 24th in scoring defense.
A struggling passing game and difficulties on defense are more correlative to the Dallas Cowboys (17th in scoring defense) and the Minnesota Vikings (14). The Seahawks beat those teams at home by 20 and 10 points, respectively.
In their last 14 home games, the Seahawks are 12-2 against the spread, including a current streak of 7-0. Give up the points and cover your ears when the Seahawks are at home.
My original projection on this game had a total of 44 points. When looking at the Jets' offense, I've taken away a touchdown, landing on a total of 37.
Seattle doesn't like to push the ball down the field when they have a lead; the odds of the Jets getting ahead in this game are low. It is possible one, or both, of these defenses will score.
But without defensive points, I see this game favoring the under.
Alex Trautwig/Getty Images
#Jets injury report: Ellis was limited in practice, along w/ Landry, Mangold, Moore, Po'uha, Powell, Scott and Eric Smith. McKnight DNP— Kimberley A. Martin (@KMart_LI) November 9, 2012
Both teams have long injury reports. Additional information will be available on Friday afternoon, but there are reasons for both teams to be concerned.
Thursday Injury Report: DNP - Carpenter, Lynch, Bryant, Wright, McDonald, Chancellor, Scruggs, Sherman shwks.com/injury— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) November 9, 2012
UPDATE, Friday, Nov. 9, 4:50 p.m. by Darin Pike
Seattle will be without two important pieces on Sunday. The drop form K.J. Wright to Mike Morgan was noticeable last Sunday.
Per @seahawks G Moffitt & LB Morgan get start for G Carpenter & LB Wright - both OUT vs Jets w/concussions. Official injury report due soon.— Liz Mathews 710 ESPN (@Liz_Mathews) November 9, 2012
---End of Update---
Fantasy Big Plays
New York Jets: WR Jeremy Kerley
Kerley has been the top receiver for the Jets this season with 478 yards and two touchdowns. He had 120 yards against the Patriots and 94 against the Texans.
He was also held to 12 yards on two receptions by the 49ers.
The latter stat line is more akin to what the Seahawks are surrendering to No. 1 receivers. Percy Harvin had two catches for 10 yards, Calvin Johnson had three catches for 46 yards and the 49er receivers had a combined six catches for 63 yards.
Projected Stats: 3 receptions, 32 yards, 0 TD
Seattle Seahawks: RB Marshawn Lynch
Lynch is the No. 2 running back in the NFL with 881 yards over nine games. He's going up against a run defense that stops average ground games but struggles with elite attacks.
Unfortunately for the Jets, Seattle's ground game is elite.
Run-blocking schemes are working for Seattle and they could have their full complement of starters on the field for just the second time this season, pending the status of James Carpenter.
The Seahawks will give Lynch the ball often and he'll reward them for doing so.
Lynch has rushed for over 100 yards in three-straight games, and there is no reason to expect the streak to end at home.
Projected Stats: 128 yards, 1 TD
Key to Victory
Both of these teams want to assert themselves on the ground and use that success to open up a passing game. One of them has been effective doing so.
The Jets are completing just 53 percent of their passes, good for last in the NFL. With the talent in Seattle's secondary and their intrepid home pass rush, Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow will be hard-pressed to reverse their fortunes in the CLink.
Seattle's passing game has been steadily improving, especially with Russell Wilson gaining a comfort level with the offense and his receivers. Lynch's ground threat should keep the Jets' defense off-balance and play-action should keep the safeties engaged with the line of scrimmage and from clogging soft areas in coverage.
The common theme in their losses is shutting down the ground game and forcing them to throw the ball. That scenario plays right into the hands of Pete Carroll's defense.
Teams that can pressure Mark Sanchez will be successful and the Seahawks can bring pressure at home. The crowd noise nullifies the jump the offensive line normally gets off the snap.
Some Jets-friendly publications have blindly looked at the Seahawks' offensive rank and assumed their offense is inept.
While they are one of the few teams that are below the Jets in total offense and passing offense, those figures have been steadily improving as Russell Wilson gains familiarity with his new offense and receivers. He has eight touchdowns and just two interceptions in his last four games.
But the key to Seattle's offense is the ground game. They are one of the best rushing teams in the NFL while the Jets are 29th in yards per game (141.4) and 24th in yards per attempt (4.4).
Final Score: Seahawks 27, Jets 10
Darin Pike is a writer for Bleacher Report's Breaking News Team and a Featured Columnist covering the NFL and the Seattle Seahawks.
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