NFL Odds Week 10: Favorites That Are Locks to Cover

Ethan GrantAnalyst INovember 8, 2012

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 4: Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger #7 of the Pittsburgh Steelers looks to hand off against the New York Giants during an NFL game at MetLife Stadium on November 4, 2012 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Steelers defeated the Giants 24-20. (Photo by Rich Schultz /Getty Images)
Rich Schultz/Getty Images

Picking favorites is no easy task, especially with the talent roaming every NFL sideline. This week, there aren't many favorites that jump off the board, but the ones that do jump off big.

The Week 10 NFL betting lineup features some of the closest matchups we've seen all season. Dallas and Philadelphia are in a virtual deadlock. Chicago vs. Houston pits each conference's best against each other, while Atlanta vs. New Orleans looks more like a rivalry after the Saints seem to have found some rhythm.

Luckily for bettors, they also feature some of the most friendly matchups. Oddsmakers certainly gave some trap games with matchups, but there is a lot of good action to be had in games you might not expect.

Here's a look at three games to lay the points down on in Week 10. Make yourself a nice little profit as the holiday season approaches and the gift lists start piling up. (All lines according to Bovada).


Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Is there a better spread in the league than this one this week? Indianapolis is playing off emotion, they've got a true star at QB and everyone is buying into this team-first concept inspired by former coach Chuck Pagano.

This Thursday night matchup will truly test the fortitude of the Colts, but in true feel-good story fashion, they get a Jacksonville team without Maurice Jones-Drew and without a real shot to take this team down.

The Colts are by no means an offensive or defensive juggernaut, but they find a way to win games. Lines usually give three points to the home team, meaning this would be a touchdown or so game for Indy on a level playing field.

The way things are going in Jacksonville, it might as well be one. Take Indy and watch Andrew Luck show you why he was the No. 1 overall pick in the draft.


Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers (-12.5)

The No. 1 draft pick awaits the Chiefs in 2013, and another big loss awaits them on Sunday. Although this game has the potential to be the Baltimore-Jacksonville game of 2011, the Steelers are hitting their stride at the right time.  

Running the football is the main focus of the offense, and Ben Roethlisberger looks poised to challenge Baltimore for the AFC North title if they can win games like this in convincing fashion.

The Chiefs are a mess. Both QBs have been horrendous. They've been so bad that their fans took it upon themselves to cheer an injury, one of the greatest disgraces in professional sports history. Kansas City loves to make headlines the wrong way, so put your money on Pittsburgh to beat them eight ways to Sunday.


New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks (-6)

Although this game is somewhat risky from a wild-card Jet team, the Seahawks simply don't lose at home. At 4-0 on the season, they've covered the spread in every one of them, including wins over New England and Green Bay (tainted or not).

The Jets are somewhat lost on both sides of the ball and have had two weeks to prepare for this game. Still, they face the league's seventh-best pass defense and 11th-best run defense. Yards won't be easy to come by.

This could be the game that sparks the Tebow train. I predict that Rex Ryan won't allow it to leave the station yet again, and the Seahawks use the 12th man and a big running game from Marshawn Lynch to pound the Jets into submission.

If it ain't broke, don't bet against it, and you don't bet against Pete Carroll at home.


Ethan Grant is a featured columnist for B/R's Breaking News Team.