Boise State vs. Hawaii: Complete Game Preview

Martin SondermannAnalyst IINovember 8, 2012

Boise State vs. Hawaii: Complete Game Preview

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    Boise State (7-2, 4-1 MWC) will make the long flight to Honolulu, Hawaii to take on the Warriors (1-7, 0-5 MWC) in Aloha Stadium Saturday.

    For the Broncos this game comes on the heels of a very disappointing loss to San Diego State. For Hawaii it is just another game in a very disappointing season.

    The Warriors have just one win in 2012, and that was against Lamar who is currently 3-7 overall and 0-5 in the Southland Conference of the FCS.

    Will Boise State rebound? Will Hawaii catch the Broncos sleep walking? Let's take a look at the possibilities.

Game Day Information

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    Game: Boise State at Hawaii

    When: Saturday, November 10, 2012

    Time: 5:00 (MST)

    Where: Honolulu, HI

    Stadium: Aloha Stadium

    Television: NBC Sports Network

    Radio: Bronco Radio Network

    Live Stats: BroncoSports

    Twitter: @BroncoSportsFB

Depth Chart for Boise State

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    Boise State Offense



    QB: Joe Southwick, Grant Hedrick

    RB: D.J. Harper, Jay Ajayi

    FB: Dan Paul, Connor Peters

    TE: Chandler Koch, Holden Huff

    WX: Matt Miller, Aaron Burks

    WZ: Chris Potter, Dallas Burroughs

    HR: Kirby Moore, Geraldo Boldewijn

    RT: Brenel Myers, Rees Odhiambo

    RG: Michael Ames, Jake Broyles

    OC: Matt Paradis, Spencer Gerke

    LG: Joe Kellogg, Spencer Gerke 

    LT: Charles Leno Jr., Faraji Wright



    Defense



    E: Demarcus Lawrence, Tyler Horn

    N: Ricky Tjong-A-Tjoe, Greg Grimes

    T: Darren Koontz, Armand Nance

    SE: Sam Ukwuachu, Beau Martin

    LB: J.C. Percy, Tyler Gray

    LB: Tommy Smith, Blake Renaud

    NB: Dextrell Simmons, Corey Bell

    CB: Jamar Taylor, Ebo Makinde

    CB: Jerrell Gavins, Donte Deayon

    S: Jeremy Ioane, Hazen Moss

    S: Darian Thompson, Dillon Lukehart



    Special Teams



    P: Trevor Harman, Dan Goodale

    PK: Michael Frisina, Dan Goodale

    KO: Trevor Harman, Dan Goodale

    KR: D.J. Harper, Dallas Burroughs

    PR: Chris Potter

    LS: Chris Roberson, Kevin Keane

Depth Chart for Hawaii

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    Offense

     

    QB: Sean Schroeder, Cayman Shutter

    RB: Joey Iosefa, Will Gregory

    F: Scott Harding, Ryan Hall

    Z: Billy Ray Stutzmann, Scott Harding

    X: Trevor Davis, Chris Gant

    TE: Craig Cofer, Harold Moleni

    RT: Mike Milovale, Sean Shigematsu

    RG: Dave Lefotu, Frank Loyd Jr.

    C: Ben Clarke, Kody Afusia

    LG: Kody Afusia, Chauncy Winchester-Makainai

    LT: Blake Muir, Kapua Sai

     

    Defense

     

    DE: Paipai Falemalu, Ho'oikaika Cavaco-Amoy

    DT: Siasau Matagiese, Marcus Malepeai

    NT: Haku Correa, Kaeo Alo

    DE: Beau Yap, Tavita Woodard

    WILL: Art Laurel, Kendrick Van Ackeren

    MIKE: Brenden Daley, Benetton Fonua

    SAM: Jerrol Garcia-Williams, TJ Taimatuia

    CB: Ne'Quan Phillips, Tony Grimes

    SS: John Hardy-Tuliau, Charles Clay

    FS: Marrell Jackson, Mike Sellers

    CB: Mike Edwards, Dee Maggitt

     

    Special Teams

     

    P: Alex Dunnachie

    PK: Tyler Hadden

    LS: Luke Ingram

    H: Cayman Shutter

    KOR: Mike Edwards

    PR: Scott Harding

Boise State Last Week

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    Boise State suffered only its second loss of the season last Saturday, at the hands of San Diego State. The loss dropped the Broncos from first place in the Mountain West Conference and made the chances of an outright title very difficult for Chris Peterson and his team.

    In that game it was the third quarter that did the most harm for BSU. Joe Southwick threw an interception on the first play of the second half, and then the Aztecs blocked a Boise State punt which led to a San Diego State touchdown. The Broncos also had a fruitless six-play drive and a three-and-out.

    By the end of the third quarter the Broncos defense was getting worn down, and with the lack of offensive production, the entire momentum of the game was going the Aztecs way.

    Boise State had a chance to tie the game in the fourth quarter on a two-point conversion try. However, they fell short when Joe Southick was flushed from the pocket and was forced to throw the ball up for grabs on the opposite side of the field from the design of the play. That led to a San Diego State interception.

    The Aztecs were then able to run out the clock on a tired Bronco defense. The result was a very disappointing and rare home loss for Boise State.

Hawaii Last Week

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    Hawaii was dealt another defeat last Saturday. This time it was at the hands of Derek Carr and the Fresno State Bulldogs.

    Carr threw four touchdowns on the way to a route of the Warriors 45-10. The game was actually much worse than the score indicates however.

    It was 42-3 at halftime.

    Running back Robbie Rouse ran the ball 13 times for 102 yards and a touchdown for the Bulldogs. It was a benchmark game for Rouse who went over 1000 yards for the season, but it was another horrible loss for Hawaii.

What This Game Means to Both Teams

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    Boise State must win this game, and win it big. They are coming off of a very disappointing loss and are trying to work through suspensions and injuries.

    The Broncos need an offensive breakthrough and a game where the defense doesn't have to carry the load. Hawaii is the perfect place to get those things done.

    For Hawaii this game is another chance to grow. This season has been extremely disappointing for the Warriors. They have only one win on the season, and the closest contest all season since then was a 35-23 loss to New Mexico at home.

    If Hawaii can keep this game close it will be a victory for head coach Norm Chow and his team.

Key Player for Boise State

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    Joe Southwick is the key player for Boise State versus Hawaii. Not because he is the key to victory, but rather, because he is the key to getting the Broncos offense off the ground.

    For the season, Southwick has completed 169 passes on 258 attempts for 1,842 yards, 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He has a completion rate of 65.5 percent and a quarterback rating of 132.8. His stats are average, but with the excellent receivers at his disposal, those numbers should be better.

    Against Hawaii he will face the perfect defense to get things going. If Southwick can come out against the Warriors and throw the ball with accuracy he should have a good game. The Broncos can certainly throw down the field on Hawaii, and you can probably expect the Broncos coaching staff to try to make that happen early and often.

    If Joe can get things rolling Saturday it will bode well for the remainder of the season. The Broncos face Colorado State at home the following week and then they have a bye week which should help get some injured players healthy.

    The last game of the season is on December 1st in Reno. It will require a balanced attack on offense for Boise State to win that game. The running game already looks good, but the passing game needs to improve greatly before facing the Wolf Pack.

Key Player for Hawaii

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    The key player for Hawaii versus the Broncos would actually have to be more than just one person. Five people to be exact. It will be the offensive line.

    Boise State has some potent pass rushers, and on the season Hawaii quarterback Sean Schoeder has been sacked 25 times.

    If Demarcus Lawrence ever wanted to break some Boise State team records, this would probably be the game to do it.

    Lawrence is a terror to quarterbacks and has 6.5 sacks this season so far. He could possibly get that many Saturday against the Warriors.

    The offensive line of Hawaii will need to step up in a big way if they want this game to stay competitive.

Boise State Will Win If...

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    Boise State will win this game if the defense plays decent and the offense is able to produce. The Broncos can't afford to overlook the Warriors, and they will need to avoid mistakes.

    Boise State will also need a much better performance from its special teams. Last week against San Diego Sate those special teams cost the Broncos dearly. However, you have to believe the coaching staff made special teams an area of focus this week. Anyone who has ever played the game knows what that means.

    Efficiency and accuracy from Joe Southwick will make the day very long for the Warriors, and with the added punch of a potent Boise State running attack, the Broncos should be able to do a lot on offense.

Hawaii Will Win If...

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    Hawaii will win if they play their best game of the season and the Broncos overlook them.

    The Warriors will need to show incredible improvement in every area of the game and hope that Boise State shows up still suffering the effects of a disappointing loss.

    The matchup on paper isn't even close, but stranger things have happened. Boise State barely beat New Mexico 32-29, in a game that the Broncos almost let slip away. Hawaii lost to those same Lobos by a score of 35-23 in a game that was very competitive.

Prediction

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    The Warriors are in the bottom 20 in many offensive and defensive categories. They are ranked 104th in passing yards per game, 109th in rushing yards per contest, 107th in points per game at 20.3 and 122nd in points against the defense at 42.6.

    Boise State needs this victory and they need to look good doing it. They should accomplish both tasks.

     

     

    Player Predictions


    Joe Southwick will throw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns.

    D.J. Harper should run for over 100 yards and have a touchdown or two himself.

    Jay Ajayi should run for over 100 yards and a touchdown.

    Demarcus Lawrence and the rest of the Broncos defense will sack the Hawaii quarterback at least four times.

     

     

    Final Score Prediction


    Boise State 48, Hawaii 7