Fantasy Football: Matt Forte Headlines Week 10 Stock Report

Jay ClemonsFantasy Sports Lead WriterNovember 7, 2012

Fantasy Football: Matt Forte Headlines Week 10 Stock Report

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    The following countdown details The Fantasy Blog's stock report heading into NFL Week 10.

    Just like the American stock market, these 10 assets are prone to evolving (or devolving) value swings throughout the season.

    But alas, that's why the NFL schedules the games. Fantasy life, as we know it, undergoes substantial change every weekend.

    Enjoy the show!

Rising: QB Carson Palmer, Oakland Raiders

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    2012 Stats: 2,355 Yards Passing, 14 Total TDs 

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. For Weeks 7-9, Carson Palmer led all quarterbacks in fantasy points (81.7).

    2. Through eight games, he has thrown for 297 yards and/or three touchdowns six times.

    3. Last week against the Bucs, Palmer posted seasonal highs in completions (39), pass attempts (61), yards passing (414) and touchdowns (four).

    4. The Raiders have potentially juicy matchups with the Ravens, Saints and Bengals (Palmer's Cincy homecoming) in the next three weeks.

    5. Palmer may be the season's best fourth-quarter QB fantasy-wise.

Falling: QB Brandon Weeden, Cleveland Browns

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    2012 Stats: 2,088 Yards, 9 TDs 

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Brandon Weeden has failed to throw for more than 200 yards or account for one touchdown in his last two games.

    2. In the previous seven weeks, the rookie had two games of 300 yards passing and four outings of multiple touchdowns.

    3. The Browns have scored a deflating grand total of 35 points since Week 7.

Rising: RB Matt Forte, Chicago Bears

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    2012 Stats: 718 Total Yards (539 Rushing), 3 TDs 

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Over the last three weeks, Matt Forte has the fifth-most fantasy points among tailbacks (standard-scoring leagues).

    2. Through seven games, Forte has accounted for 100 total yards and/or one touchdown five times.

    3. He has per-outing averages of 21.8 touches and 117 total yards since Week 5 (four games), debunking the notion that he and Michael Bush would split touches as the season evolved.

Slipping: RB Ahmad Bradshaw, New York Giants

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    2012 Stats: 726 Total Yards (618 Rushing), 4 TDs 

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. After rushing for 316 yards in Weeks 5 and 6, Ahmad Bradshaw has incurred a noticeable dip in production, with 191 total yards and one touchdown in his last three games.

    2. He hasn't caught a pass in the last two weeks.

    3. Since Week 7, Bradshaw's backfield mate Andre Brown actually has more fantasy points.

Rising: WR Randall Cobb, Green Bay Packers

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    2012 Stats: 45 Catches, 500 Yards, 6 TDs 

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Among wide receivers, Randall Cobb has the second-most fantasy points since Week 7 (standard-scoring leagues).

    2. Cobb has accounted for six touchdowns in the last five games—the most of any Packers playmaker in that span. This run of fantasy glory coincides with QB Aaron Rodgers' prodigious numbers since Week 5 (18 TD passes).

    3. The Packers wideout has notched at least seven targets in the last four weeks—a reward for stepping up during the injury-related absences of Greg Jennings and Jordy Nelson and diminishing returns from tight end Jermichael Finley.

    4. Aside from receiving, Cobb has 96 rushing yards and one kick-return touchdown this season.

Falling: WR Kenny Britt, Tennessee Titans

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    2012 Stats: 25 Catches, 276 Yards, 1 TD 

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Through seven games, Kenny Britt has only one touchdown and one outing of six-plus catches.

    2. Despite 19 combined targets for Weeks 7-9, Britt is currently mired in a three-game touchdown drought.

    3. Britt has been one of the season's most underwhelming fantasy performers. In fact, he has resembled nothing of the dynamo who tallied 14 catches, 271 yards and three touchdowns in his first two games of 2011.

    The above statement acknowledges Britt's one-year removal from major knee surgery...and that Titans quarterbacks (Jake Locker, Matt Hasselbeck) have struggled mightily.

Rising: WR Denarius Moore, Oakland Raiders

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    2012 Stats: 30 Catches, 485 Yards, 4 TDs 

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Denarius Moore has collected a minimum of eight targets in all seven games.

    2. In standard-scoring leagues, he ranks No. 8 among receivers since Week 7.

    3. For the year, Moore is a perfect 7-of-7 in racking up 66 receiving yards and/or one touchdown.

    4. Moore is the No. 1 receiving target in one of the NFL's most progressive passing offenses—especially during the second half of games.

Slumping: WR Josh Gordon, Cleveland Browns

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    2012 Stats: 19 Catches, 417 Yards, 4 TDs 

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Coinciding with Brandon Weeden's recent slump, Josh Gordon has only five catches, eight targets and 84 yards (with zero scores) in his last two games.

    2. Head-scratching stat of the year: Gordon has failed to catch four or more balls in all nine games.

    3. The fantasy gods haven't been kind to Gordon since he dropped a potential game-winning touchdown against Indy in Week 7.

    (To be fair, the midday sunshine inside Lucas Oil Stadium can be very troublesome.)

Rising: TE Heath Miller, Pittsburgh Steelers

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    2012 Stats: 39 Catches, 384 Yards, 6 TDs 

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Heath Miller already has more touchdowns in 2012 (six) than in the previous two seasons combined.

    2. Through eight games, Miller has registered at least four catches and five targets seven times.

    3. Miller has already notched touchdowns in back-to-back outings three times.

Falling: TE Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings

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    2012 Stats: 27 Catches, 242 Yards, 5 TDs 

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. For Weeks 7-9, Kyle Rudolph was the 29th-ranked tight end in standard-scoring leagues.

    2. He has only two catches in the last three weeks—a slump that includes two goose-egg outings.

    3. Despite his five seasonal touchdowns, Rudolph has only had two games of double-digit fantasy points. Think about that for a second.