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Linsanity feels like it was ages ago as Jeremy Lin suits up in a Houston Rockets uniform
Don’t we all miss Linsanity? Well, Linsanity is long gone. Jeremy Lin, a Harvard graduate, was smart and cashed in on his 35-game explosion starting last February.
Jeremy Lin is not a special player. I repeat: Jeremy Lin is NOT a special player. What Jeremy Lin is, however, is a good point guard who is smart and quick enough to lead his team and create for his teammates.
That's a great asset to have, except for when you are paying an average of over eight million dollars per year to get it.
Lin is being paid for the 18.2 points per game and 7.7 assists per game he averaged as a starter last season. In reality, he is being paid more for the eight game stretch, now known as "Linsanity," in which he averaged over 20 points per game and over eight assists.
After February, Lin's statistics noticeably dropped off. Many will attribute that to the return of ball-stopper Carmelo Anthony, but I will attribute it to a statistical concept that I call regression to the mean.
Regression to the mean in layman's terms basically says that in a large enough sample size, all averages (batting averages in baseball, most per game numbers in basketball, etc.) will return to what their natural, sensible value should be.
Lin's skill set and body did not dictate that over 82 games, he could average 20 points and almost 10 assists. He is not Chris Paul or Deron Williams. Lin will average somewhere in the range of 15 points and seven assists per game, which is what his expectations should have been. That is far from the superstar everyone expects Jeremy Lin to become.