Alabama Football: Projecting How Crimson Tide Will Fare over Final Stretch

Patrick Clarke@@_Pat_ClarkeCorrespondent INovember 5, 2012

TUSCALOOSA, AL - OCTOBER 27:  AJ McCarron #10 of the Alabama Crimson Tide talks to his offense against the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Bryant-Denny Stadium on October 27, 2012 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The Alabama Crimson Tide have won 13 straight games dating back to last November, and they are just four wins away from earning a trip back to the BCS National Championship Game this coming January. 

With an offense that is putting up more than 38 points per game and one of the best defenses in the history of college football, Nick Saban's crew is the hands-down favorite to win the title again. And why not? 

Here, we'll project how Alabama will fare over the final quarter of the 2012 season. 


November 10: Vs. Texas A&M

Alabama's Week 11 showdown with Texas A&M will be, without question, the team's toughest remaining matchup during the regular season. Freshman sensation Johnny Manziel and the Aggies boast the nation's fourth-highest scoring offense and 10th-best rushing attack. 

Even more impressive, A&M is 5-0 on the road this season and 3-0 away from home against SEC competition.

Still, despite all the great things Kevin Sumlin's squad has going for it this fall, I believe Nick Saban will produce another exceptional game plan, and defensive coordinator Kirby Smart will dial up the perfect plays in big moments. 

The Aggies can score points, sure, but Alabama hasn't allowed more than 17 points in a game this season and is giving up just over nine per game on average. 

Projection: Alabama 35, Texas A&M 17


November 17: Vs. Western Carolina

It's bad enough that Western Carolina is an FCS team, but the fact that it is 1-9 on the season and in the midst of a eight-game losing streak makes this Week 12 matchup that much more unnecessary. 

Really, the best team in FBS vs. arguably the worst team in FCS? Alabama might as well just write Western Carolina its check and cancel the game.

This game will be over by the end of the first quarter. The Catamounts haven't won a game since August, and they'll have to wait until 2013 to win another. 

Projection: Alabama 45, Western Carolina 7


November 24: Vs. Auburn

Expect the Iron Bowl to be much less competitive this time around as Auburn has yet to win an SEC game in six attempts so far this season. If the Tigers lose at home to Georgia in Week 11, then they will be 0-7 in conference play entering the November 24 season finale. 

Auburn is getting outscored by eight points per game on average in 2012 and has only two wins all year. Both came at home against Louisiana-Monroe and New Mexico State.

Considering that the Tide beat a 7-4 Tigers team by 28 points inside Jordan-Hare Stadium last November, it's safe to say they'll come out on top of this year's matchup as well. As long as Cam Newton isn't present inside Bryant-Denny Stadium, give me Alabama in a landslide victory.

Projection: Alabama 38, Auburn 7



After surviving SEC West rival LSU in Death Valley in Week 10, Alabama is nearly home free. The Crimson Tide will finish the regular season with three straight home games against very beatable teams. If they can withstand Texas A&M's best upset bid in Week 11, then a 12-0 regular season is all but guaranteed.

Alabama would then play Georgia (assuming the Bulldogs beat Auburn in Week 11, otherwise Florida) in the SEC Championship Game on December 1. A win over the SEC East division winner would send the Tide to 13-0 and on its way to the BCS National Championship Game for the second straight year. 

If Alabama can win a game on the road when it turns the ball over twice, converts on one third down and possesses the ball for fewer than 21 minutes, then what game can't it win?

Alabama is without question the most dominant and well-rounded team in the country, and it is on its way to repeating as national champion in 2012.


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