College Football Week 11 Picks: Favorites That Are Locks to Win Big

Ethan GrantAnalyst INovember 5, 2012

Nov 3, 2012; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Oregon Ducks running back Kenjon Barner (24) carries the ball against the Southern California Trojans at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Oregon defeated USC 62-51. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee/Image of Sport-US PRESSWIRE

With Week 11 of the college football season comes an increased insistence on impressing voters and the computers in the BCS system. Keeping that in mind, there's a good number of BCS Top 25 teams that have the chops to win big on Saturday.

Coaches will tell you that the team's only concern on gameday is winning. That's true, but you can bet that if there's an opportunity to run up the score on an opponent with any kind of pull towards the BCS standings, the coaches will take it.

Margin of victory isn't a huge stat in the computers, but it could be the difference in being the No. 2 team in the nation and being the No. 3, especially with the top four teams still unbeaten through 10 weeks.

Here's a look at four schools you should lay the points down on this weekend. All will be favored, and all will use a big scoring effort to knock off an opponent by a considerable margin in Week 11.


Oregon at California

It's hard to argue with the Ducks right now. Oregon dropped 62 points on USC, even if they allowed 51. The nation's quickest and most prolific offense knows no bounds right now, as Chip Kelly has the No. 3 Ducks in position to make a title game run.

Against Cal, who the Ducks will take on Saturday night in Berkeley, Kelly's team has somewhat struggled the past two seasons. Last year, the Golden Bears hung out until the second half en route to a loss, and in 2010, the Bears took then-No. 1 Oregon to the wire, losing 15-13.

Although the game was mired in controversy after several Cal players appeared to fake injury to slow down the pace, you can bet Kelly is preaching that these guys deserve a little payback for holding them under 50 points two seasons in a row.

The Ducks don't need this game to be lopsided to help their cause, but smart money says it will be when the game is over.


LSU vs. Mississippi State

The Tigers were one drive away from completely screwing up the BCS picture. But AJ McCarron and the Alabama Crimson Tide exposed the Bayou Bengals' defense on the final drive of the game, and wound up with a signature 21-17 win on the road.

Les Miles and the Tigers now get a struggling Mississippi State team at home, coming off two consecutive losses to Texas A&M and 'Bama.

The Bulldogs couldn't contend with the speed of A&M QB Johnny Manziel, and while their defensive personnel figure to match up better with the rough, tough players up front for LSU, there's still too much speed on the outside for the defense to contend with.

LSU is understandably emotional and plays well in this bounce-back win, and picks up some major points towards potentially crashing the BCS party after it's all said and done.


Georgia at Auburn

It's been a rough season for Gene Chizik and the Tigers, and it won't get any better with QB Aaron Murray and the Bulldogs coming to town.

Auburn had trouble with lowly New Mexico State in the first half in Week 10, before climbing on Onterio McCalebb's back to pull away in the second half. Georgia also had trouble in the first half against Ole Miss, but pulled away late to ensure a spot in the BCS Top 10.

Georgia is looking to gain ground towards the SEC championship game, and can't afford any letdowns. Auburn has nothing to lose, which makes the Tigers extremely dangerous, but with a conundrum at QB and the hijinks of the offense still up in the air, Georgia dominates this game from the outset.


Notre Dame at Boston College

Trap game? Think again. This isn't 1993, and this Notre Dame team has the mark of a special squad in 2012. It's hard to give ND credit for comeback wins over Stanford and Pittsburgh with some of the breaks that went the Irish's way, but a win is a win. 

Notre Dame will hear talks of a trap game all week, but it has come too far to let Boston College again spoil a bid at the national championship.

Everett Golson was magnificent during the final drives and the overtime session for the Irish, as Brian Kelly finally looks poised to hand the reins over and stop relying on Tommy Rees (until something goes wrong).

The Irish have only played two true road games this season. Each time, they beat a ranked team by 17 points. Both Oklahoma and Michigan State felt how strong this Irish defense can be at its best.

On the road for a third time against a team that isn't ranked, Manti Te'o and this defense won't allow another letdown. Look for the defense to score a touchdown and the Irish to pull away in the third quarter, an important designation with the voters watching closely.


Ethan Grant is a featured columnist for B/R and a member of the site's Breaking News Team.