BCS Rankings: Projecting New Top 25 After Wild Week 10

Matt Fitzgerald@@MattFitz_geraldCorrespondent IIINovember 4, 2012

As all-around wild as Week 10 was with respect to the Top 25 college football teams, the top five alone provided a month's worth of drama in the span of a few hours. Not much fluctuation may happen at the very top of the new BCS Rankings, but there is sure to be some shakeup.

In projecting the latest rankings, which is a difficult science minus all the crazy computer formulas, let's see how the national title picture might change, as well as the other bowl ramifications from this week's action.


1. Alabama Crimson Tide

This one's a no-brainer. After being dominated in time of possession and totally stagnated on offense in the second half, AJ McCarron took over in leading the Tide on a touchdown drive.

It was capped off by a screen pass that freshman RB T.J. Yeldon took 28 yards to the house after a big-time blitz from LSU.

The 21-17 victory in Baton Rouge tested the resolve of this Alabama team, and head coach Nick Saban was pleased at how well his team fought through adversity. Emotions were running high as McCarron broke down on the sideline even before the game was over.

Prior to the game-winning drive, McCarron was 1-of-7 for approximately zero yards passing in the second half. If Alabama can overcome something like that in such a hostile environment, it is clearly the No. 1 team in the nation.


2. Oregon Ducks

This weekend was all about making a statement, and Chip Kelly's bunch did just that.

The most recent USA Today coaches' poll has Oregon remaining at No. 2. The BCS should now follow suit after the team's 62-51 victory over USC at the Coliseum. It was the first time that the Ducks had truly encountered a quality opponent all season, and they didn't disappoint on the road.

While the defense does remain a bit suspect, the spread, run-based attack seems essentially unstoppable.

All the talent on the Trojan defense couldn't stop Kenjon Barner from racking up 321 yards rushing and five TDs. That kind of day has to put the senior running back squarely in the Heisman discussion—and vault the Ducks into the second spot in the BCS.


3. Kansas State Wildcats

Speaking of that Heisman Trophy, QB Collin Klein is the unquestioned front-runner. Unfortunately, he left the team's 44-30 home victory over Oklahoma State with an injury.

That adds a lot of uncertainty to the remainder of the season, which will finish off at TCU, at Baylor and at home against Texas, who recently got a huge bounce-back win over Texas Tech.

Klein is the driving force of the offense, accounting for a whopping 29 total touchdowns and leading one of the nation's best rushing attacks alongside explosive RB John Hubert.

Although the Wildcat defense has been pretty stellar for most of the season, Optimus Klein and Co. will likely have to score quite a few points to keep up with the high-powered offenses it will encounter down the stretch.


4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

The defense finally gave way to the upstart Pitt Panthers, but somehow held on to win a tight, 29-26 thriller at home in three overtimes. Ray Graham shredded the typically stout Irish defense for 172 yards and a touchdown.

Heisman hopes for All-American linebacker Manti Te'o may have taken a hit, but Notre Dame is more than content to roll on to a 9-0 record. Considering that this was the team's fifth close call of the season, though, the BCS isn't as likely to be as kind to them.

A near loss to an unranked team should push the Irish back a bit from last week's No. 3 spot. With the injury to KSU's Klein, though, opportunities for vaulting the Wildcats lurk ahead. An end of the year matchup with USC will also showcase how well the Irish can handle its bitter rival.

Stacking that game up with the Trojans' recent loss to Oregon will go a long way in determining if the Irish can leapfrog the Ducks should the two teams finished the 2012 season undefeated.


The Best of the Rest

LSU will obviously drop out of the Top Five with its loss to Alabama, leaving either idle Florida State or Georgia to climb into the fifth slot. It will likely be the Bulldogs after their 37-10 trouncing of Ole Miss. A tendency to lean toward the SEC will clinch the rise for Georgia.

QB Johnny Manziel exposed the fact that Mississippi State indeed benefited from an easy early schedule by accounting for 440 yards of total offense for Texas A&M in a 38-13 trouncing on the road. The freshman signal-caller is making a massive immediate impact on the Aggie program, succeeding Ryan Tannehill admirably.

Louisville remained undefeated with a victory over Temple under the guidance of its own super soph Teddy Bridgewater, while Oklahoma should rise a little bit with a solid 35-20 road victory at Iowa State.

Here is a more wide-ranging projection for the rest of the standings, which will officially be released later this evening.


Complete BCS Standings Projection

Rank Team
1 Alabama
2 Oregon
3 Kansas State
4 Notre Dame
5 Georgia
6 Florida State
7 Florida
8 Clemson
10 Louisville
11 Oklahoma
12 Texas A&M
13 South Carolina
14 Oregon State
15 Stanford
16 Nebraska
17 Texas
18 Rutgers
19 Northwestern
20 Mississippi State
22 USC
23 Louisiana Tech
24 Boise State
25 Toledo


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