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Updated 2012 Team Win-Loss Record Predictions for NFL Week 10

Jon DoveContributor INovember 7, 2012

Updated 2012 Team Win-Loss Record Predictions for NFL Week 10

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    As each week passes we get a better look at the contenders and pretenders in the NFL this season. There's still plenty of games left, but we're getting a better feel on how the rest of the season might shake out.

    When projecting the rest of season it's important to look at the recent momentum of each team. Everyone must keep in mind how much of an impact momentum can have throughout the course of a season.

Dallas Cowboys

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    Current Record: 3-5

    Projected Record: 7-9

    Trending: Down

    The Dallas Cowboys continue to find ways to lose football games. This past week they actually played well against the undefeated Atlanta Falcons, but penalties and poor third-down efficiency prevented them from pulling off the win.

    Going forward, Dallas doesn't have an overly difficult schedule. It has games against the struggling Philadelphia Eagles, Cleveland Browns, Cincinnati Bengals and Washington Redskins. Because of the strength of the NFC, they'll need to win just about all of those games if they hope to make the playoffs.

    Despite all the talent on the roster, the Cowboys have yet to show they are capable of going on a long winning streak. Tony Romo and Company are too prone to mistakes to string together several consecutive wins.

New York Giants

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    Current Record: 6-3

    Projected Record: 11-5

    Trending: Steady

    Don't read too much into Eli Manning's struggles against the Pittsburgh Steelers. He had a bad day, and that happens to every quarterback at some point during the season. The fact is that Manning and the New York Giants are a very talented team.

    New York is firmly in the driver's seat in the NFC East and only has two divisional games remaining. Unless they have a complete collapse, the Giants are in great position to make another playoff appearance.

    A key so far to the Giants' season has been the defense's ability to generate turnovers. It currently ranks No. 2 in the NFL with 26 total turnovers. The ability to create takeaways is a very underrated factor in a team's ability to win games.

Philadelphia Eagles

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    Current Record: 3-5

    Projected Record: 8-8

    Trending: Down

    The roof is about to cave in on the Philadelphia Eagles. Michael Vick continues to struggle, the defense can't make tackles and Andy Reid can't seem to find a solution. Most of the blame is falling on Vick, but the offensive line is equally to blame.

    This group has allowed 27 sacks on the season and a ton more pressures and quarterback hits. Missing several key starters like Jason Peters, Danny Watkins and Jason Kelce is forcing the Eagles to play a makeshift group.

    Philadelphia has no hope of turning its season around if it doesn't find a way correct the problems along the offensive line.

    Those fans calling for Nick Foles to replace Vick must realize that a young quarterback behind this line is a recipe for disaster.

Washington Redskins

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    Current Record: 3-6

    Projected Record: 5-11

    Trending: Down

    It seems like Mike Shanahan is becoming better known for making confusing statements to the press rather than his coaching ability. This past week he basically said that he'd given up hope for the season and is starting to evaluate players for next year. The backlash from those comments forced him to hold another press conference to explain himself.

    This and the way he handled the benching of Donovan McNabb a few years ago are just two examples of the scattered direction of the franchise. At this point, it seems like Shanahan is surviving based on reputation and not based on results.

    The Washington Redskins need to be careful because this type of instability can hurt the development of Robert Griffin III.

    It'll be tough for the team to play as a unit after the comments made by Shanahan. Expect to see a lot of players playing for themselves and not as a team. This is why the rest of the season won't be pretty for the Redskins.

Buffalo Bills

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    Current Record: 3-5

    Projected Record: 8-8

    Trending: Down

    This season couldn't have gone much worse for the Buffalo Bills. With all the offseason moves, this franchise hoped it'd finally be able to contend for a playoff spot. Instead, the wheels fell off right away after a blowout loss to the New York Jets in Week 1.

    The rest of the season doesn't figure to go much better. It's hard for any team to win football games when its defense is among the worst in the league. The Bills are allowing 31 points per game, which ranks them second worst in the NFL.

    Compounding the issues on defense is the fact that quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has turned the ball over 12 times this season. No team can win football games when a defense is giving up 31 points a game and the offense is turning the ball over.

    The rest of Buffalo's schedule is pretty soft, which is why it's possible the team finds a way to reach the .500 mark.

Miami Dolphins

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    Current Record: 4-4

    Projected Record: 9-7

    Trending: Steady

    Because of the continued development of Ryan Tannehill, things for the Miami Dolphins are looking up. The Dolphins have a real shot at earning a playoff berth. They just need Tannehill to keep playing smart football and relying on the defense.

    Miami's remaining schedule features winnable games against the Tennessee Titans, Buffalo Bills (twice) and Jacksonville Jaguars. However, to make a playoff appearance the Dolphins need to pull off a win against either the New England Patriots, San Francisco 49ers or Seattle Seahawks.

    Because of its defense, Miami possesses the ability to keep each of those games close. This means the pressure will be on Tannehill to make plays.

New England Patroits

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    Current Record: 5-3

    Projected Record: 10-6

    Trending: Up

    The New England Patriots are a few late-game mistakes away from possibly being undefeated. Their three losses have come by a combined four points. This shows just how well New England has played this season. Tom Brady and Co. just need to find a way to play better down the stretch.

    As was the case last season, the Patriots are dealing with issues in the secondary. They're hoping that the addition of Aqib Talib will help, but we shouldn't expect an immediate change. The truth is that Talib is very talented but also prone to mistakes.

    Luckily, New England's remaining schedule doesn't feature a single game against a top-notch quarterback. Andrew Luck and Matt Schaub are the only ones that should cause the Patriots any real problems.

    The likes of Ryan Tannehill, Mark Sanchez, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Blaine Gabbert are not capable of single handedly winning a football game.

New York Jets

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    Current Record: 3-5

    Projected Record: 6-10

    Trending: Down

    The New York Jets have a pretty soft schedule the rest of the season, which is why they'll be able to avoid a disastrous finish to the season. New York might not be a talented football team, but it has a chance to win a handful of games with the St. Louis Rams, Arizona Cardinals, Jacksonville Jaguars, Tennessee Titans, San Diego Chargers and Buffalo Bills remaining on the schedule.

    This soft schedule could also have a negative effect on the team. First, it'll hide some of the overall issues facing this team. It's hard to truly evaluate a group when facing lesser talent. The Jets shouldn't fool themselves, they need a lot of changes.

    The other problem is that the Jets will miss out on a better draft pick. If the Jets' schedule was tougher, they'd have a few more losses and be in position to add better talent through the draft.

Arizona Cardinals

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    Current Record: 4-5

    Projected Record: 5-11

    Trending: Down

    After five straight losses, the Arizona Cardinals' season is quickly spinning out of control. They've been unable to ride the momentum created from the hot start and are now starting to resemble the team that struggled so much in the preseason.

    The biggest issues facing this team continues to fall on the offensive side of the ball. Quarterback John Skelton isn't an elite talent, but it's hard for any quarterback to succeed behind a poor offensive line and an ineffective running game.

    Arizona's offensive line has allowed 12 more sacks than any other team in the NFL. Things won't get much better as the Cardinals face top-notch pass-rushing teams like the Chicago Bears, St. Louis Rams, Seattle Seahawks, Detroit Lions and San Francisco 49ers.

    It's because of the upcoming schedule and continued struggles of the offensive line that the Cardinals are unlikely to register more than one or two wins the rest of the season.

San Francisco 49ers

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    Current Record: 6-2

    Projected Record: 11-5

    Trending: Steady

    The San Francisco 49ers defense and running game are good enough for this team to win any game remaining on its schedule. However, the inconsistent play of Alex Smith leaves the door open for San Francisco to suffer a few more losses this season.

    There are more than a handful of teams capable of slowing down the 49ers running game, especially when they don't respect the passing attack. Smith must do a better job taking advantage of the openings deep down field.

    Otherwise, the 49ers will become too one-dimensional.

    This is still a team with a lot of promise, and has a great shot of winning the Super Bowl. However, that doesn't mean it is unbeatable.

Seattle Seahawks

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    Current Record: 5-4

    Projected Record: 9-7

    Trending: Up

    Each week Russell Wilson takes a solid step forward in his development. His ability to improve has put the Seattle Seahawks in the playoff hunt. The fact that Seattle's defense is so strong and that Marshawn Lynch is performing at a high level means Wilson can be brought along slowly.

    However, Pete Carroll and company know that they'll need their young quarterback if they hope to make a playoff appearance.

    The key for the Seahawks will be Wilson's ability to avoid turnovers and produce one explosive play per game. This will allow the defense and running game to carry the rest of the load.

St. Louis Rams

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    Current Record: 3-5

    Projected Record: 7-9

    Trending: Down

    Jeff Fisher has a knack of getting the most out of the talent on his roster. The St. Louis Rams have played better than expected because of this fact. However, the roster as a whole just doesn't have enough talent to tally many more wins this season.

    St. Louis' biggest problem right now is the struggles along the offensive line. This group has allowed a total of 23 sacks on the season. Sam Bradford doesn't have the athleticism to be overly effective when facing that type of pressure.

    The rest of the Rams' schedule features teams with a strong pass rush like the San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals.

Denver Broncos

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    Current Record: 5-3

    Projected Record: 12-4

    Trending: Up

    Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos offense is starting to find a rhythm. It appears that they've worked out all the kinks and are ready to put up big numbers. We've all seen that a Manning-led offense can be good enough to win a Super Bowl.

    The remainder of the Broncos schedule sets up nicely. They have very winnable games against the Carolina Panthers, Kansas City Chiefs (twice), Oakland Raiders and Cleveland Browns. It's also important that their remaining game against divisional rival San Diego Chargers is a home game.

    While the Broncos' defense is far from an elite unit, it has shown signs of improvement over the past few weeks. The most notable strength of the group is its ability to generate pressure on the quarterback. On the season, Denver is tied for sixth in the NFL with 24 sacks.

Kansas City Chiefs

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    Current Record: 1-7

    Projected Record: 1-15

    Trending: Down

    Absolutely nothing the Kansas City Chiefs have done this season suggests they should be favored in any game remaining on the schedule. This is a team that can't move the ball on offense and can't keep opponents out of the end zone.

    The biggest issue facing the Chiefs is the poor play by quarterback Matt Cassel. His struggles have impacted both the passing and running game. Kansas City can't get good production out of Jamaal Charles because opposing defenses don't respect the pass.

    At this point, it's between the Chiefs and the Jacksonville Jaguars to be labeled as the worst team in the NFL.

Oakland Raiders

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    Current Record: 3-5

    Projected Record: 5-11

    Trending: Down

    This past weekend's loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers should be an embarrassment for the entire Oakland Raiders organization. Any time a running back rushes for over 250 yards against a defense, it's worrisome.

    The defense isn't the only issue for Oakland, as the offensive line and Darren McFadden are playing terrible football. This is why it'll be tough for the Raiders to pull out many more victories this season.

    McFadden now has a high-ankle sprain, which will only make Oakland's offense less explosive.

    Luckily, the Raiders have a few winnable games remaining on their schedule. The games against the Kansas City Chiefs, Carolina Panthers and Cleveland Browns are all good chances for the Raiders to notch a few more wins.

San Diego Chargers

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    Current Record: 4-4

    Projected Record: 8-8

    Trending: Down

    A win is a win, but the San Diego Chargers' victory over the Kansas City Chiefs doesn't say much about the direction of the team. This is still a group that has failed to meet expectations and is performing below its talent level.

    The overall struggles of Philip Rivers and the offense are a major cause for concern. They'll need to have a strong showing against a better defense than the Chiefs before they can be considered a contender.

    One reason for optimism is the play of the defense. This group is doing a good job stopping both the run and pass. It might be beneficial for Norv Turner to start developing an offensive game plan to complement the defense.

Chicago Bears

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    Current Record: 7-1

    Projected Record: 12-4

    Trending: Up

    The Chicago Bears are winning football games because of the dominant play of their defense. Charles Tillman's ability to generate turnovers and score touchdowns is just amazing. 

    Despite some up-and-down performances, the Bears offense is starting to show positive signs. Brandon Marshall's presence has allowed Jay Cutler to overcome issues along the offensive line.

    The rest of the Bears' schedule is pretty tough. They have games remaining against the Houston Texans, San Francisco 49ers, Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions. These upcoming weeks will give us a better feel for whether the Bears are real Super Bowl contenders.

Detroit Lions

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    Current Record: 4-4

    Projected Record: 8-8

    Trending: Up

    The Detroit Lions have won three of their last four games, but the road gets much tougher in the weeks to come. Detroit's remaining schedule features talented teams such as the Green Bay Packers (twice), Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Atlanta Falcons and Chicago Bears.

    Despite playing better the past few weeks, Detroit will have a tough time getting through the rest of its schedule with a winning record.

    The Lions face several major issues, such as Matthew Stafford still looking off his game, Calvin Johnson's knee soreness and the talent (or lack thereof) in the secondary. These are problems that aren't easy to overcome.

Green Bay Packers

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    Current Record: 6-3

    Projected Record: 11-5

    Trending: Steady

    The Green Bay Packers head into their bye week on a hot streak. However, they still have more than a few issues to correct. The biggest problem they face right now is the overall health of the team. Major contributors like Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson and Clay Matthews are all dealing with injury problems.

    Another area Green Bay needs to worry about is the play of the offensive line. This group is struggling to provide Aaron Rodgers with good protection. At times, the pressure has caused Rodgers to be off-target with some throws.

    Despite the issues, the Packers still look like a team ready to make a strong playoff run. This will always be the case as long as Rodgers is under center.

Minnesota Vikings

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    Current Record: 5-4

    Projected Record: 5-11

    Trending: Down

    The Minnesota Vikings' early season success had a lot to do with a soft schedule. They also benefited from the fact that many of their opponents weren't familiar with Christian Ponder and the Vikings' offensive style. However, the past few games show that teams are starting to figure the Vikings out.

    It's hard to feel good about this team moving forward when Ponder has thrown for under 65 yards in two of the past three games. That lack of explosiveness on offense makes it tough for any team to compete week to week.

    Minnesota's schedule also gets much tougher down the stretch. They still have to face the Green Bay Packers (twice), Chicago Bears (twice) and Houston Texans.

Baltimore Ravens

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    Current Record: 6-2

    Projected Record: 10-6

    Trending: Down

    The injuries to Ray Lewis and Lardarius Webb only brought added attention to a defense that was already underperforming. As it currently stands, the Baltimore Ravens are allowing 386 yards per game, which ranks them 26th in the league. These problems on defense have put a lot of pressure on Joe Flacco and the offense.

    Unfortunately, Flacco hasn't responded well to the extra pressure. In the past four games, he's averaging only 180 yards per game while throwing a total of three touchdowns and three interceptions. This type of production isn't going to be enough to keep the Ravens on the winning path.

    The offense has a great opportunity to get back on track against a terrible Oakland Raiders defense. This could be an opportunity for Flacco to gain some momentum.

Cincinnati Bengals

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    Current Record: 3-5

    Projected Record: 7-9

    Trending: Down

    The Cincinnati Bengals are riding a four-game losing streak and must face the New York Giants next week. The Bengals just haven't been able to repeat the magic from last season. The issues are widespread and on both sides of the ball.

    Cincinnati's defense has seen the biggest drop off in production from last year. Its veteran secondary is really struggling to keep the opponent's passing game in check. The secondary is allowing nearly eight yards per passing attempt, which ranks 25th in the league.

    The issues on defense are compounded by a lack of a running game on offense. This has made it tough for Andy Dalton to take the next step in his development.

    The Bengals' remaining schedule is pretty even. They have tougher games against the New York Giants, Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers. The easier games include the Kansas City Chiefs and Oakland Raiders.

Cleveland Browns

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    Current Record: 2-7

    Projected Record: 5-11

    Trending: Steady

    The Cleveland Browns' season has gone as expected, as it's tough to find any type of consistency with such a young roster. However, Brandon Weeden has shown enough positive signs that the Browns can head into next season with him as their starter.

    Look for Weeden and his young cast of playmakers to continue to improve as the season progresses.

    Cleveland has a good chance to register wins against the Oakland Raiders, Kansas City Chiefs and Washington Redskins. However, those chances get slimmer if Trent Richardson's rib injury becomes a problem again.

Pittsburgh Steelers

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    Current Record: 5-3

    Projected Record: 11-5

    Trending: Up

    It's amazing that the Pittsburgh Steelers have been able to keep their heads above water despite dealing with widespread injuries. This has a lot to do with the leadership and play of Ben Roethlisberger. His ability to overcome offensive line issues and a revolving door at running back has been the key to the Steelers' season.

    Because of the health and offensive issues the Baltimore Ravens are facing, Pittsburgh has a real chance to make a move in the AFC North. The two teams face each other twice in the next four weeks.

    Pittsburgh has all the momentum on its side, and that can make all the difference.

Atlanta Falcons

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    Current Record: 8-0

    Projected Record: 14-2

    Trending: Steady

    The Atlanta Falcons won't finish the season undefeated, but they've already put themselves in great position to earn the NFC's top playoff seed. Five of Atlanta's eight remaining games come against divisional opponents. This is something to consider when projecting the rest of the season, as divisional games are generally tough to win.

    Of course, the regular season doesn't really mean that much to the Falcons. They need to have a strong showing in the playoffs or they'll face increased criticism.

    The catalyst for the Falcons is Matt Ryan. He appears to have taken the next step in his development. As we've seen over the past several years, strong quarterback play has the potential to lead a team to a Super Bowl title.

Carolina Panthers

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    Current Record: 2-6

    Projected Record: 5-11

    Trending: Up

    Cam Newton needs to forget about wins and worry about his development as a football player. It's obvious that this Carolina Panthers team doesn't have enough talent to compete for a playoff spot this season.

    The team should still aim to win games, but the development of Newton is the most important thing to this franchise.

    With games remaining against shaky secondaries like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Philadelphia Eagles, Kansas City Chiefs, Oakland Raiders and New Orleans Saints, Newton has a great chance to finish the season on a high note.

New Orleans Saints

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    Current Record: 3-5

    Projected Record: 8-8

    Trending: Up

    The rest of the New Orleans Saints' season depends on the play of the defense. If this group can find a way to generate more turnovers and limit the amount of points it allows, the Saints will have a strong second half.

    The win against the Philadelphia was a positive sign for the team. While the defense didn't limit the Eagles' yards, it was able to create key turnovers and get key stops in the red zone.

    It's important not to overlook the success Steve Spagnuolo has had over the course of his career. He has an innovative defensive mind, and he's capable of making adjustments halfway through the season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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    Current Record: 4-4

    Projected Record: 8-8

    Trending: Up

    Doug Martin's emergence has helped lift the entire Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense. This group is much more explosive with Martin picking up big chucks of yardage. Tampa Bay needs the offense to score points because of the issues it has stopping the pass.

    The Buccaneers secondary is allowing a league-worst 321 yards per game. This is why the ability to run the ball and control the clock is important.

    With games against the Philadelphia Eagles, New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers remaining on the schedule, look for Martin to continue his solid production.

Houston Texans

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    Current Record: 7-1

    Projected Record: 14-2

    Trending: Up

    Outside of matchups against the Chicago Bears and New England Patriots, the Houston Texans have a favorable schedule. Their ability to run the ball and the strength of their defense gives them an advantage week in and week out.

    Having such a strong start to the season coupled with matchups remaining against the Tennessee Titans, Jacksonville Jaguars and Minnesota Vikings give the Texans a very clear path to the playoffs.

    The biggest thing this team must do is keep its stars healthy. Houston won't be able to make a strong run in the playoffs if some of its stars get injured like in years past.

Indianapolis Colts

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    Current Record: 5-3

    Projected Record: 10-6

    Trending: Up

    The Indianapolis Colts are coming off an emotional win against the Miami Dolphins and have a real chance to make a move in the AFC. They have very winnable games against the Tennessee Titans, Kansas City Chiefs and Jacksonville Jaguars remaining on the schedule.

    If Andrew Luck and company can win the games in which they are favored, they'll be in prime position. However, it's still important for the Colts to win a game or two in which they aren't the favorites.

    The biggest thing going in the Colts favor is the fact that Luck looks better each and every week. He has shown the talent needed to win games on his own.

Jacksonville Jaguars

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    Current Record: 1-7

    Projected Record: 2-14

    Trending: Down

    The Jacksonville Jaguars could very well go the rest of the season without another win. This team is struggling on both sides of the ball. However, the biggest issue is the continued lack of development by quarterback Blaine Gabbert.

    There are not many teams in the league that can overcome such mediocre quarterback play. This is especially true when the team is below-average in all areas of the game.

    The two games left against the Tennessee Titans appear to be the only games in which the Jaguars have a realistic chance.

Tennessee Titans

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    Current Record: 3-6

    Projected Record: 4-12

    Trending: Down

    The Tennessee Titans' embarrassing loss against the Chicago Bears forced owner Bud Adams to put the team on notice. It's never a good sign when the owner publicly expresses that he's upset with the direction of his team.

    Nobody can blame Adams for being upset, as this season has been a complete disaster for the Titans. Don't be surprised if there's wholesale changes this offseason. I'm sure Adams doesn't feel as confident about letting Jeff Fisher go as he did last season.

    With games remaining against the Jacksonville Jaguars (two games), New York Jets and Indianapolis Colts, the Titans have a chance to finish the season on a strong note. However, Tennessee has shown nothing the past few weeks to say that will happen.

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