NFL November Team Trends
With trick-or-treating and NFL underdogs satisfying many a sweet tooth this season, we move on into the second half of the 2012 NFL campaign.
And thanks to the Playbook Football Yearbook magazine, we learned how teams have fared during the month of November in five key areas, namely: Favorites, Dogs, Home, Away and Division.
Before carving up that Thanksgiving Day turkey, be sure to check out this list of appetizing team results. Listed below are the good, bad and ugly team trends in games played in the NFL during November since 1990. Enjoy the games.
• Good: If you go through many Twitter pages or sports forums, you will find Tony Romo has a host of nicknames, some that cannot be posted here. Yet despite this, Romo and his predecessors at quarterback have been backed by fine defenses this month, and are 37-18 ATS when playing in Big D. Dallas will have two chances to improve on this record, on Thanksgiving as well as four days prior.
• Bad: Having won a couple of Super Bowls in the past several years, one would not use the word like ‘mediocre’ to describe the New York Giants very often, yet that is precisely what the G-Men are at home this month. Looking back, they have left their football-betting backers with a 13-27 ATS mark. They will have Pittsburgh the first Sunday of the month and a Sunday night affair with Green Bay in New Jersey to a close.
Another NFL team not synonymous with success is the St. Louis Rams, who last had a winning season in 2003. The Rams hired Jeff Fisher to take them out of this desolate valley and though general improvement has been witnessed, there is a long way to go. St. Louis is a dreadful 14-33 ATS at home this month and thanks to a bye week, only has one game at the E. J. Dome on Nov. 18.
• Keep an eye on: Buffalo and Oakland have been failures for years, yet for some reason they go in opposite directions in November when playing on their own field. The Bills are a sharp 27-16 ATS, as the bone-chilling cold starts to set in, while the Raiders “Commitment to Excellence” motto is just words, not to be taken seriously due to their 15-25 ATS record.
• Keep an eye on: Over the last decade or more, when you hear the names Atlanta, San Diego and Detroit for NFL football, what are they associated with—success or failure? The Falcons and Chargers certainly fit the former, and it shows in how they play on the road, with Atlanta 26-15 ATS and San Diego 25-15 against the spread.
Toss out Detroit’s 2011 campaign and the Lions have made terrible decisions. Send Detroit out of Motown and they are 13-25 ATS.
• Bad: Robert Griffin III has already done special things in a Redskins uniform, even guiding his team to home victories, something they have not been very good at recently (36-44 SU, 2002-11). With RG3 doing his part fueled by Subway, maybe he takes the whole team over to the sub shop when they're favorites, since the Skins are 10-25 ATS. This ties nicely into the lack of success starting rookie QB’s have had in the league this season. This month, Washington will be giving points to Carolina, and possibly Philadelphia on Nov. 18.
• Keep an eye on: Previously, Dallas has been mentioned as rock-solid home wager, and naturally this has often come with their role as the favorite, doling out points. With this being true, the Cowboys are winners when passing points to the competition and are 39-20 versus the oddsmakers.
The Romeo Crennel era in Kansas City is starting to look it might last as long as the Rick Perry for President campaign. Seemingly every mistake the Chiefs make is multiplied, giving credence to their failures and supporting their 10-25 ATS record. K.C. might be favored once, when the Bengals visit them.
• Keep an eye on: Two teams from the same division are polar opposites when it comes to how they perform when on the receiving end of catching linemakers’ digits. Chicago is a sparkling 34-21 ATS as an underdog, and is presumed to be in this role at San Francisco on Monday night.
Detroit on the other hand is a feeble 22-38 ATS as a dastardly dog. Precisely how often oddsmakers will place them in this position is difficult to say, with a road game in Minnesota and Ford Field affairs with Green Bay (Nov.18) and Houston (Thanksgiving).
• Good: In the past, New Orleans has been cleaning up in the NFC South in the 11th month of the year, but this year’s team and situation is completely different. The Saints have no defense, no running game and no real head coach, which makes it hard to conceive they will improve upon their 26-13 ATS record vs. division partners. Let’s see how they perform in the bayou when Atlanta pays a visit on Nov. 11.
• Keep an eye on: For those betting on football who like numbers and appreciate coincidence, this is for you. Both Buffalo and Washington are 15-25 ATS against division opposition the past 21 years. This November, each will play one home and road game in their division, and each circumstance has the Bills and Redskins playing them, with four days between games. Weird!
Doug Upstone of Sports-Watch.com contributed to this article.
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