Projecting Odds Players Not Moved at NFL Trade Deadline Remain in Place for 2013
The 2012 NFL trade deadline passed quickly with some big names such as New York Jets quarterback Tim Tebow staying put, but it's a safe bet Tebow and other players being shopped at the deadline won't remain in place when the 2013-14 NFL season rolls around.
A large part of big-name players even being mentioned in trade rumors this season was because they had publicly requested out or had been pursued by other teams throughout the league.
In the aftermath of an uneventful NFL trade deadline, the ensuing offseason is typically chaotic, as the players that were thought to be on the move at the deadline make a push to get out, or teams make a serious move to take them.
Let's project the odds that big-name players not moved at the deadline remain in place for the 2013-14 NFL season.
DeAngelo Williams, RB, Carolina Panthers
DeAngelo Williams was a hot commodity on the trade deadline this season, as several contending teams were reportedly calling the Carolina Panthers to make an inquiry according to The Charlotte Observer:
A trade involving Williams is more likely, although not imminent...Multiple playoff-contending teams called the Panthers last week to inquire about a possible trade for Williams, team sources said.
Williams is already 29 years old, which is considered approaching the age of no return for a running back. Despite this, Williams certainly has enough left in the tank to help a contending team such as the Green Bay Packers or the New England Patriots.
Now that Williams has been pursued by contending teams and his name is out there, don't be surprised if he is not a member of the Carolina Panthers in 2013.
Odds Williams remains with Carolina in 2013: 35 percent
Tim Tebow, QB, New York Jets
New York Jets quarterback Tim Tebow was the name most expected to move on this list, with teams like his hometown Jacksonville Jaguars reportedly having a strong interest.
Tebow isn't being given significant playing time with the Jets, serving primarily as a punt protector and a trick-play specialist. He may receive a chance to start should starting quarterback Mark Sanchez struggle or get hurt, but it doesn't seem like playing time in New York is imminent.
When Tebow joined the Jets after the Broncos shipped him away, it was reported that he would likely request a trade this upcoming offseason if he was not the starter. There's little to no chance Tebow will be with the Jets in 2013.
Odds Tebow remains with the Jets in 2013: 15 percent
Jared Cook, TE, Tennessee Titans
Tennessee Titans tight end Jared Cook was a surprise addition to the trade rumors leading up to the deadline, after he and his agent reportedly demanded a trade from the struggling team.
Titans head coach Mike Munchak was certainly not entertaining the trade talks as the told The Tennessean:
I am not going to comment on that. That is not my decision to make, but I don’t see that happening, no... I don’t see why we would do that. I don’t follow that. The agent is calling to stir the pot. This is not the time for those things.
Munchak may have fended off potential suitors for now, but now that Cook's name is on the market, he could have a hard time ressisting some of the offers that come in for his services.
Cook is a freak athlete at 6'5" and 248 pounds, and in four seasons has put up 1,567 yards and six touchdowns. He will be a hot name all offseason.
A huge offer may come up from a tight end-needy team, and the Titans may have to bite.
Odds Cook remains with the Titans in 2012: 65 percent
Steven Jackson, RB, St. Louis Rams
St. Louis Rams running back Steven Jackson is also 29 years old, but remains one of the better backs in the league, and his name was consistently floating around as a trade target all the way up to the deadline.
For contending teams such as the Green Bay Packers, adding a back like Jackson at this point in his career makes all too much sense. Jackson is approaching the 10,000 yards mark and has scored 53 times rushing the ball, but he's not done just yet.
The Rams have two young backs in Isaiah Pead and Daryl Richardson and are already phasing Jackson out of the rotation. If a contending team comes with a great offer for Jackson, he won't be with the Rams in 2013.
Odds Jackson is with the Rams in 2013: 35 percent
Dwayne Bowe, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
Dwayne Bowe is currently stuck in Kansas City courtesy of a franchise tag, but he made it very clear at the approach of the trade deadline this year that he wanted out.
I can report this: Bowe wants out of KC very badly. Not exactly a revelation, but true.
— Jason Cole (@JasonColeYahoo) October 17, 2012
Bowe wanting out isn't surprising. He's on the worst team in the league and happens to be one of the more talented receivers in the NFL. With that being said, no team in its right mind was going to deal for Bowe's $4-plus million contract with him likely hitting free agency this offseason.
Bowe won't be back in Kansas City.
Odds Bowe is with the Chiefs in 2013: 15 percent
LeGarrette Blount, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
LeGarette Blount lost his starting job in Tampa Bay to a rookie, and his name quietly came up in trade rumors near the deadline:
ESPN's John Clayton said on NFL Live that LeGarrette Blount & Chris Ivory could "probably" be had for 7th-rd picks before trade deadline.— Evan Silva (@evansilva) October 30, 2012
This shouldn't come as a surprise. Not only did Blount lose his job to a rookie, he's had a horrendous season, having hardly broken the 100-yard mark and failing to convert in short-yardage situations—which happens to be his only job.
The Bucs will have a hard time finding an NFL team that wants to give up anything at all for Blount, so he'll likely be back.
Odds Blount remains with the Bucs in 2013: 80 percent
Chris Ivory, RB, New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints running back Chris Ivory is buried on the depth chart, and before the deadline he made it very clear to WWL radio that he wouldn't mind moving on from New Orleans (h/t ProFootballTalk):
Deep down, I would have to say, yes, I’m frustrated ...It’s a little frustrating to just kind of sit back. I just feel like my worth is more than that, than just, you know, sitting back on the side...But, that’s where I stand, just waiting and being patient. And I do understand the deadline of this trade is at the end of this month...We’ll see what happens.
With Thomas buried behind Pierre Thomas, Darren Sproles and Mark Ingram, his frustration is understandable. Ivory is only 24 years old and has shown flashes when actually given a chance to carry a load.
Running back is a position no team can never have enough of, so a team making a solid offer for Ivory this offseason isn't outlandish.
Odds Ivory remains with the Saints in 2013: 45 percent.