There is absolutely no excuse to get knocked out of a survivor pool this week. The Texans, Packers and Bears are all going to win easily, and we can see it coming from a mile away.
So take your pick of the three. All can be played with confidence, but here is the power ranking in case you want the surest of the surest things.
No. 1: Houston Texans over Buffalo Bills in Houston
This game is as big a lock as locks get. Sure, the Bills have won three games, and they aren't the worst team in the league, but look at this matchup.
Buffalo's rush defense is allowing the most rushing yards per game, and that doesn't even tell the whole story.
The Bills are amazingly allowing 6.0 yards per carry. That is 0.9 more than the next closest worst team, and get this, they are allowing 7.3 yards per carry over their last three games. That is so bad it is difficult to comprehend.
Arian Foster and the Texans are going to have a field day against this defense. They will be able to run at will and take control of this game.
The Texans' defense is also playing far too well for Buffalo to carry any hope of hanging with them.
Prediction: Texans 31, Bills 17
No. 2: Green Bay Packers over Arizona Cardinals in Green Bay
The Cardinals are reeling. They have lost four straight and it isn't going to get any better any time soon. The problem is their offensive line is atrocious.
The Cardinals are allowing more sacks than any team in the league, and the Cardinals are having hard time keeping a quarterback upright. They also have no time to try to get the ball down field, and they might as well just forget about trying to run it.
Clay Matthews and the Packers' defense, which is fourth in sack percentage, is going to destroy this offensive line.
Arizona is going to have a hard time finding a way to get on the scoreboard, and Aaron Rodgers will be working with a short field all day.
He will help the Packers put up more than enough points in this one.
Prediction: Packers 24, Cardinals 6
No. 3: Chicago Bears over Tennessee Titans in Tennessee
Typically, I try to avoid road teams in survivor pools. Upsets are always just a little more accessible when a team is at home. However, this is a special case.
As I'm sure you've noticed, the Bears' pass defense has been playing amazingly. They are consistently putting points on the board with big interceptions, and they lead the league in interceptions per game.
They will keep that going against Tennessee.
It's not that Matt Hasselbeck is playing poorly, he's not. But the dude has the arm strength of a backup high school quarterback.
He is going to have a hard time against this athletic and ball-hawking defense, which will doom the Titans because their defense is awful.
They are near the bottom of the rankings in both the run and the pass. Chicago will control possession in this one, get a lead and then watch its pass defense seal the deal.
Prediction: Bears 31, Titans 17