The 23rd-ranked Texas Longhorns (6-2, 3-2) travel to Lubbock, Texas to take on the 18th-ranked Texas Tech Raider Raiders (6-2, 3-2) in a pivotal Week 10 Big 12 matchup.
While Kansas State remains undefeated and in sole control of the Big 12, a loss for either of these teams will push them further down the conference totem pole and likely knock them out of the BCS rankings.
Texas has won the last three meetings of the series dating back to 2009 and will attempt to defend the Chancellor’s Spurs in hostile territory on Saturday. The Longhorns lead the series 12-4 since the 1996 implementation of the spurs trophy.
David Ash will remain the starting quarterback for the Longhorns despite a late-game comeback win by backup Case McCoy over Kansas last week. McCoy was five-of-seven passing for 68 yards and a game-winning one-yard touchdown pass to D.J. Grant.
Texas Tech is coming off of a tough loss against a very good Kansas State team last week. They’ve certainly got the offensive firepower to put up points on the very porous Longhorns defense.
This one is going to be a good old-fashioned Western slobberknocker.
When: Saturday, Nov. 3 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas
Watch: ABC or ESPN2
Live Stream: ESPN3
Radio: Free Football Radio
Betting Line (via BetOnline)
Over/Under: 67, Spread: Texas Tech (-7)
The spread for this game opened with Texas Tech as 2.5-point favorites and has quickly moved to seven points. It’s hard to blame bettors for going hard with the Red Raiders this week due to the poor defense of the Longhorns.
Both of these teams can score points and have proven to be unable, at times, of stopping their opponents. Texas is giving up over 30 points a game while the Red Raiders have allowed 25 per contest.
Can you say shootout?
Injury Report (via USA Today)
Miles Onyegbule, WR, Questionable (Ankle)
Tony Morales, OL, Questionable (Knee)
Jace Amaro, TE, Questionable (Knee)
Cornelius Douglas, DB, Questionable (Knee)
Tre’ Porter, CB, Questionable (Undisclosed)
Omar Ontiveros, FB, Out For Season (ACL)
This is a must-win game for both of these Big 12 schools. A loss for either of them could signal the end of their BCS-ranking days. A loss for Texas Tech would be catastrophic, as they only play one team who’s currently ranked in the Top 25 until the end of the season and that’s the Oklahoma State Cowboys, who are currently ranked No. 24.
If Texas can win-out the season, which would include a final week win over Kansas State, the Longhorns could ideally finish within the Top 15 of the BCS and an extremely remote shot at a BCS bowl game. However, that’s a long shot at this point as they have been wildly inconsistent and would need a lot of things to go in their favor around the country.
Texas Player to Watch: Johnathan Gray, RB
It’s taken freshman Johnathan Gray some time to develop but he’s gotten consistently better throughout the season. He’s ready to take on a suspect Red Raiders rush defense that surrendered 193 yards last week against Kansas State and 184 yards against TCU the week before.
Last week against Kansas, Gray had his first 100-yard performance of the season. That’s earned him the starting job heading into Lubbock this week.
Texas Tech Player to Watch: Seth Doege, QB
Doege is having an excellent season leading one of the nation’s top passing offenses in Lubbock. His NCAA-high 30 touchdowns have helped fuel the team to a 6-2 start. He’s currently ninth in the nation in passer rating (164.2) and seventh in yardage with 2,540 on the year.
Doege made some key turnovers during last week’s loss to Kansas State. While driving, up 7-0, Doege took a blindside hit and fumbled the ball. It was returned into Red Raiders’ territory and completely changed momentum. He’ll need to avoid turnovers and execute, which shouldn’t be much of a problem this week against a soft Longhorns defense.
Prediction: Texas Tech 45, Texas 35
When good offenses meet terrible defenses the result is usually a high-scoring affair. That’s undoubtedly going to be the case as the third-ranked Red Raiders passing game meets the 100th ranked Longhorns’ scoring defense.
Texas will be able to move the football, though, as the Red Raiders defense has left a lot to be desired at times this season. They’ve surrendered 41 points to Oklahoma, 53 to TCU and 55 to Kansas State.
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