Carolina at Chicago (opened -7.5, current -9.0)
While the betting trends don't give away much, the Panthers are 2-4 against the spread (ATS) and the Bears are 4-2, including 3-1 as the favorite.
A nine-point spread is a little scary, especially with Chicago coming off a short week Monday night against a division rival. But I picked the Bears by 11, so I think they'll cover the spread at home against a team in transition.
San Diego at Cleveland (+2.5, +2.5)
Oddsmakers in Vegas are coming around on Cleveland, even if the line stuck at 2.5 in favor of San Diego. The Browns can handle that line after several weeks of big lines against them, though.
This has been a trendy upset pick too, but picking a far inferior team against one that is angry and desperate doesn't sound like smart betting. Take the Chargers to cover and hope the offensive line can keep Philip Rivers upright for most of Sunday.
ATS: San Diego
Seattle at Detroit (-1.5, -1.0)
This quietly looks like one of the best games of Sunday, and Vegas has had trouble finding a clear winner. The Seahawks, coming off a long layoff, are road underdogs despite a vastly superior record (4-3 to 2-4). The Lions are a team with its back against the wall, so the line is understandable.
Take the Seahawks, if for no other reason than Detroit is 0-3 against the spread at home in 2012.