Cowboys Stadium has been unreasonably kind to the New York Giants, and they will once again benefit from the unintended hospitality.
Since Jerry Jones opened his opulent stadium in 2009, the Giants are 3-0 when visiting the Dallas Cowboys, and each win has come down to the wire—a setting in which you'd expect the home team to at least sneak a win out of three.
Dallas will not fare any better this time around. Here is how it will play out.
Giants Register 5 Sacks
The fierce Giants pass rush got off to a slow start this year—particularly its beastly defensive ends—but those guys are coming alive now.
Jason Pierre-Paul, Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora each had a sack last week against the Washington Redskins. For Tuck, it was his first sack of the season, and it pushed Pierre-Paul to three sacks in his last two games, which makes up the majority of his 4.5 sacks on the season.
These three will bring it in this game, and they will have to. While the Cowboys offensive line has struggled, the majority of that has come in the run game. Dallas is fourth in the league in sacks allowed. Also, Tony Romo is adept at avoiding the sack.
He won't be adept enough in this game, as New York's defensive line dominates
Eli Continues Dominance of Cowboys Stadium
A huge part of the reason why the Giants have been so successful in Big D as of late is that Eli Manning has made Cowboys Stadium his home away from home.
Manning has thrown for 1,036 yards and eight touchdowns in the building, and his typical late-game heroics are a big part of those stats.
The Cowboys actually managed to force Manning into one of his weakest efforts of the season in their Week 1 triumph. He threw for just 213 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions.
He will have his revenge on this day. In the Week 1 contest, Manning's stats were down in large part due to Victor Cruz's hands forgetting the season had started. The typically reliable receiver had several costly drops. He has been, and will be, much better.
The only thing that will keep Manning's stats is if the Giants get their running game going, which a lot of opponents have against the Cowboys' 14th-ranked rush defense, which goes a long way towards explaining why Dallas is third in passing yards allowed per game but 14th in yards allowed per pass.
Huge stats or not, Manning will have an excellent day.
Giants Win, 27-17
This is a battle of a team that keeps finding ways to lose against one that keeps finding ways to win. Neither will have to look very hard to keep those trends going in this one, as the Giants will not leave this one hanging in the final minutes.
The Cowboys are struggling to run the ball. On top of that, DeMarco Murray is out, and Felix Jones is banged up. This is going to leave the Cowboys relying on their passing attack, which is a big part of the reason why Romo will hit the turf so often.
With the increased pass rush, the Giants' pass defense will play much stronger than its 29th ranking in yards allowed per pass.
This will allow New York to get the Cowboys offense off the field before it can touch the scoreboard. The Giants will open up a big early lead and cruise the rest of the way.