Colorado vs. Oregon: Ducks Must Win Big to Keep Pace in BCS Standings

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Colorado vs. Oregon: Ducks Must Win Big to Keep Pace in BCS Standings
Steve Dykes/Getty Images

The Oregon Ducks have arguably their easiest game of the season on Saturday as they host the 1-6 Colorado Buffaloes. Some will argue that distinction goes to Tennessee Tech, but either way, a major issue stands in front of Chip Kelly's team.

Oregon lost a spot in the BCS rankings last week with a commanding win over a 5-1 football team.

The team that is now one spot behind them has a tough game against the No. 8 team in the country. So what do the Ducks have to do against a bad team to avoid dropping even further?

How does the game turn out?

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WhereAutzen Stadium, Eugene, Ore.

When: Saturday, Oct. 27 at 3:00 p.m.

TV: Pac-12 Network

Spread: Oregon -45½

 

Oregon took a commanding 43-0 lead over Arizona State last week with 11:33 left to play...in the first half. The Ducks cruised from that point, settling for a 43-21 win.

But Kansas State beat a defenseless West Virginia team and moved into the third spot.

The computer models aren't being kind to the Ducks. They seem to appreciate big wins against lesser schools over games that end up looking close against decent teams.

The Ducks need to make a statement against Colorado on Saturday. They can't settle for simply dominating for 20 minutes and then protecting their opponent's pride. 

Coach Kelly will likely rotate players, but he must press to reach the end zone and control the line of scrimmage while on defense.

Oregon trails Kansas State, Florida and Alabama in the BCS Rankings. Should Florida and Alabama remain undefeated, they will meet in the SEC Championship Game.

The Wildcats have two quality wins looming on their schedule. They face Texas Tech on Saturday and finish the season against Texas. If they win out, it could be difficult for Oregon to pass them.

Otto Greule Jr/Getty Images

Notre Dame sits one spot behind Oregon and has games remaining against two Top 10 teams. The Fighting Irish are well ahead of the Ducks in the computer rankings and potential road wins over Oklahoma and USC would make it difficult for pollsters not to move them up the ranks. 

There is a bit of a cart and horse issue here. Oregon still has games left against USC, Stanford and Oregon State, not to mention a Pac-12 Championship Game if it hopes to finish the season undefeated.

However, the Ducks, along with the Beavers, should be considering the BCS picture. One of those two teams have a realistic shot at an undefeated season.

It would be a travesty to miss out on the Discover BCS National Championship Game because they took it a little too easy on inferior teams.

Colorado should prepare for a rough afternoon.

Prediction: Oregon 68, Colorado 3

 

2012 BCS Standings

 

BCS

Harris Poll

USA Today

Computer 

RK

TEAM

AVG

PVS

RK

%

RK

%

AVG

%

1

Alabama

.9625

1

1

.9976

1

1.0000

4

.890

2

Florida

.9310

2

3

.9120

3

.9010

1

.980

3

Kansas State

.9111

4

4

.8943

4

.8990

2

.940

4

Oregon

.8966

3

2

.9485

2

.9512

6

.790

5

Notre Dame

.8512

5

5

.8257

5

.8278

3

.900

6

LSU

.7862

6

6

.7896

6

.7892

7

.780

7

Oregon State

.7421

8

8

.6960

9

.6603

5

.870

8

Oklahoma

.7126

9

7

.7030

7

.7349

8

.700

9

USC

.5767

10

9

.6727

8

.6875

16

.370

10

Georgia

.5379

11

11

.5576

11

.5763

13

.480

 

Darin Pike is a writer for Bleacher Report's Breaking News Team and a Featured Columnist covering the NFL and Seattle Seahawks.

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