Raiders vs. Chiefs: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

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Raiders vs. Chiefs: Spread Info, Line and Predictions
Kirby Lee-US PRESSWIRE

Though the stakes aren't as high as either team would like, the Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs will rekindle their storied rivalry at Arrowhead on Sunday.

Oakland comes into the contest fresh off a 26-23 overtime victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars and still has slim postseason hopes at 2-4.

Led by quarterback Carson Palmer, this iteration of the Raiders is as pass-oriented as any team in the NFL.

Looking to stifle that passing attack is a Chiefs team that may be starting a "Torpedo for Geno" campaign in the coming days.

Brady Quinn will get his second straight start on Sunday and will desperately try to keep that job with a top-shelf performance.

It may not be the prettiest game of the week, but hey, it's football. 

With that in mind, here's a look at everything you need to know about Sunday's clash of AFC West foes. 

 

Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

When: Sunday, Oct. 28 at 4:05 p.m. ET

Watch: CBS

Live Stream: NFL Sunday Ticket

 

Spread: Chiefs -1 (Bovada)

Which team will win on Sunday?

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After opening as a pick 'em in most sportsbooks, bettors have backed Quinn and made the Chiefs favorites coming into Sunday's contest. 

Nonetheless, Vegas is still bucking the usual three-point home favorite and saying that the Raiders would be two points better on a neutral field.

For bettors, pick whichever team tickles your fancy because there are no backdoor cover possibilities. As for my pick? Well, telling you that would be blasphemy on par with spoiling the plot of Lost.

We'll get to my final score prediction later. 

 

Over/Under: 42 (Bovada)

I'm not exactly sure how low the line would have to go for me to take the over, but 42 certainly isn't that figure.

Both Oakland and Kansas City have scored over 21 points just twice this season and there is little reason to think that either team can drop the hammer in a blowout scenario.

Though Palmer and the Raiders passing attack has put up consistently strong numbers, finishing the job has been a source of frustration.  

With a raucous Arrowhead crowd certainly in store, it doesn't seem likely that Sunday will be the day Oakland finally finds the end zone.

As for the Chiefs? I'll believe Quinn can score points when I see it. 

Take the under and make it rain this weekend with your free money. 

 

Raiders Injury Report (via CBS Sports)

DT Desmond Bryant, Elbow, Questionable

LB Miles Burris, Elbow/Quad, Probable

LB Keenan Clayton, Shoulder, Questionable

WR Juron Criner, Hip, Probable

LB Travis Goethel, Back, Questionable

RB Mike Goodson, Hip, Probable

TE Richard Gordon, Hamstring, Questionable

K Sebastian Janikowski, Groin, Probable

RB Taiwan Jones, Knee, Questionable

DT Tommy Kelly, Shoulder, Probable

RB Darren McFadden, Shoulder, Probable

S Mike Mitchell, Ankle, Probable

TE Brandon Myers, Knee, Probable

C Alex Parsons, Back, Probable

DT Richard Seymour, Knee, Probable

DE Matt Shaughnessy, Shoulder, Questionable

CB Shawntae Spencer, Foot, Out

WR Rod Streater, Knee, Probable

DE David Tollefson, Shoulder, Questionable

 

 

Chiefs Injury Report (via CBS Sports)

CB Jalil Brown, Groin, Questionable

QB Matt Cassel, Concussion, Probable

DE Glen Dorsey, Calf, Questionable

RB Peyton Hillis, Ankle, Probable

TE Steve Maneri, Ankle, Questionable

WR Devon Wylie, Hamstring, Probable

 

Big Fantasy Plays

 

Raiders: WR Denarius Moore

Josh D. Weiss-US PRESSWIRE

Until the offensive line finds some way to run block effectively, Oakland will continue to be one of the more pass-heavy teams in the NFL.

Coming into Week 8, Palmer has thrown the ball no fewer than 33 times in a game and has gone over 45 pass attempts in three of the Raiders' six games this season.

That can only mean great things for Moore, who has caught a touchdown in each of the past two weeks while emerging as the team's top target. 

Though his success rate could stand to be a bit higher, Palmer has targeted Moore no fewer than eight times in a game yet this season.

Considering the Chiefs defense gave up over 300 yards and three touchdowns to Josh Freeman in its last game, Palmer and Moore should be able to connect at least once on a deep ball. 

 

Chiefs: RB Jamaal Charles

Joe Robbins/Getty Images

Undoubtedly a Comeback Player of the Year candidate, Charles continues to amaze with his performance—especially when factoring in his dearth of surrounding talent.

The 25-year-old speedster comes into Sunday's contest sixth in the NFL in rushing yards and is tied for second in the league with six runs of 20 yards or more.

Facing off against a middle-of-the-pack Raiders defense, head coach Romeo Crennel should focus on getting his running back the ball as much as possible. 

If Charles is a focal point in the offense, he should come through with yet another fantastic fantasy day. If not, well, I'm not quite sure what anyone involved with Kansas City's game plan was thinking.

 

Key to Raiders Win: Create Turnovers; Establish Darren McFadden

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

The Raiders may be playing at Arrowhead, but it's been shown that it only takes one mistake to make the Kansas City crowd turn.

Considering the Chiefs are coming into this week with a minus-15 turnover ratio, by far the worst in the NFL, it stands to reason that Oakland will get its chances.

Nonetheless, the secondary hasn't exactly been the greatest unit in the world, picking off a meager four passes so far this season. With Quinn at quarterback, something will have to give on Sunday.

On the offensive side of the ball, running back Darren McFadden's continued ineffectiveness has to end at some point. The offensive line certainly bears the brunt of the scorn, but that doesn't excuse his  lack of burst through holes, either.

Kansas City's run defense is actually worse than its prowess against the pass, so this is as good of a week as any for McFadden to finally break out.

 

Key to Chiefs Win: Jamaal Charles, Jamaal Charles, Jamaal Charles

Kim Klement-US PRESSWIRE

It's no coincidence that the Chiefs' only win of the season came when Charles ran the ball 33 times for 233 yards against the New Orleans Saints.

This is a team that will have to hide its deficiencies at the quarterback position for the duration of 2012, whether the starter is Quinn or Matt Cassel. 

That means a whole heaping of Charles (and Peyton Hillis, to a lesser extent) will be necessary on Sunday.

If Charles breaks a big run, it may open up Quinn to connect with Dwayne Bowe or Dexter McCluster down the field on a play-action pass.

Either way, anything less than 100 yards will undoubtedly coincide with a Kansas City loss. 

 

Prediction

While this certainly won't be the most-watched game of the week, look for a close contest at Arrowhead on Sunday.

As for the winner, Oakland has the proven ability to move the ball down the field through the air and should come through with a late score to prevail.

Final Score Prediction: Raiders 21, Chiefs 17


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