Torrey Smith has the fourteenth most fantasy points in standard, non-PPR leagues. He is considered a low-end WR1 or high-end WR2 in most fantasy circles. Should you use his good start to move him?
Three ahead of him are Randall Cobb, James Jones and Andre Roberts. The Packers receivers are considered WR2s only because Greg Jennings (groin) is out. Roberts is considered an WR3 at best. Smith is easily a more tradable commodity. So should you?
Well, his overall numbers are good, he’s averaging 62.1 yards per game (along with 1.9 rushing yards) and 0.57 touchdowns per game, he has not been consistent.
Most of his damage came in Weeks 3 and 4 when he averaged 112.0 yards and 1.5 TDs. In the other five games he’s averaging 42.2 yards and 0.2 TDs.
Even the best receivers fluctuate, but that’s five games with fewer than 58 yards and only one of those games were bailed out with a touchdown. That game he had 24 yards, so it was only a 8.4 fantasy score.
When you break it down like that, maybe even a WR3 classification is being generous.
He is shaping up to be boom and bust like last year. In the 14 games that he was targeted in last year, he had eight games in which he didn’t score or top 57 yards. That’s 12 of 21 games with less than 5.8 fantasy points. He has only reached double-digit fantasy points in seven of 21 games.
Because of his explosiveness you almost have to start him every week, but he’s obviously far from a lock to give you weekly fantasy numbers.
If he could get to a point where if he doesn’t score, he at least gets to 70 yards he’d be a lot easier to blindly plug into your lineup.
That said, I wouldn’t move him just to move him. If you can deal him for a good bounty, then I say go for it. It could save you from the ebb and flow of Torrey’s game.
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