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For the life of me, I can't figure out why the Minnesota Vikings are favored to win this game by nearly a touchdown. Yes, the Vikings have only lost two games this year, but this matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is not as favorable as the oddsmakers are making it.
Christian Ponder has taken a few steps backwards the past three games, throwing five touchdowns and six interceptions.
Josh Freeman, on the other hand, has been playing lights-out football the past two weeks, tossing six touchdowns and only one interception. Granted, the Vikings' pass defense is much better than the one he faced in Week 7, but there's no doubt Freeman is starting to click with Vincent Jackson, and the Bucs offense is starting to kick into high gear.
Adrian Peterson has also been kicking things into high gear, but the Bucs defense is unlike any he's faced thus far in 2012. This stout front seven only allows 76 yards per game to opposing running backs (No. 3 in the NFL), and AP will have a tough time replicating his 153-yard, one-touchdown performance of a week ago.
The Vikings will likely pull out of this game with a win, but the Bucs are a lock to cover the 6.5-point spread.