2013 Major League Baseball Managers on the Hot Seat

Jonathan Cullen@@jcullen71Senior Writer IOctober 23, 2012

2013 Major League Baseball Managers on the Hot Seat

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    It's very quiet out there in Major League Baseball. Too quiet.

    Teams are showing unusual restraint in replacing their managers this offseason.

    With the Red Sox hiring John Farrell, the Blue Jays and Colorado Rockies are the only teams left filling a managerial vacancy this winter.

    Looking ahead to the 2013 season, this figures to be a relatively short-term lull in the revolving door of MLB managers.

    Next year, as many as 11 managers could get fired by the end of the season. That's potentially over one-third of the teams in baseball changing leadership.

    Which means next season that a lot of people are going to be managing for their jobs. Each manager on this list will be expected to produce positive results next season.

    Here is an early look at the managers on the hot seat and the reasons why they might be shown the door.

1. Mike Scioscia-Angels

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    Angels' owner Arte Moreno is showing a ton of restraint in holding on to Mike Scioscia for the 2013 season.

    It would be easy to look at a roster with Albert Pujols, Mike Trout, Jered Weaver, Zack Greinke, C.J. Wilson and Mark Trumbo and wonder how they missed the playoffs while the no-name Oakland A's and Baltimore Orioles advanced.

    Good question.

    The 53-year-old Scioscia has managed the Angels since 2000, winning 1 World Series title and holding a .548 winning percentage in his time at the helm.

    Have the Angels tuned out Scioscia? Only time will tell. But if the Angels get off to a slow start next season, I wouldn't expect GM Jerry Dipoto to be quite as patient.

    The other concern is that Scioscia has a contract that runs through 2018 and he would probably be unemployed for five minutes before he was hired by another team.

    And that other team might be the L.A. Dodgers, the same team that Scioscia played his entire 13-year career with.

    It would certainly heat up the Los Angeles rivalry.

2. Ozzie Guillen-Marlins

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    It looks like at this point that Marlins' manager Ozzie Guillen has been issued a reprieve by owner Jeffrey Loria for at least one more season.

    But, if the Marlins start slowly in 2013, or Guillen inserts his foot into his mouth, I don't believe the Marlins would hesitate to find a new manager.

    Things could not have gone worse Guillen in his first season in Florida, winning only 69 games and trading off three of the teams best players to save salary during the season.

    It certainly wasn't what the Marlins expected when they acquired Guillen from the White Sox last year for two minor league prospects.

    Miami will have a quick hook for the 48-year-old Guillen, regardless of his accomplishments with Chicago, if he can't turn things around quickly in 2013.

3. Don Mattingly-Dodgers

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    Don Mattingly hasn't done anything particularly wrong, but if the Angels were to part company with Mike Scioscia, I'd expect the Dodgers to think about changing managers.

    The 51-year-old Mattingly has managed the team since 2011, winning 82 and then 86 games over the past two seasons.

    Team and fan expectations are likely to be increased by the team trading for Hanley Ramirez, Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford last season to go with Matt Kemp and Clayton Kershaw.

    The Dodgers new ownership has shown that they have no problem spending money and that they like big names. The team will be expected to perform in 2013 with the full benefit of having everyone together in spring training.

    A slow start could make everyone in L.A. anxious.

4. Joe Girardi-Yankees

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    Is this fair? Nope. Nothing is really fair when it comes to the Yankees.

    Girardi actually came into his own during the 2012 postseason, benching Alex Rodriguez, Nick Swisher and Curtis Granderson at various points in an effort to spark the Yankees offense.

    The Yankees ran into dominant starting pitching during the playoffs and couldn't score without the help of a home run.

    Yankees ownership have been steadfast in supporting Girardi and GM Brian Cashman, refusing to overreact to the disappointing end to the season.

    But, if the Yankees offensive funk carries into 2013, then I would expect questions to start being raised about the state of the team.

    The 47-year-old Girardi has been incredibly effective in his five seasons in New York, winning a World Series while managing the Yankees to a .591 winning percentage.

    The aging Yankees' roster might just impact that winning percentage next season if the team doesn't get younger.

5. Charie Manuel-Phillies

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    The 68-year-old Manuel has had a great run as the manager of the Phillies, but the team won only 81 games in 2012, his lowest total since he became the Philadelphia manager.

    With an aging star-studded roster, there will be pressure on the Phillies to rebound in 2013 in a big way. If the Phillies get off to a slow start, there might be calls for general manager Ruben Amaro, Jr. to bring in a new, younger voice to lead the Phillies forward.

    Manuel has a resume of continued success with Philadelphia, managing eight seasons to a .561 winning percentage while making two World Series appearances with one win.

    Much like the Yankees, this is an older roster with some uncertainty facing them next year.

6. Dusty Baker-Reds

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    Baker won 97 games and seemed to have the Reds poised to advance to the NLCS in 2012. Up two games to nothing, the Reds returned to Cincinnati and seemed to lack a sense of urgency to close out the Giants. The result was the Giants coming all the way back and knocking out the Reds.

    The Reds had a World Series caliber team and they had the postseason unfold just the way they could have expected. Falling short a second straight year would not bode well for Baker, who signed a two-year extension to take him to 2014.

    The 63-year-old Baker has managed in the majors for 19 seasons and has a career winning percentage of .525. It has to make Reds management a little nervous that Baker has only one World Series appearance to his credit.

    The Reds will have to return to the playoffs in order for Baker to manage in 2014. The Reds are built to win and win now.

7. Terry Collins-Mets

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    The Mets won 74 games this past season and were generally competitive for the first half of the season while struggling during the second half of the 2012 season.  

    Collins has about a three-year shelf life and in 2013 he will be entering his third season with the Mets. Collins has never won big and this is his third stint as a big league manager.

    Is he the manager to take the Mets to the next level? That is a question management needs to be asking.

    It was a bit of a surprise that the Mets turned to Collins in the first place back in 2011. He hadn't managed at the big league level for 12 seasons, his last season coming in 1999 with the Angels.

    In defense of Collins, the Mets have been drastically cutting payroll due to the financial problems of Mets owner Fred Wilpon, leaving Collins to manage in New York with a makeshift roster.

8. Bud Black-Padres

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    With the O'Malley family purchasing the Padres last summer, it begs to wonder if the team might eventually change managers if San Diego struggles in 2013.

    The Padres have a good nucleus of young starters and relievers, as well as budding star 3B Chase Headley.

    Given the change in ownership with the L.A. Dodgers and the O'Malley family's previous ties to the Dodgers, San Diego might feel the need to be a bit more aggressive in competing in the N.L. West in 2013.  

    Black is generally considered to be a good manager and he has done well developing pitching and competing in the N.L. West on a $55 million budget. He has been in San Diego since the 2007 season and has a career winning percentage of .477.

    The 55-year-old Black finished 2012 winning 76 games for San Diego and I would expect ownership will want to see another step towards winning the division and wild card.

9. Clint Hurdle-Pirates

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    The 54-year-old Hurdle has had a steady impact with the Pirates, increasing his win total in both seasons, ending last season with 79 wins.

    The Pirates will likely need to take the next step forward in 2013 by challenging for the N.L. Central crown and having a shot at the playoffs for Hurdle to retain his job for 2014.  

    Finishing over .500 would be nice, too.

    The Pirates are a franchise that has a history of success and was dominant in the early '90's when they were managed by Jim Leyland.

    Pittsburgh has not had a winning record or made the playoffs since 1992.

    I believe that Pirates owner Bob Nutting will give the current management the 2013 season until he makes any changes, but the Pirates will need to get off to a fast start and avoid the second half collapse that has plagued the team the past two seasons.

10. Ned Yost-Royals

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    Much like the Pirates in the previous slide, the 58-year-old Yost will be expected to show dramatic improvement in Kansas City next season in order to keep his job.

    The Royals are positioned to take a big leap forward in 2013 now that the team's young offensive talent has had a couple of seasons to acclimate to the big leagues.

    Can Yost make the playoffs in 2013? Sure, if the Royals are next year's version of the Orioles or A's. The Royals will need to add to their starting staff in order to go head-to-head against the Tigers in the Central.

    The Royals rebounded from a horrible start in 2012 to increase their win total from the prior year. Entering his fourth season with the team, Yost has a career winning percentage of .439 in Kansas City.

    The Royals haven't made the playoffs since 1985 and Yost will be expected to lead the team in that direction. It should be interesting to see how far Kansas City's young talent has come.  

11. Ron Gardenhire-Twins

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    Manager Ron Gardenhire has been a model of stability in Minnesota since 2002. He was won the Central division six times in his 11 seasons and has a career winning percentage of .523.

    Why would the Twins look to potentially make a managerial change during or after the 2013 season? Because as good as Gardenhire has been over the first 9 seasons in the Twin Cities, the Twins have been terrible over the past two seasons, winning just 63 and 66 games.

    The Twins' pitching staff has struggled over the past two seasons as the team has attempted to reload young talent into the system while the major league product has suffered. Injuries to Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer haven't helped the cause either.

    Gardenhire will not have to win the Central in 2013 to keep his job, but the Twins will have to show improvement and get back close to a .500 team for Gardenhire to return in 2014.

    If the Twins were to fire Gardenhire, he would have his choice of jobs due to his high level of success in such a small market like Minnesota.