Alex Green: Fantasy Projection for Packers RB vs. Rams in Week 7

Tim DanielsFeatured ColumnistOctober 19, 2012

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - OCTOBER 07:  Alex Green #20 of the Green Bay Packers runs with the ball during the NFL game against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on October 7, 2012 in Indianapolis, Indiana.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Alex Green has taken over as the top running back for the Green Bay Packers following Cedric Benson's foot injury. It's a role that should make him a reliable fantasy option, especially in Week 7 against the St. Louis Rams.

Even though Green has been limited in practice a couple of times during the week, there has been no indication his playing status is in any actual danger. Unless something changes before Sunday, fantasy owners should expect to see him back in a starting role.

In his first game as the starter, Green gained 65 yards on 22 carries and also reeled in one pass for eight yards. It was an average performance, but still good news for the second-year back.

The high number of carries shows the Packers are committed to him as their main option in the backfield instead of the dreaded timeshare situation. The next highest carry total went to James Starks with just five, and he only gained 11 yards.

This means Green should continue to see the bulk of the action when healthy, and that makes him a good fantasy option, even as a part of Green Bay's pass-first offensive attack.

This week, Green goes up against a Rams defense that's giving up just over 100 yards per game on the ground, which puts them in the middle of the pack. The team has allowed six rushing touchdowns, which ranks 23rd in the league.

While it's not the best possible matchup, it's still a favorable one. There should definitely be more running lanes to utilize than there were against Houston. The Texans haven't allowed a rushing touchdown all season.

In other words, Green was thrown into a tough spot last week and did the best he really could with it. Moving forward, his production should increase markedly as long as he continues to receive the vast majority of the carries.

There's no reason to believe he won't. The Packers have seemingly lost faith in Starks, who was one of the heroes during the team's playoff run a couple of seasons ago, and John Kuhn is a situational back.

That leaves the door open for Green to keep his top spot on the depth chart.

Fantasy owners can expect him to have the best game of his young career on Sunday. Around 85 total yards with a touchdown is a reasonable expectation, and it will be even more if the Packers build an early lead and commit to the run.

Projection: 14 fantasy points