Winning on the road in the NFL is hard.
After nine of the 14 hosts prevailed in Week 6, home teams are now 59-35 in 2012. That's a .627 winning percentage, which is equal to a 10-6 team. Considering that takes into account all the, well, far-from-perfect teams (I'm looking at you, Jaguars), it's clear that home-field advantage serves as a huge boost in this league.
Nonetheless, road teams still manage to find victories every once in a while. It just isn't very easy.
Let's take a look at the teams most likely to steal a win from the home crowd in Week 7.
Green Bay Packers
After a human-like start to the season, Aaron Rodgers finally reminded us all that he is, in fact, Aaron Rodgers after throwing for 338 yards and six touchdowns en route to a huge win over the Houston Texans and their vaunted defense.
On the road.
This week, Rodgers and the Pack must travel to St. Louis to take on the Rams, who quietly have one of the best defenses, led by a terrific pass rush and cornerbacks Cortland Finnegan and Janoris Jenkins.
But when Rodgers is in Discount Double Check mode, you don't bet against him. No matter how talented the defense.
One of these times that I have to talk about the Redskins, I'm just going to type "Robert Griffin III" and then move on to the next team.
I still haven't worked myself up to that kind of courage, but really, that's all I need to do.
The rookie-but-not-really-a-rookie is first in the NFL in completion percentage, second in yards per attempt, third in QB rating, tied for second in interception percentage and 15th in rushing yards. As a result, the Redskins can score on whoever they want, whenever they want.
The problem is that Griffin doesn't play defense, and with Eli Manning and the New York Giants on the other side of the ball, this one is assuredly headed for a shootout.
Nonetheless, the Giants have a tendency to be bipolar, and if there was ever a time for a home letdown, it would be following a huge 26-3 win at San Francisco.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers, who, in my mind, are underrated. They only have two wins, but they've been close in every contest and could easily be undefeated.
Nonetheless, New Orleans matches up well with its division rival.
The Bucs' strength on defense is stopping the run, but the Saints throw the ball over 70 percent of the time, which is most in the NFL. Ronde Barber may be an ageless wonder, but without Aqib Talib, Tampa Bay, which is 29th in the NFL against the pass, is going to get torched by Drew Brees and that passing attack.
Of course, New Orleans can't stop anyone either, but it has the weapons more suited for a shootout, regardless of being away from home.
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