2012 College Football Week 8 Picks: West Virginia over Kansas State

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2012 College Football Week 8 Picks: West Virginia over Kansas State
Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

This is as much a public service announcement as it is WhatIfSports.com's college football Game of the Week preview.

First, Kansas State football is ranked fourth in the country. Yes, they are in the FBS.

Second, like West Virginia, the Wildcats, who are 6-0 including an upset win over Oklahoma, do play football in the Big 12. We can't assume that people know this, as Manhattan, Kansas cannot be found on iPhone 5 maps.

Third, if Bill Snyder's boys can bring home a win in Week 8, they could very well be on their way to the BCS National Championship Game.

Alabama, stop laughing.

If you were to visit the school's athletic site, the Purple Pride slaps you right in the face with a splash page boasting:

Since the start of the 1993 season, few programs can match Kansas State's win total or its winning percentage of nearly 75 percent. The Wildcats have participated in 3 Big 12 Championship games - claiming the 2003 Big 12 crown over No. 1 Oklahoma. K-State has been a consistent winner under Coach Bill Snyder, earning a postseason bowl berth in 14 of 19 seasons from 1993-present, including the 2012 AT&T Cotton Bowl Classic.

On offense, the Wildcats do one thing: run the football. Quarterback Colin Klein has evenly split carries with running back John Hubert—98 apiece—for 1,116 yards and 18 touchdowns. The offense is averaging more than 40 points per game.

The Cats rush defense is ranked 16th in the country, allowing 102 yards on the ground per game. However, it's the Mountaineers pass offense that K-State needs to fear this week, and Snyder better hope his secondary brings their "A" game because the 239 yards allowed average (76th in country) can quickly become 339 yards with Geno Smith hungry after a Heisman hiccup in Week 6 at Texas Tech.

Speaking of West Virginia, Dana Holgorsen's crew must be sick of the Lonestar State after having to travel to Texas back-to-back weeks.

"Welcome to the Big 12!"

Smith was shut down by Texas Tech's top pass defense in the country last Saturday. Through his first five games, the frontrunner for the Heisman completed more than 81 percent of his passes with more than 399 pass yards per game. Against the Red Raiders, he only completed 52.7 percent of his passes for 275 yards with one touchdown.

As previously mentioned, Kansas State's offense is pretty one-dimensional favoring the rush. Not good news for a Mountaineers' defense that ranks 43rd in the country in rush yards allowed per game at over 131, but have allowed 12 touchdowns via the ground (t-84th).

We simulated the Mountaineers and Wildcats 101 times, and it's West Virginia holding court at home winning 56.4 percent of the time by an average score of 28-25.

College Football Week 8
Matchup Win% Avg Score  
Virginia Tech Hokies 30.7 22 Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers 69.3 28  
Boston College Eagles 36.6 21 Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 63.4 27  
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 43.6 21 Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers 56.4 24  
North Carolina Tar Heels 57.9 30 Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils 42.1 27  
North Carolina State Wolfpack 65.3 26 Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins 34.7 20  
Florida State Seminoles 74.3 27 Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes 25.7 22  
South Florida Bulls 40.6 21 Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals 59.4 25  
Connecticut Huskies 45.0 21 Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange 55.0 23  
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 62.4 24 Boxscore
@ Temple Owls 37.6 19  
Purdue Boilermakers 25.7 19 Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes 74.3 27  
Michigan State Spartans 35.6 19 Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines 64.4 23  
Minnesota Golden Gophers 36.6 21 Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers 63.4 24  
Penn State Nittany Lions 51.0 23 Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes 49.0 22  
Nebraska Cornhuskers 62.4 27 Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats 37.6 23  
Western Michigan Broncos 35.6 20 Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes 64.4 25  
Army Black Knights 52.5 22 Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles 47.5 21  
Ball State Cardinals 54.5 29 Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas 45.5 26  
Cincinnati Bearcats 66.8 28 Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets 33.2 23  
Northern Illinois Huskies 77.2 28 Boxscore
@ Akron Zips 22.8 17  
Pittsburgh Panthers 81.2 28 Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls 18.8 17  
Bowling Green Falcons 86.1 27 Boxscore
@ Massachusetts Minutemen 13.9 17  
Colorado Buffaloes 6.9 17 Boxscore
@ USC Trojans 93.1 37  
Utah Utes 35.6 21 Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers 64.4 26  
Washington Huskies 48.5 25 Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats 51.5 27  
Stanford Cardinal 60.4 25 Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears 39.6 22  
Oregon Ducks 79.7 30 Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils 20.3 22  
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 16.8 19 Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs 83.2 32  
South Carolina Gamecocks 34.7 17 Boxscore
@ Florida Gators 65.3 21  
Auburn Tigers 36.6 17 Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores 63.4 22  
LSU Tigers 57.4 22 Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies 42.6 19  
Alabama Crimson Tide 78.2 28 Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers 21.8 17  
Georgia Bulldogs 84.2 25 Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats 15.8 12  
New Mexico State Aggies 17.3 21 Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies 82.7 31  
Idaho Vandals 17.3 20 Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 82.7 33  
San Jose State Spartans 69.3 33 Boxscore
@ Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners 30.7 24  
Brigham Young Cougars 32.7 19 Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish 67.3 27  
Indiana Hoosiers 56.4 25 Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen 43.6 24  
Kansas Jayhawks 13.9 18 Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners 86.1 34  
Baylor Bears 38.6 23 Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns 61.4 27  
Iowa State Cyclones 41.6 26 Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys 58.4 29  
Kansas State Wildcats 43.6 25 Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers 56.4 28  
Texas Tech Red Raiders 61.4 28 Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs 38.6 25  
Rice Owls 19.8 20 Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane 80.2 31  
Tulane Green Wave 47.0 22 Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners 53.0 24  
Houston Cougars 52.5 28 Boxscore
@ Southern Methodist Mustangs 47.5 27  
East Carolina Pirates 64.4 29 Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers 35.6 24  
Marshall Thundering Herd 73.3 26 Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles 26.7 19  
UCF Knights 83.2 30 Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers 16.8 18  
UNLV Rebels 5.0 18 Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos 95.0 34  
San Diego State Aztecs 32.2 19 Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack 67.8 26  
New Mexico Lobos 32.2 20 Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons 67.8 27  
Wyoming Cowboys 38.6 23 Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs 61.4 26  
FIU Golden Panthers 41.6 27 Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans 58.4 28  
Florida Atlantic Owls 46.5 23 Boxscore
@ South Alabama Jaguars 53.5 24  
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 55.4 27 Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 44.6 24  
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 63.9 30 Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green 36.1 25  

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2012 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

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