BCS Standings: Predicting How Far Week 7 Losers Will Fall in Initial Rankings

Rick WeinerFeatured ColumnistOctober 14, 2012

COLUMBIA, SC - OCTOBER 06:  Head coach Steve Spurrier of the South Carolina Gamecocks converses with his offense against the Georgia Bulldogs at Williams-Brice Stadium on October 6, 2012 in Columbia, South Carolina.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Losing in college football is never a good thing, but doing so on the eve of the first BCS standings of the year is quite possibly the worst possible time to change the zero in a team's loss column to a one.

Each of the Top 25 teams that lost in Week 7 has already fallen in the Week 8 AP Poll, and they are going to drop from where many thought they'd be in the first BCS standings of the season.

How far are these squads going to drop?

Of the other polls (aside from the AP and USA Today Coaches' Poll) that are taken into consideration by the BCS, only USA Today's Jeff Sagarin has posted his new rankings. We'll take those into account as we look ahead to how things might play out Sunday night.


South Carolina Gamecocks (6-1)

A tough 23-21 loss at the hands of then-No. 9 LSU will drop the Gamecocks in the BCS rankings, who fell from No. 3 to No. 9 in the latest AP Poll.

Sagarin has South Carolina still ranked above the Tigers, but that's not how the BCS is going to shake out tonight.

That said, it took care of business against Georgia and it is still in the Top 10 of the AP.

Look for the Gamecocks to drop out of the Top 5, but remain in the Top 10 with the final spot on that list.


Stanford Cardinal (4-2)

They dropped from 17th to 22nd in this week's AP Poll after falling to Notre Dame in overtime, 20-13.

They've split their games against Top 20 opponents, losing to the Irish but taking down the then No. 2 USC Trojans, and that's going to keep them in the Top 25.

Sagarin's got them 18th in the country, and that sounds about right to me.


Texas Longhorns (4-2)

Their embarrassing 63-21 loss to Oklahoma knocked them out of the AP Top 25, and rightfully so.

The Longhorns have dropped both of their contests against ranked teams, and that's going to result in them barely cracking the Top 25 of the BCS.

Sagarin has them 16th this week, but I think that's being overly generous. They will stick in the Top 25, but it's going to be closer to 25th than 20th. 


West Virginia Mountaineers (5-1)

After getting manhandled by Texas Tech, the Mountaineers dropped from No. 5 in the AP to No. 17. 

USA Today's Jeff Sagarin, whose rankings play a part in the BCS, dropped West Virginia to 26th in his latest standings. 

The Mountaineers won't drop out of the BCS Top 25, but they'll be somewhere in the high teens, with a chance to make a big move next week if they can right the ship against Kansas State.