NFL Picks Week 6: Home Teams That Will Win Tightly Contested Games

Ian HanfordFeatured ColumnistOctober 14, 2012

Sep 30, 2012; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans inside linebacker Brian Cushing (56) and defensive end J.J. Watt (99) wait for play to resume during the game against the Tennessee Titans at Reliant Stadium. The Texans defeated the Titans 38-14.  Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-US PRESSWIRE

Playing in front of a home crowd provides some squads with definite advantages. Sometimes, it's just enough to push the home team to victory.

That will hold true in Week 6 of the NFL season. The week's schedule features a handful of must-see matchups, and the home teams will be tested in many of them.

Let's take a look at three games that will be tight but will eventually lead to victories for the home squads.


Baltimore Ravens over Dallas Cowboys

Baltimore is always tough to beat in M&T Bank Stadium, but the Cowboys have the ingredients to keep this game close.

The Ravens are 23rd against the pass and 20th against the run this year. Dallas isn't dynamic on offense, but it is capable enough to damage a suspect Baltimore unit.

Defensively, Dallas' No. 1 pass defense could give Joe Flacco problems. Disrupting passing lanes could force Flacco to make bad decisions, especially if DeMarcus Ware is able to wreak havoc in the backfield.

Home-field advantage and the presence of Ray Rice will make the difference in this one, but expect it to go down to the wire.


Houston Texans over Green Bay Packers

The Texans defense will face a stiff challenge against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense, despite Green Bay's struggles this season.

At a certain point, pride will take over for the Packers. Expect them to face another tough loss, but they won't go down easy in this one.

This game comes down to Houston's ability to pressure Rodgers. Green Bay has struggled to protect its star signal-caller this season, forcing him to make ill-advised passes. If the Texans get into the backfield consistently, it's going to be a long day for the Packers.

Look for Sunday night's matchup to be a battle. Rodgers is going to throw the ball 40-50 times, and he will keep his squad in the game.

Houston will remain undefeated, but Green Bay won't go down quietly.


San Francisco 49ers over New York Giants

San Francisco lost last year's NFC Championship Game to the Giants in heartbreaking fashion. That loss will propel the 'Niners to victory in this one, but the Giants will play their best game of the season so far.

New York always seems to play its best when the game matters the most. An iffy defense could equal big production for the 49ers offense, but Eli Manning will keep his team in the game.

Like the with Texans and Packers, it all comes down to pressure in this one. San Francisco doesn't beat itself very often. Instead, it will try to force Manning into costly mistakes.

San Francisco gets it done here, but this is going to be closer than you might think. The Giants know what it takes to perform in big games.