The Patriots, favored by 3.5 points at most sportsbooks, are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 5-1-1 ATS in their past seven games as road favorites.
The Seahawks are 12-2-1 ATS in their past 15 games as underdog and 10-2 ATS in their past 12 home games. They hope home-field advantage will work for them and for bettors who back them this week.
But clearly, the betting public is buying the Patriot angles.
"As of Friday afternoon, the Pats were the biggest consensus play in the NFL at nearly 70 percent," said Jack Randall, a football analyst at OddsShark.com.
Thanks to an outstanding defense, the Seattle Seahawks are off to a 3-2 SU and ATS start to the season, coming off of a win at Carolina last week. The offense, led by running back Marshawn Lynch and rookie quarterback Russell Wilson, is averaging only 17.2 points per game.
But considering the defense has been pristine in allowing just 14 points per game, that’s all the Seahawks have needed.
The defense will have its work cut out for it this week with the league’s top scoring offense (33 points per game) coming to town. While it isn’t uncommon to see the Patriots near the top of the league in scoring, the way that they are scoring is.
The fact that they’ve developed an outstanding rushing game (averaging 165.4 yards per game on the ground) to go with Tom Brady’s passing game is terrifying for opposing defenses. New England has won two straight to improve to 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS on the season.
Seattle’s home dominance is no secret at this point as the Seahawks are 8-4 SU and 10-2 ATS over their last 12 home games and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog.
But will it matter against the road-dominant Patriots? New England is 14-4 SU and 14-3-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road.
Considering the home to road advantage appears to be a wash in this game, we have trouble passing on New England giving up only four points. New England’s defense has played well this season (giving up 22.6 points per game), especially against the rush.
Going up against Seattle’s weak offense, New England should be able to hold the Seahawks to around their average of 17 points per game, and I trust the Patriots to put up 24+ points against anyone.
For what it's worth, the computer has picked the Pats as well, according to its weekly NFL picks story here on BR.
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