NFL Betting Predictions: 5 Picks for Week 6
Week 6 is a tough week for NFL bettors.
With struggling teams coming off byes, it's hard to see how they will react to that extra week off.
What's even more complicated is that the matchups could go either way his week. As of now, there isn't a single double-digit favorite, according to Covers.com
Though the majority of the games are expected to be close, the results don't always end up that way once Sunday rolls around. Let's take a look at five picks that should make some money this week.
Last week: 2-3
All lines courtesy of www.covers.com
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers may be only 1-3 this season, but have lost by seven points or less in all three defeats. They are also playing this game at home and are coming off of a bye.
Meanwhile, the Kansas Chiefs have looked like one of the worst teams in the NFL. I was wrong about the Chiefs last week as they were able to beat the spread against the Baltimore Ravens, but they had the luxury of playing at home.
The Chiefs have lost by totals of 16,17 and 18 this season. Their only weapon is Jamaal Charles, and even he will have a tough time against Tampa Bay's run defense that ranks fourth in the league.
The Bucs are 3-1 against the spread this season and they're only giving up 17 points a game at home. Kansas City just isn't very good offensively, and they'll probably turn the ball over 10 times in this one as well.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Oakland Raiders (over 48.5)
Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images
Oakland has given up at least 34 points in its last three games, and the team must take on the daunting task of trying to stop one of the best offenses in the league.
The Falcons are averaging nearly 30 points per game and Matt Ryan should feast on the horrendous Oakland secondary that has surrendered seven passing touchdowns in its last two games.
For the Raiders, Darren McFadden has looked awful this season.
Hopefully he'll be able to slash through the Falcons' defense that is allowing nearly 143 yards per game on the ground. And with Carson Palmer having his two best receivers healthy, the Raiders have the ability to score some points on an Atlanta defense that has gave up 28 points to the Carolina Panthers two weeks ago.
Cincinnati Bengals (-1) at Cleveland Browns
Jamie Sabau/Getty Images
One-point favorites have the ability to go either way (hence the spread being only one point), but I think the Bengals will easily cover this one.
Many people are giving them heat for their dull performance last week against Miami, but they went up against a revamped defense that is the best in the league against the run. The Dolphins were also hungry for a win after back-to-back overtime losses.
The Browns, on the other hand, are coming off an ugly loss to the New York Giants, where their defense looked absolutely horrible. Cleveland ranks 26th against the rush and the pass this season, and A.J. Green should have a field day against a secondary giving up 280 yards per game.
Cincinnati has won the last four meetings against the Browns, and I've never been comfortable betting on an 0-5 team.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets (under 43)
Al Bello/Getty Images
This game is too wacky to make me bet on either team.
Andrew Luck will try to confuse the New York defense by spreading the ball around to all of his targets, but it will be difficult with running back Donald Brown out of the lineup. Indianapolis will be one-dimensional this week and will have a difficult time trying to score against the league's fifth-best pass defense.
New York is sitting at 2-3 with a showdown against the New England Patriots looming in Week 7. Rex Ryan's defense made a solid statement last week against the Texans, and must do so against the Colts this week.
As bad as Mark Sanchez and the Jets' offense has been struggling, it wouldn't be surprising to see this one as a 16-13 dogfight.
New England Patriots (-3.5) at Seattle Seahawks
Jim Rogash/Getty Images
Seattle's defense has looked stellar at home this season and has shut down Tony Romo and Aaron Rodgers. But as we've seen so far, the Cowboys offense is overrated and the Packers just aren't the same team they were last year.
The Patriots have developed a running game for the first time in a long time, and have been quite successful with it. Though the Patriots' running backs may not fare well against Seattle, they can still turn to Tom Brady when all else fails.
Wes Welker has three consecutive 100-yard games, and it's looking like Aaron Hernandez will play for the first time since Week 2. The Seahawks will have a difficult time trying to stop the Patriots offense that can make any defense look foolish.
New England is also 4-1 against the spread this season, and I'll take the Pats with the points in this one.