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If you see this, the Raiders are getting destroyed.
And here's the bottom line for Sunday's game.
We know Atlanta is going to move the ball. We know they are probably going to have plenty of scoring chances. What we don't know yet is whether or not they will be scoring tons of touchdowns or kicking tons of field goals. If the Raiders wanna hang around, they have got to force the latter.
That means being better with their red-zone defense. Week 1's amazing job (keeping San Diego out of the end zone in the second half, despite an average field position inside the Raider 50) seems like a mirage based on the last three games.
Teams have scored with impunity with Oakland allowing 35, 31 and 37. Those are Michael Jordan scoring numbers, not opponents' point totals in the NFL.
So to give themselves a chance against Atlanta, the Raiders will have to force them to kick more field goals than extra points. That said, the total number of scoring chances has to be six or less in this scenario.
What that means is, the Raiders possessing the ball is paramount. Unlike the last three games, they might have the match up on offense to do it. But beyond that, it means being in sync once a team gets in scoring range to actually get off the field.
How many times have we seen a player get wide-open, only to have a Raider defense turn and point at another player in confusion and anger?
This also means keeping Rolando McClain in a bubble with support around him. He can't cover laterally; it's that simple. If this team isn't playing a 3-4, then either have him attacking the line of scrimmage or zoning up in a cover two or three.
It is already a vanilla defense. Having someone like McClain chasing crossing patterns in man coverage is something we already know does not work.
I can't see the Raiders allowing more than 26 points and winning, and frankly, they have to allow less than that. So, that means Matt Bryant has to be a big fantasy player for his field goals this week.