I hope fantasy owners of running back Ahmad Bradshaw cashed in on his epic performance in Week 5, because they won't see an encore this week.
Bradshaw exploded for a 200-yard performance against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. He'll be lucky to rush for a quarter of that total this week. The New York Giants face the San Francisco 49ers in Week 6, and that generally equals low-to-moderate production from opposing running backs.
The Niners haven't allowed a 100-yard rusher this season. The most any back has gained against them this year is 86 yards. Adrian Peterson put up that total in the Niners' only loss of the season.
Since then, San Francisco has outscored its opponents 79-3. The competition hasn't exactly been stellar, but the Niners' reputation for being run-stuffers is well earned. They lead the NFL in run defense in 2011.
The Giants are a far better offense than the New York Jets or Buffalo Bills (the two teams the Niners have slaughtered in consecutive weeks). However, they haven't had tremendous success running the ball against the Niners, either.
Last season, the two teams met twice. Bradshaw rushed for 74 yards in the Giants' overtime win in the NFC Championship Game. In the regular-season matchup, the Giants were led by Brandon Jacobs (who is now with the Niners) with 55 yards.
There is no reason to believe that Bradshaw and the Giants will buck the trend this week. Expect the Niners to control the Giants' run game and for the G-Men to depend heavily on Eli Manning to move the ball.
The Giants may win, and Bradshaw may be on his way to a strong final 10 games, but against this defense, almost every running back is a no-start. In a pinch, you could play him at a flex position, but he won't generate more than 10-12 points in most fantasy leagues.
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