Unless we see a surprise start from Tim Tebow, the Jets will likely have a miserable time attempting to defend their home turf against the undefeated Texans, who have won their first four games by 20, 20, six and 24 points.
Houston is averaging 29 points per game on the road this season and will face off against a depleted Jets team that fell 34-0 in front of its home crowd just one week ago.
If the direction looks obvious in this case, that's because it is. But at least get the facts before you jump on board with everyone's early-season Super Bowl favorite.
Spread Info (courtesy of Covers.com)
Line: Jets (+9)
The New York Jets are nine-point underdogs playing at home Monday night, and it's hard to argue with that. The Jets looked pathetic at home last weekend, being shutout 34-0 by the visiting San Francisco 49ers.
On top of New York's struggles, the Houston Texans are arguably the best team in the football. Houston ranks No. 1 in the NFL in scoring defense and No. 2 in the league in scoring offense. Gary Kubiak's club is winning by an average of 17.5 points per week.
Although it's Monday Night Football and the Jets will be well aware of what they need to do to avoid going 2-3, I can't see the Texans struggling in this matchup.
Tim Tebow Will Play a Larger Role
Desperate times call for desperate measures, and the Jets are in danger of starting 2012 2-3 on Monday night. I predict that Tebow will get more opportunities on offense as a quarterback vs. Houston.
He has one pass attempt and only nine rushes through four games this season, but will need to take on a larger role against the Texans in order to keep the league's top defense on its heels. Look for Tebow to get more passing attempts on Monday night as the Jets' coaching staff tries to add a few wrinkles to the offense.
Houston's Defense Will Steal the Show
Although I believe Tebow will take on a much larger role with the Jets offense on Monday, I predict that the Houston Texans' No. 1 scoring defense will flex its muscles and ultimately stifle the home team from start to finish.
The Jets are only averaging 20.3 points per game this season, and facing a defense that only allows 14 per game in 2012. Giving the Texans defense the edge in this matchup, I lean towards New York scoring closer to 14 points rather than 20.
Expect the road team to win the turnover battle as well. Houston is +7 in turnover differential this season and has taken the ball away nine times in four games. New York is -2 and is averaging two turnovers per game this season.
Texans 27, Jets 13
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