Here in Week 6, there are a number of college football games that have national championship implications.
West Virginia vs. Texas, Florida vs. LSU and South Carolina vs. Georgia are just three games whose winner will be in control of its own destiny...for another week, anyway.
While some bets are high risk, others are not nearly as risky. For instance, last week's Baylor vs. WVU game was won by a mere seven points, but the point total went far over the 82.5-point over/under line.
So, in the sea of potential bets, which ones are the least risky?
Here are my Week 6 college football locks.
*All spread and over/under info is from sportsbook.ag
Bleacher Report's Adam Kramer hooked you up with a video version of his Week 6 locks, and I made sure not to duplicate any of them. For the record, he and I both agree on these two games:
1) Texas Tech upsets Oklahoma (Lock: Texas Tech +4)
2) Purdue upsets Michigan (Lock: Purdue +3)
Feel free to check out his video piece from Oct. 3.
Disclaimer: He calls Georgia a lock against South Carolina. I call for South Carolina to defeat the Bulldogs in Williams-Brice Stadium, especially after the loss of Georgia's leading receiver due to an ACL injury.
Navy comes up 50th on the Rivals.com list of teams ranked by rushing yards allowed. While that's not a horrible placing, since it is in the top half of all FBS teams, it poses a gigantic problem this week for the Midshipmen.
Air Force brings in the nation's top rushing attack, averaging an incredible 396.3 yards per game. What does that mean to the people looking for a wager?
It means that the measly eight-point spread is way too low.
Lock: Air Force -8
Michigan State's defense held a Braxton Miller-led Ohio State squad to a scant 17 points. While the Spartans still lost, it was the offense that sputtered.
Michigan State's defense will dominate Indiana, and the Spartan offense will make a statement against the Hoosiers' lackluster defense.
That statement is something Sparty fans have been waiting for all year.
Lock: Michigan State -14.5
Ball State hosts Northern Illinois, and the Huskies should make mincemeat of the Cardinals.
On paper, this looks to be a close match. That's probably why the gurus from Vegas have set this line so low.
However, the Huskies are not messing around this year, and if anyone is going to stand between them and a conference title, it's not going to be Ball State.
Lock: Northern Illinois -2.5
While Geno Smith and the Mountaineers won by scoring 70 points, Baylor stuck 63 of its own on the scoreboard.
While the winner may be less obvious, what is obvious is what these two teams can do. Texas hung 66 points on Ole Miss, and WVU hung 70 on Baylor.
Lock: Over 73.5
Another Saturday, another win for the Oregon Ducks.
What makes it interesting is trying to figure out which Oregon will show up. Will it be the one that shut out Arizona, or the one that let Washington State come to within four points?
The Oregon that plays the Huskies on Saturday will be the same one that shut out the Arizona Wildcats. The Ducks may not pitch a shutout to the Huskies, but they will absolutely dominate from beginning to end.
Lock: Oregon -24