NFL Week 5 Picks: Favorites That Will Easily Cover the Spread

Alex BallentineFeatured ColumnistOctober 6, 2012

ATLANTA, GA - SEPTEMBER 30:  Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons looks to the officials for a call against the Carolina Panthers at Georgia Dome on September 30, 2012 in Atlanta, Georgia.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

Looking at the spreads for Week 5's slate of NFL action there are some favorites that are going to make Vegas oddsmakers look silly.

Point spreads are intended to make every game interesting and draw action from both sides. While those that make the odds are generally spot on with their lines, every week there are some outliers that just look bad.

With that in mind, here's a look at the favorites in Week 5 that will not only win, but win in style and easily cover the spread (All lines according to Bovada).


Atlanta Falcons (-3) over Washington Redskins

The Falcons come into this game as three-point favorites on the road as the last remaining undefeated team in the league.

Given that the Falcons squeaked out a two-point victory at home last week, it's easy to see why the spread for this game is a mere three points despite an undefeated team playing a 2-2 team. However, the Falcons should win this one going away.

The Falcons have been excellent on the road in this young season. While their two wins at home have been by six and two points, the Falcons own two dominant wins on the road (40-24 in Kansas City and 27-3 in San Diego). If the Falcons can travel all the way across the country and soundly defeat the Chargers, there's no reason to believe that the travel will affect them against the Redskins.

Aside from the Falcons road dominance, this is a bad matchup for the Redskins.

Washington's defense currently ranks 31st in passing yardage allowed. Bad news for a team taking on a red-hot Matt Ryan and the suddenly explosive Falcons offense.


Baltimore Ravens (-6) over Kansas City Chiefs

In another example of a line that is probably too low because the favorite is on the road, the Ravens should easily cover in Kansas City.

Yes, Jamaal Charles seems to have found his stride for the Chiefs, but they've done nothing to prove that they are capable of keeping games close based on being at home. The Chiefs are currently 0-2 at Arrowhead with a 16-point loss to the Falcons and a 17-point loss to the Chargers at home.

To put it bluntly, the Chiefs are just bad. They needed a phenomenal performance from Jamaal Charles just to beat the 0-4 New Orleans Saints in overtime and haven't been competitive in any other game this year.

The only chance the Chiefs have in this one is if Charles runs wild once again. Considering that the Ravens are allowing less than 100 yards per game on the ground, though, don't count that as a likely possibility.

The Ravens should continue to roll in this one.


Minnesota Vikings (-6) over Tennessee Titans

The Minnesota Vikings are the most underrated team in the NFL.

After a rough start to the season that saw them need overtime to pull out a win against the Jacksonville Jaguars then suffer an embarrassing loss to the Indianapolis Colts on the road, the Vikings pulled off a huge upset against one of the elite teams in the league in the San Francisco 49ers and a solid win against the Detroit Lions.

This could be the game that puts fans on notice as the Vikings could—and probably should—win this one by double digits at home.

The Vikings defense has been playing at an elite level. It's holding teams to 85 yards rushing per game and a respectable 228 yards through the air.

Continuing that defensive dominance against the Titans shouldn't be too difficult. Outside of an offensive explosion against a very subpar Lions defense, the Titans have fallen flat on offense this season scoring 13, 10 and 14 in their other games.

Expect the Vikings offense to look better than it has all season as Minnesota wins this one handily.