I've spent the last few weeks looking for angles to pick games with. I tried to go with the refs in Week 3, I tried to go with my gut in Week 4, and so far not much has worked.
The best quarterbacks, usually a safe bet, have been downright ordinary. Aaron Rodgers is 1-3 against the spread, Peyton Manning is 2-2, Eli Manning is 1-3 and Drew Brees is 1-3.
This week's angle? Take the defenses. If 2011 was the year of the quarterback, 2012 seems to be the year of the defense. Houston, San Francisco, Chicago and Arizona all look like legitimate contenders behind fantastic defenses, and their 13-3 record against the spread has made plenty of people quite a bit of money.
If this doesn't work I'm giving up on finding a pattern. It might just be one of those years where things don't make sense. Until then, we're going with defenses in Week 5.
Record for the season: 29-34