NCAA Football Rankings 2013: Predicting the AP Top 25 After Week 10

David KenyonFeatured ColumnistNovember 3, 2013

Jameis Winston has led FSU to two primetime wins in three weeks.
Jameis Winston has led FSU to two primetime wins in three weeks.Melina Vastola-USA TODAY Sports

Eight teams ranked in the AP Top 25 had Week 10 off, but a few matchups kept college football fans glued to their screens.

During the prime-time matchup, third-ranked Florida State held No. 7 Miami scoreless during the second half and rode junior running back Devonta Freeman to a 41-14 win.

In a vastly overlooked game, No. 18 Oklahoma State earned the upper hand in a 52-34 shootout against 15th-ranked Texas Tech and improved to 7-1 on the season.

Earlier in the day, No. 22 Michigan State dominated an in-state battle, toppling rival and No. 21 Michigan by a final score of 29-6.

But aside from those three ranked-vs-ranked games, it was a relatively quiet weekend slate, as every other active Top 25 team handled its business over lesser opponents.

Notes: Previous rankings based on Week 10 AP Top 25. This is an AP projection, not BCS.

Projected Week 10 Rankings
Rank (Last week)Team
1 (1)Alabama
2 (2)Oregon
3 (3)Florida State
4 (4)Ohio State
5 (5)Baylor
6 (6)Stanford
7 (8)Auburn
8 (9)Clemson
9 (10)Missouri
10 (12)Texas A&M
11 (11)LSU
12 (13)Oklahoma
13 (14)South Carolina
14 (7)Miami
15 (18)Oklahoma State
16 (16)Fresno State
17 (17)UCLA
18 (19)Central Florida
19 (20)Louisville
20 (24)Michigan State
21 (15)Texas Tech
22 (21)Northern Illinois
23 (22)Wisconsin
24 (25)Arizona State
25 (NR)Notre Dame
Bleacher Report


Fun Facts

The SEC leads the projections with six ranked schools. Behind the power conference, the Big 12 and Pac-12 both list four programs in the poll, while the Big Ten and ACC have three member schools in the rankings.

Despite its bye week, Baylor will remain in the top five of the rankings for the third straight week—something it has not accomplished since 1980.

After its impressive win over rival Miami, Florida State will make the school's 500th appearance in the AP poll.

Fresno State will be ranked seven straight weeks for only the third time in its history. The two other times the Bulldogs achieved this were during the 2001 (current quarterback Derek Carr's brother David was under center at the time) and 2005 campaigns.

Stanford will make the program's 75th appearance in the Top 10, and 39 of such rankings have come throughout the last four seasons.


Rising: Oklahoma State Cowboys

Nov 2, 2013; Lubbock, TX, USA; Oklahoma State Cowboys running back Desmond Roland (26) rushes against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in the first quarter at Jones AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Spo

Oklahoma State jumped out to a 21-0 lead before allowing Texas Tech back into the game.

The Red Raiders closed the gap to just four points at halftime, but Cowboys quarterback Clint Chelf ran for two second-half touchdowns and sparked the 52-34 victory.

Desmond Roland tallied 96 rushing yards and three touchdowns, while Rennie Childs added 70 more yards on the ground.

Though Okie State allowed 425 yards through the air, including 15 receptions and 174 yards to Texas Tech tight end Jace Amaro, a third-quarter interception of Davis Webb turned the odds in the Cowboys' favor.

Oklahoma State (7-1) has now won seven games for eight straight seasons and will be favored to tack on its eighth victory when Kansas comes to town next weekend.


Falling: Michigan Wolverines

Nov 2, 2013; East Lansing, MI, USA; Michigan Wolverines quarterback Devin Gardner (98) is sacked by Michigan State Spartans defensive end Denzel Drone (42) and defensive end Marcus Rush (44) during the 1st half of a game at Spartan Stadium. Mandatory Cred
Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports

Adios, Michigan.

Following its 23-point loss to Michigan State, the Michigan Wolverines will drop out of the polls for the second time this season.

Michigan gained only 168 total yards and converted on just 2-of-14 third downs. This was U-of-M's largest margin of defeat at the hands of MSU since 1967—or 46 meetings.

Devin Gardner threw for 210 yards and an interception, but due to a high snap and seven sacks, the junior quarterback was tagged with negative-46 rushing yards.

The Wolverines (6-2) will host Nebraska next Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET and can be seen either on ABC or ESPN.


Rising: Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Nov 2, 2013; South Bend, IN, USA; Notre Dame Fighting Irish running back Tarean Folston (25) celebrates in the second quarter against the Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Stadium. Notre Dame won 38-34. Mandatory Credit: Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports
Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

Notre Dame received the most votes for an unranked team, and the Irish's escape plus Michigan's loss will boost them into the 25th position.

It wasn't always pretty, but Tommy Rees and Co. pulled out a 38-34 win over Navy.

Highly recruited 2013 athlete Tarean Folston made the final plunge into the end zone with less than four minutes remaining in the fourth quarter for the game-winning score. Folston led Notre Dame with 140 yards rushing on 18 carries—both of which were career highs.

George Atkinson (74 RUSH YDS, 1 TD), Cam McDaniel (52 RUSH YDS, 1 TD) and TJ Jones (111 REC YDS, 1 TD) were also key factors for the Irish during its 38-34 win.

The Irish improve to 7-2 and have won four straight games.


Falling: Miami Hurricanes

After rising to its highest ranking since 2005, Miami could not match Florida State's depth of talent during the second half.

The Hurricanes put up a valiant fight, but FSU knocked off Al Golden's team 41-14.

A much-improved defense caused freshman sensation Jameis Winston to throw two interceptions for the first time in his career, but the two-headed running-back monster of Devonta Freeman (78 RUSH YDS, 2 TD; 96 REC, 1 TD) and James Wilder Jr. (42 YDS, 2 TD) was too much for "The U."

Allen Hurns was on the receiving end of both touchdowns, but Miami lost superstar running back Duke Johnson to a broken right ankle and is out for the season—and that is more deflating than the 'Canes loss to FSU.

Miami (7-1) loses its first game of the season but still controls its own destiny in the ACC Coastal Division.


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